1. 03-20-12 06:02 PM #1
    lite1up
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    Big play on Fairfield ML (-190) tonight

    Robert Morris has nobody that can defend Olander. Fairfield has been playing inspired basketball in the CBI. Expect them to cover the 4.5 at home but prefer the money line.
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  2. 03-20-12 06:04 PM #2
    lite1up
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    shit...thought this game was tonight.


    Big play for WEDNESDAY. Doesn't change my feelings on this game.
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  3. 03-20-12 10:41 PM #3
    lite1up
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    Any thoughts on this game? A win here puts me way into the black for March.
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  4. 03-21-12 12:29 AM #4
    lite1up
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    313 to win 167 on Fairfield. Almost 12% of bankroll. This is hopefully my last tilt play for a long time. Anybody have any insight into this matchup? Fairfield tough at home and has been playing extremely well dating to the MAAC tournament. Robert Morris pretty hot lately as well. Fairfield has more size and plays in a tougher conference. I'll go with the home team here. I'm not really familiar with Robert Morris other than what I could glean from kenpom.

    Win this and I'm up in a big way for March and pretty much done betting big other than fading Lang's big dime releases....lose and i'm slightly below break even.
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  5. 03-21-12 01:20 AM #5
    SBRMAN23
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    I like farfield also they are tough play great D and like you say have the size in the post Rmu doesn't they should destroy them on the boards like the ml
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  6. 03-21-12 09:08 AM #6
    lite1up
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    Thanks. That's my read on this game. Fairfield and RMU play fairly similar styles....Fairfield is simply bigger & better. RMU has some horrible losses on their resume...only noteworthy win over Ohio.
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  7. 03-21-12 09:54 AM #7
    lite1up
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    RMU ML up to +205. Debating whether or not to arb this to guarantee a small profit
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  8. 03-21-12 11:07 AM #8
    crispix
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    Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
    Debating whether or not to arb this to guarantee a small profit
    School me - what's 'arb'? Thanks.
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  9. 03-21-12 11:17 AM #9
    lite1up
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    Quote Originally Posted by crispix View Post
    School me - what's 'arb'? Thanks.
    Picking up a ML at a certain value, then playing the other side after the ML moves away from your original play, guaranteeing that you make a profit no matter what.

    I'm already on Fairfield -190...ML moved so that RMU is now +205. I have 313 to win 167 on Fairfield, if I were to put $160 on RMU +205, that bet would be $160 to win $328. If Fairfield wins, I win $7. If Robert Morris wins, I win $15. No way I can lose.

    Some guys make a living doing this, but you need a huge bankroll, several books and plenty of time on your hands. I just walked right into this one....probably won't do it since I'm confident enough in my Fairfield pick to not basically hedge out of this bet to win peanuts.
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  10. 03-21-12 11:44 AM #10
    Owls
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    I like Fairfield as well, they have the size advantage, home court is always more meaningful in a tournament, and very well coached.
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  11. 03-22-12 02:43 AM #11
    lite1up
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    Up nearly $1K from the start of the tournament after tonight after losing a few serious tilt bets early on and almost being buried. Feels damn good. Going to take it easy and manage my bankroll appropriately from here on in.
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  12. 03-22-12 02:51 AM #12
    BernardMadoff
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    ......................
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  13. 03-22-12 02:57 AM #13
    lite1up
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    This message is hidden because BernardMadoff is on your ignore list.

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