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Why Is Tennessee +9.5 Tomorrow Against Florida?
What's going on with this line? Tennessee has been playing some really good ball the last 2 weeks, why are they 9.5 dogs at home? I know Florida is good, but they've looked shaky against quality SEC opponents on the road (Arkansas, Missouri).
Tennessee looks like a no-brainer here? What am I missing here? Is this one of those "trap" games that I don't know about?
Only thing I can think of is Tennessee coming off a 4 OT game in Texas on Saturday... But Tennessee has won 10 out of 14 in this match-up.
I was kinda thinking the same but I could care less if some college kids played an extra 20 minutes of basketball 3 days ago.Originally Posted by hdrizzle21
Hey Speedy Im a student here at UF and love the bball so Im informed on it, I wouldnt recommend this bet. If Florida has a chance to put some points between them tomorrow Tenn won't catch them again. Final sprint of the season is comin and coach has been preaching some mental toughness going into these last games... that being said Tenn has played some impressive ball lately, but the key is that its IMPRESSIVE not really expected so who knows how it will fare against Patrick Young on the block and Roario/Wilbekin/etcetc. on the perimeter.... just my two cents haha.
There is nothing wrong with this line, I figured it would be -10. I don't have an opinion on it yet though.
You did, or KenPom did?
Pomeroy has -13
Line still seems weird to me. I was expecting Florida to be around -7ish.
Frazier is also out so the rotation is thinning out, but I believe Florida will take care of business tomorrow. They are too balanced and extremely well coached.
i can't go that extra overtime stuff either of being tired, wasn't it last year the team that one march madness played 5 games in 5 days.
really not much point in making them any smaller of a fav,,,when the last time gators won a gm by less than 10?
Not at all this year, closest win was by 13 points.
how about the over 124, seems pretty low?
So I guess it's Florida spread or Tennessee ML then huh?
I'm most likely going to be on Tenn spread and sprinkle some on the ML. Don't see why Tennessee can't hang here. Hard to pass up a 9 point home dog on national TV.
The risks to both of those is Tennessee may not score enough. Florida ranks second in the country in defensive efficiency, fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed, fourth in two-point defense and 26th in three-point defense. Tennessee is 167th in eFG%, 112th in 2-pt% and 262nd in 3-pt%. With all of that said, I have no interest in laying this many points on the road and the 124 seems to be spot on to me so I'll just pass.
line seems a bit fishy.
maybe a trap?
How is the line fishy and a trap for who?
a trap for Florida bettors. Florida is a much better team and on a neutral court would win by 25-30 points.
But Florida is about to play in a hostile enviorment like they have never seen before infront of thousands of hilly billy back country drunk red necks that have been sippin moonshine all day.
Those kids will shit their pants in this enviorment.
Tennesee is a barking dog tonight
College kids don't drink moonshine try Miller Lt. or flavored vodka
See and the OP is questioning why the line is so HIGH with Tennessee seemingly playing well lately. That only supports my belief that the line is "right" with guys making cases for both sides.
Your right- 124 is dead on. My original cap of the game was Florida 51-47. Tho went against my last nights research and went with Tennessee +8.5 and the 335 $line as well as Tennessee o/57.5 pts. I hope I didn't second guess myself and make a big mistake. I did Saturday with the Seton /Louisville game. I had the first half Louisville 40 -28 on paper ,but neglected to go with that and took Seton +10.5 1st half. 40-26 loss for me. Tho with this game tonight I believe Tennessee will be very aggressive and will see the foul line a lot. I'm accounting for 22 pts from the free throw line and believe they get 24 pts from 3 balls. 57.5 just seems very fair & I cant pass on it.
I think this is a major trap for Florida bettors. Yes, Tennessee is the inferior opponent, but I think TN has the edge here. Florida's only struggles this year have come on the road, meanwhile Ten. has been playing well at home.
The biggest factor for me here is Florida will only be playing 6 of its main players. Yeguete is still out and now Frazier is out. They can't go on the road with only 6 players so Donovan will be playing a combo of his 3 freshmen bench players (all weighing in at 190lbs or less, and all have shot poorly in their limited playing time). These kids are going to get out muscled by a desperate Tennessee squad in a hostile environment.
Only way Florida covers is if they are hitting their 3s tonight in a big way. That's tough to judge - Tennessee has held opponents from 3 under 30% (incl. ole miss; Henderson launches 3s all night) but Tennessee has also let opponents shoot 50% beyond the arc.
U of Tenn students do, trust meCollege kids don't drink moonshine try Miller Lt. or flavored vodka
8.5 now, Florida will easily cover this...just my opinion tho
Took Tennessee at +9 last night. Gonna sprinkle some on the ML. Don't see why the Vols can't cover this. I faded Florida in Arkansas last month, and I faded them last week in Missouri, hopefully it works again.
That is nowhere near what the environment is like
I'm gonna take Florida cause they've not covered last two games and Tenn has covered their last 5 or six. I'm a DUE kinda guy. Also if I'm gonna give 9 points I might as well bet the same amount on the over in case Tenn scores alot of points I at least push.
Florida either beats teams by double digits or lose straight up.
LT - I do think the line is trappy for UT bettors. UT has beaten UF 6 out of the last 7. UF with a short bench in a hostile environment, haven't played well on the road and giving 9 as a road fave??
UT can be very offensively challenged at times. The guy UF has to contain is McRae. Jarnell and Young will cancel each other out but UF guards will be the difference. Wilbekin and Rosario are great defenders that will cause a bunch of turnovers IMO.
UF wins this one by 17. Parlay this with Chicago over the Irvinless Cavs.
The line drop looks good for Tenn backers, but at the same time I ask myself why did they open at +9.5? Hopefully not to get people to Tenn at a big number. We saw the same thing with Michigan opening at -11 and closing at -8.5 and they covered the opening line.
Took the Vols +4.5 1st half. Think theyz keep it close to start game.
Saw this just before tip and tailed ya! Winnah! Thanks
Volunteers looking good.
thinking the same
Good call fella's. This one is a wrap. UF looks like they wore lead shoes tonight. Zero intensity.
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