1. 11-09-09 02:38 PM #1
    goblue12
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    The only system I will be following this season

    Reverse line movement under this query.

    - 40% or less of all bets on Team A
    - 1.5 points or more movement towards Team A

    Might have a play under that query for tonight, which would be Florida International +30.5. I won't be posting picks, just keeping track of the system in this thread.

    FYI, the website I am getting the data from is SportsInsights.com who updates their data every 30 minutes (with a 20 minute delay). Accounts are free, the percentages of those of the "smarter than your average bettor", and the data is reliable.

    Cheers!
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  2. 11-09-09 03:15 PM #2
    Sekrah
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    How'd this system do last year?
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  3. 11-09-09 03:27 PM #3
    PacmanJr_00
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    above 40% now isn't it?
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  4. 11-09-09 04:01 PM #4
    cappersedge
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    And Albany is very close to this correct?
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  5. 11-09-09 04:13 PM #5
    goblue12
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    No, the only play at the moment is FIU +30.5

    1. Line opened at +32 for FIU
    2. Only 32% of all bets placed were on FIU
    3. Line is currently +30.5 for FIU

    Therefore, the play is FIU.
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  6. 11-09-09 05:42 PM #6
    Karayilan9
    FENER / TRABZON
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    Do you filter out high point spreads, say over -20 / +20, small line movements mean less with high spreads?
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  7. 11-09-09 05:50 PM #7
    goblue12
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    UNC just got hit HARD by some late $$$. No plays under this filter tonight, but I will keep watching.
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  8. 11-09-09 05:51 PM #8
    Capybara
    Punta Cana, bitches!
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    RLM is the way to go, great system. But I too ask, How did it do in NCAA hoops last year? Because I lost track.
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  9. 11-09-09 06:10 PM #9
    urge2kill
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    Is a 1.5 pt move an a 30 pt favorite worth the same as a 1.5 pt move on a 3 pt favorite?
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  10. 11-09-09 10:26 PM #10
    cappersedge
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    Quote Originally Posted by goblue12 View Post
    UNC just got hit HARD by some late $$$. No plays under this filter tonight, but I will keep watching.
    So I'm confused.... You have to wait all the way until tip off to decide if it's a play or no play?
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  11. 11-09-09 11:05 PM #11
    goblue12
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    Quote Originally Posted by cappersedge View Post
    So I'm confused.... You have to wait all the way until tip off to decide if it's a play or no play?
    Correct. This will be based off the opening and closing numbers. There were no plays today (probably not on Wed / Thur either) but I guarantee you that there will be a few plays every day starting on Friday. I will personally be tailing this system, probably 1 unit bets on RLM underdogs and 2 unit bets on RLM favorites seeing how around 70-75% of the time bettors tend to give the points.
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  12. 11-10-09 08:51 AM #12
    Jonah
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    Seems like a good system...No one mentioned the I. Thomas factor??? Generally I like high profile Coaches not to lose their first game by 30+ points...
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  13. 11-13-09 05:23 PM #13
    goblue12
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    Morehead State +17.5
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  14. 11-13-09 05:58 PM #14
    goblue12
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    Valparaiso -1.5
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  15. 11-13-09 06:47 PM #15
    goblue12
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    Hofstra +25.5
    Wofford +15
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  16. 11-13-09 07:30 PM #16
    goblue12
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    smu -1
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  17. 11-13-09 07:43 PM #17
    goblue12
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    Assuming they're giving you a line better than +15.5 for the game, put a 2H bet on UL Monroe. I missed that one somehow.

    In addition, Idaho +10
    Last edited by goblue12; 11-13-09 at 07:47 PM.
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  18. 11-13-09 08:11 PM #18
    goblue12
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    Might not end up being a play if more action goes on Denver, but what the hell...

    Denver +3.5
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  19. 11-13-09 11:28 PM #19
    goblue12
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    Final card for the day (missed a few of these when trying to follow it, check Sports Insights for the plays)

    Morehead State +18 (winner)
    Valparaiso -1 (loser)
    Samford +10 (winner)
    Belmont +4.5 (winner)
    UL Monroe +16 (loser)
    Hofstra +25 (loser)
    Wofford +15 (winner)
    SMU PK (loser)
    Idaho +10.5 (winner)
    Denver +3.5 (loser)

    YTD: 5-5 (-0.5 units)
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  20. 11-16-09 04:02 PM #20
    cappersedge
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    Any Plays today?
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  21. 12-17-09 03:00 PM #21
    PacmanJr_00
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    i've found rlm to be very unreliable, so far.
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