[Machine Choice]

So 66% of the public and 72% of the experts are on Oregon +12, yet the line remains at Wisconsin -12 (-115). That means some very big money is on Wisconsin to destroy Oregon. It may happen, considering that Wisconsin returns 7 players that were on the Sweet 16 team last year that beat Oregon by 8 points, and Oregon only returns 2 players from that team. But, I want to remind everyone that that game was essentially a home game for Wisconsin because it was played in Milwaukee. This year, that is not the case (game is in Nebraska). And Oregon is 7-2 TS in road/neutral games since Feb 1.

These teams have common opponents this year, and if you look at the point differential in those games and adjust it for a neutral court setting, Wisconsin should only be favored by -7 in this game. Make no mistake, Wisconsin will win this game, but not by 12 points. Not as long as Oregon has Young (27 points vs Oklahoma St), Cook (13 ppg) and Brooks (12 ppg) standing upright.

Oregon is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, while Wisconsin is 4-6

OREGON +12

[Machine Choice]

Another way to look at this game....

Let's say Wisconsin dominates the game. They are up by 22 with 5 minutes to play. What will they do? They will pull their starters in order to keep them fresh and injury-free for a Final 4 run. Oregon will whittle the score down for a backdoor cover.

[2daBank]

the over has a great deal of appeal to me if ducks can stay within the number i believe they will have to score around 70 as wiscy will pick their defense apart, plus wiscy playing at a quicker pace as you would expect against ducks most likely leads to a lot of points.. ive always thought you were a asset to the forum when you were posting,, gl with your play..

[krk1030]

Another way to look at this game....

Let's say Wisconsin dominates the game. They are up by 22 with 5 minutes to play. What will they do? They will pull their starters in order to keep them fresh and injury-free for a Final 4 run. Oregon will whittle the score down for a backdoor cover.

if wisky is up by 22 with 5 minutes to play id bet half my bankroll on them at -12.

[Machine Choice]

5 mins is a long time in NCAAB to make up 10 points. Especially against back ups

[krk1030]

I just dont see backups in the game in that situation, maybe final 2 minutes.

I see starters killing clock.

They have all week to rest.


But i dont see this being a rout anyway, it think wisky wins by around 10 so im staying away.

[JJJ]

these two teams played last year Oregon was up big at half than wisc won by 8 or so...Oregon lost two players from that team that had a lot of scoring line seems high

[curtrambus]

Oregon's tallest guy is 6'9'' they won't be able to stop Kaminski Hayes or Dekker. Next tallest guy is 6'7'' and this isn't the unconscious Oregon team the Badgers beat by 8 last year. Oregon lost by 25 to Arizona who is similar to Wisconsin expect something around there.

[bob6199]

Wisky is a bad match-up for Oregon, i won't play it tho, because Oregon has enough firepower to backdoor cover.

[2daBank]

Wisky is a bad match-up for Oregon, i won't play it tho, because Oregon has enough firepower to backdoor cover.

hence the over my brother..only way it doesnt cash is if wiscy up large late and is running out the shot clock the last 4 minutes. that really my only fear...

[birdman24]

U already lost for one reason.... The Lang factor

[Machine Choice]

Well, whatever that was