[The HG]

Tulsa 134
S Hall 132
W Carolina 124
Penn 136
Ok St 146
NC Greensboro 136
LA Monroe 132 (30?)
Murray St 120
TCU 110
Illionois 136
Miss St (no number)
Gonzaga 130 (broad range)
Denver 138
Houston 156
E Washington 156
Wash St 120

there may be a handful of good opportunities with these, a bunch of these games could have lines 10 points off. the Murray St line may be in the low 30's. TCU may be in the 20's. Gonzaga may be in the 40's. Houston may be in the 40's, and E Washington may also be in the 40's, although that would be more surprising. and Wash St may be in the 30's.

[Jay Edgar]

there may be a handful of good opportunities with these

Indeed, thanks.

[The HG]

when time permits, i'll also posts the bets we make. in jan-feb i'm not sure how much that will be, and i am sure it will never happen on saturday.

today we bet:

Tulsa over 127 (.5 unit) - not more because it had a somewhat low confidence, and we also didnt think there would be any strong market move in our favor

w carolina under 134 (3 units and an extra 3 for takeback) - we bet this way because there was a high confidence factor and also a strong sense that the market will move quite a bit in our favor ultimately. i think this line will be 130 or lower at some time tomorrow. if it gets there we will take back 3 or 4 for a middle.

penn under 146.5 (2 units) - we didnt feel like there was going to be a strong market move in our direction, although there may be, so the entire bet was made to keep. this line is just too high, the fact that last year these 2 played to a 104 is not insignificant, it shows you what kind of teams they are. they are both average teams, and this total is on the high side.

ok st over 138.5 (.5 unit) - just a standard small bet with a line with normal confidence we see as modestly off

tcu under 117.5 (.5 unit) - could have been a one unit bet

gonzaga under 143.5 (2 units) - duke will probably play tough D at the garden for this one. one unit was to keep, one for a takeback. we know we may well not be able to take it back, and if we get stuck with an extra unit that will be fine.

houston over 140 (unloaded), over 142 (unloaded) - we are very careful about "unloading", only do it when we feel strongly there will be a big takeback situation AND that if there isnt, we will be ok with having a huge position. this doesnt happen a lot of course, but more than once in a while. it happened yesterday with the n tex/w kentucky game. i went out for a bit and saw it's already over 150.

wash st under 132 (2 units) - like the gonzaga game, one to keep and one to takeback that we are aware we might not be able to, but will be fine if we are on it for 2.

[Jay Edgar]

houston over 140

153 now


(I got 138.5 -- but I'd guess I was no more than 30 seconds ahead of you)

[The HG]

153 now


(I got 138.5 -- but I'd guess I was no more than 30 seconds ahead of you)

guided by my "Cosmic Comedy" General Theory of Handicapping, i have reset the ganchrow line for this game to 139.

[Jay Edgar]

Under the "[fill-in-blank]" General Theory of Bookmaking, and according to SBR Odds, after steady moves from 137 to 145.5 over about 45 minutes, Pinny just blasted it from 145.5 to 153 in one flash.

[The HG]

adding tenn tech/ c fla under 149.5 (3 units)

[bigboydan]

I'm liking that zags/duke total myself in that game GanchrowHG.