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Put up or shut up time. On the bubble - Profit or bust. Aiming for the finish line & profit.
Wanted to start fresh for the stretch run again this year. Tried this same thing last season and came out just a tad ahead. Focused on a handful of conference tournaments during Championship Week and then on specific regions for the Big Dance. These may be sides, totals, team totals, props, 1st halves, parlays - whatever I think will win. Write-ups when possible. I will also continue to post 2nd half plays in this thread which may come from any conference or region. I talked to myself in the mirror in a minute ago for a pre-thread prep talk .
Be patient. Make only the best plays. Don't chase. Often easier said than done, but I allowed myself some stupidity down the stretch to hopefully get the moron out of me for this run. Don't care if you fade. Don't care if you follow. We're all aiming for the same thing or at least we should be, making $$$ during what is the most magical sports time of the year. Good luck to your and yours. Let's take some money from those mother f-ing sportsbooks/bookies.
I'll be tweeting these f-ers too - so you can make your speedy fades/follows, so anyone who is a Twat- its my screen name from SBR as my twitter handle if you give two penetrates.
I'll be focusing my full game plays from: Mountain West, Big 12, PAC-12, SEC, C-USA
3.13.13
Mountain West: Air Force +10.5
The Academy played UNLV tough in both contests, covering as 3.5 pt dogs at home and 13.5 dogs on the road where they pushed Vegas to OT in the same venue as the MWC tourney. Air Force's half court style of play seems to give UNLV fits. Air Force has taken the Rebels to OT twice in the last four meetings and stayed within 10 points in all four meetings. UNLV was just 3-7 ATS down the stretch. Air Force covered 6/10 to finish the season. UNLV only covered 3/13 double digit spreads & covered just 5/16 in conference play. Air Force covered 11/16 in the MWC.
PAC-12: Stanford-Arizona State Under 134
Arizona State finished UNDER in 15/15 posted totals this season. Away from home, 7/9 finished UNDER. Stanford trended more to OVERs away from home with 9/13 hitting in that direction, but one of the UNDERs was @ ASU. It is pretty much a contrast in O/U trends.
PAC-12: Colorado-Oregon State Under 134
Heavy UNDER numbers for both. Colorado scoring UNDERs in 16/21 posted games and Oregon State in 16/22. Both regular season meetings finished under, although the one @ Oregon State would have busted the 134 total here. Colorado games have finished UNDER in 13 of the last 14 and only one of those 13 would have eclipsed this total. The Buffs hold opposing teams to 40% shooting which explains the bevy of UNDERs. Oregon State is definitely a bit more giving, but in the regular season finale against Colorado - they allowed just 58 pts, their 3rd lowest total allowed all season.
C-USA: Rice-Houston Over 143.5
Two hugely OVER prone teams this season. Houston with OVERs in 12/16 posted games and Rice in 14/20. Both regular season meetings slid past this number at 146 and 148. Rice's defense has been atrocious, allowing 49% from the floor and nearl 71 ppg. Houston has put up around 77 ppg this season and with their preferred up-tempo style, have allowed about 73 ppg. The Cougars put up 96 points or better in two of their final three games and shot 51% from the floor over their last five. If UH is able to establish tempo, there should be a definite chance here. In the two regular season meetings,
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Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36
