What is going on here?
A look inside the numbers:
Arizona (according to Ken Pom) is 11th offensively and 25th defensively. UCLA is 22 and 110.
A look at Arizona's wins versus potential tourny teams:
-1 point win at Clemson
-1 point mirical win versus Florida at home
-Blowout of Miami missing a few of its best players
-1 point win versus san diego state
-9 point overtime win at home to colorado
-3 point win at home to Utah
-10 point win at Oregon state
-17 point win at Arizona state.
UCLA also scores more points, rebounds slightly better, has more assists, and shoots better from the field.
That being said, UCLA's only true games away from home they've done this:
-8 point loss on a neutral floor to Georgetown
-4 point win on a neutral floor to UGA
-9 point loss to SDSU on a neutral floor
-2 Point win on a neutral floor to Texas
-4 point win at Utah
-3 point win at Colorado.
This team is definitely untested on the road, but 9.5 seems like a heck of a lot of points. I can't see how you could take Arizona before you take the under here, I just am not sure Arizona will win this thing by 5 possessions with UCLA coming off a loss. If you think Arizona matches up well that is only because they will be able to limit Drew and shut down Muhamad, if thats the case the under at 147 has to be the play.