1. 02-08-13 04:52 PM #1
    Nomadik
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    Can Dartmouth hang within 7 vs Columbia 1H?

    Shitty card today, but I think this might hit.
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  2. 02-08-13 05:07 PM #2
    jinxpro13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nomadik View Post
    Shitty card today, but I think this might hit.
    I think so. took the game instead. I notice you like 1H bets, but they always seem to kill me.. so I think youre in good shape since I didnt bet it lol.
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  3. 02-08-13 05:10 PM #3
    pokergem
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    I think there can be good edges in 1h and 2h bets if you really follow the teams and pace they start out at. Duke this season (prior to last night) had been starting very slow in games and having great 2h for instance.
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  4. 02-08-13 05:16 PM #4
    Nomadik
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    Yes, I play 1H's a lot. A lot of teams have predictive half performances, especially against certain opponents.
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  5. 02-08-13 05:45 PM #5
    hkarmy_kenny
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    Booked this earlier today. Out of all the plays on the card and 1H leans, this was my favorite.

    Here's my analysis:

    Dartmouth's Average 1H Scoring Margin:
    -3.7 Year Avg
    +2 Last 3 Games
    -4.4 Away Avg

    Columbia's Average 1H Scoring Margin:
    0 Even Year Avg
    -6.7 Last 3 Games
    +1.5 Home Avg

    Dartmouth 1H PPG:
    26.5 Year Avg
    26.3 Last 3 Games
    24.3 Away

    Columbia 1H PPG:
    27.6 Year Avg
    24.7 Last 3 Games
    26.7 Home


    Now with that said, KenPom SOS Pyth for Dartmouth is .4256 versus .4305 for Columbia and TeamRankings SOS Dartmouth 97 versus Columbia 98.7 leads me to believe they've played a fairly even schedule in terms of strength.

    Dartmouth Opponent 1H PPG :
    30.2 Avg
    24.3 Last 3
    28.8 Away

    Columbia Opponent 1H PPG:
    27.6 Avg
    31.3 Last 3
    27.5 Home

    Their previous similar opponent was Army on January 8th. Dartmouth (home) won by 17 and Columbia won by 12 (away). Their 1H scores in this game were Army 28 - Dartmouth 37. Columbia 24 - Army 29.

    Today is a shit card and this play looks amazing on paper....not sure if thats a good thing or a bad thing.

    1H +7 Dartmouth 2x
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  6. 02-08-13 05:48 PM #6
    jinxpro13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nomadik View Post
    Yes, I play 1H's a lot. A lot of teams have predictive half performances, especially against certain opponents.
    i hear you man seen you been hitting these at a high clip last couple weeks.
    bol
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  7. 02-08-13 06:00 PM #7
    hkarmy_kenny
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    Late $ on Columbia
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  8. 02-08-13 06:55 PM #8
    Nomadik
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    Bad move Columbia backers. 1h anyway.
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  9. 02-08-13 07:07 PM #9
    hkarmy_kenny
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    Cashed. good shit nomadik
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  10. 02-08-13 07:50 PM #10
    jinxpro13
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    atta boy
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