about 185 right now, the bubble is very very dicey this year, no one has really shown they belong in the field.
just look at his last 8 in and out:
lsu (not a lock)
okst (in IMO)
purdue (in IMO)
byu (in IMO)
ole miss (beyond shaky ground)
texas (shaky as well)
temple (depends on today)
indiana (also very shaky)
teams out
miami (could see them in)
ucla (the same)
tulsa (need one more win at he would put them in i would think)
texas a/m richmond and old dominion have no chance, but you could see a curveball with murray st or maybe even iona if the committee goes rogue
even if tulsa loses today they may sneak in anyways and he has them out, just 2 mistakes seems possible right now