i guess its about that time of the year for bubble talk to start.
few interesting cases, the panthers are at the top of the list.
they have a 20-7 record, 8-6 in a down year for the acc, a win over stanford is their best win (1-6 against top 50 rpi) and that was like the 2nd game of the season. they look like they are fading, losing a home game to a florida st team that looked completely dead in the water. another thing that the committee will surely not like is the nonconference SOS (over 200).
they close with boston college (road), notre dame (road), nc st (home), clemson (road), so no chances for any really great wins left, i think if they get 3 of 4 they are in the tournament even though virginia didnt get in last season with a 11-7 acc record (i think their rpi was really bad, like over 70, pitts is 43).
As of now....YES! But a lot can change in 2 weeks. I think splitting 2 of the last 4 and getting a win in the ACC Tourny would let them breathe safely come Selection Sunday. If they drop 3 of the last 4 somehow, they will have at least 2 more bad losses on their resume, which you don't want this late in the year.
It was an interesting win for FSU at the same token last night. As long as they handle GTECH at home, and BC on the road.....they will have a chance last game of the year at home to get a statement win vs the Orange and possibly climb to 10-8, with a handful of nice wins, including the tiebreak really against Pitt who may fall on the bubble.
im thinking they need 3 total wins including the acc tournament games, well see how it plays out. the committee is usually tough on teams that have bad records against the top 50 rpi, teams that have a bad non conference SOS, and teams that are fading (pitt 2-5 last 7).
Pitt sucks, I hope they don't make the tourney. I was browsing around the bracketology page on ESPN and saw some pretty bad teams that Lunardi has in the tourney. I just remember seeing Minnesota as an 11 seed. How on earth is Minnesota in the tourney lol?