Originally Posted by
zephyr
As far a I can tell, we have to assume Hawkins will not play; I'm pretty sure the line assumes that. But it's still tempting, isn't t? UCD has played very well without Hawkins. 3-0, 2-1 ATS, 2-0 ATS on the road, without him. I'm especially looking at how they blew out UC Irvine, as 8 point dogs on the road, without Hawkins. That game seems somewhat analogous to the game tonight. I'm wondering if the line is adjusting too much for Hawkins' absence. Maybe not giving the rest of the team enough credit? The reverse line movement is pretty serious though, and does concern me. And I see that UCD's stats have slid over the last three games and they are probably due for a big letdown. But dang. That's a lot of points to give to a generally good defensive team, and a generally good shooting team, on a mission from God, in conference play in the Big West.