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EatDust11 Totals picks
I'm going to try to keep a continuous thread and I will post my record below at the end of each day as well.. we'll see if i'm worth tailing or if I should be faded..
I will add to the posts throughout each day.
Friday 13th
First play is:
UAB/Tulsa over 127- Like this one quite a bit... looks like 135 or so at least.
Adding:
Villanova over 139 (The first time these two played the shooting percentages were horrendous)
Adding some more:
Missouri over 157.5
Nevada over 126.5 (This one looks very good to me)
Duke over 146
As of the start of today my record is 2-3 on these posts.... let's get it going!
Saturday 14th
LSU/Miss State over 139.5 (Miss State needs this win and should be doing a lot of fouling at the end if its close)
Purdue/Illinois over 117.5 (Purdue is starting to click and is pushing the tempo a little more of late)
Adding a couple more for the 14th
Temple/Duq. over 140 (Duquesne should push this tempo)
Utah State/Nevada over 133 (My play of the day... this one looks very good to go over)
eatdust, i like the Purdue/Illinois over, too. how do you like Akron/Buffalo over 122.5?
Watch out for Louisville
Knowing Louisville this 6 1/2 is way too many
Want to know what you guys and girls think?
Louisville now 7 1/2
I just don,t understand and I,m from Louisville
Biff,
Hope you played that Florida State game.. I actually played Fl State Moneyline for the game... nice win there... unfortunately Illinois hasn't scored in 10 minutes! Pathetic! Cmon guys....
The Akron and Buffalo game is a no play for me.. I hate betting on the overs in MAC games and the conference tourny's have been going low...
Dennis,
I am sitting out the Syracuse and Louisville game... will watch but not wager on it... too many unknowns because of the fatigue factor to put money on anything in that game for me.
Originally Posted by DennisT
Knowing Louisville this 6 1/2 is way too many
Want to know what you guys and girls think?
yeah, FSU/UNC 1H under was my big play of day, so that was nice. Illini are killing us, oh well, still time and they do have shooters. this recent stretch has been horrible. like that Utah St/Nevada over, tailing you on that one.
Adding Baylor/Missouri over 148.5
eatdust, you catch the end of the Illinois/Purdue game? some coaches will foul far beyond reason, and Bruce Weber is one of them [Dayton coach does it too]. feels like we stole that one, but i've had enough 1/2-point losses lately, so it's nice when it breaks the right way. that's why i like 1H unders, game and 2H overs. FTs can kill any under.
Wow, I guess I should start picking sides or just 2nd halves... keep winning 2nd halves and losing totals.... oh well...
Biff, Yeah that was crazy... the Illini were pathetic, but those late three's did just enough!
I like the Nevada/Utah State over a lot I'm going to double up on it... hope we cash that one... i'm thinking it goes over 140.. with a line at 133 i'll take it heavy..
i'm already heavy on Nevada/Utah St over, so i'll sit tight. if it goes under 1H and is close, might consider 2H over.
A little late now since the game started a bit ago... but i did play the under in the cs northridge/pacific game.... i won't count that one toward my record since i didn't get it posted in time... huge win on my biggest play of the day on utah state and nevada... finally got a huge break!
Sunday 15th
Duke/FSU over 134
tuesday 17th
UAB vs Notre Dame under 148.5 (play of day)
Adding one more under for tonight... Penn State/GMU under 123.5
Wednesday 18th
Providence vs. Miami over 147.5
TN Martin vs. Auburn over 147.5
Adding
Wisconsin Green Bay over 147 (They have gone over the spread 16 times in a row!)
Georgetown under 136.5 (Counting on Georgetown to slow this game down)
eatdust, how do you like the following:
Butler/LSU over (127) - already played this one
Radford/UNC 1H under (76) and game under (162.5)
UT-Chatt/UConn 1H under (67.5) and game under (145)
American/Nova 1H under (59.5) and game under (129)
Akron/Gonzaga 1H under (61.5) and game under (133)
Binghampton/Duke 1H under (63.5) and game under (136.5) - this is probably my favorite
normally stick to 1H unders and play overs game/2H in conf/NCAA tournament b/c of potential for FTs in do-or-die situation, but all of the above game unders should be double digit wins so there shouldn't be too many FTs.
thanks for any thoughts.
Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 03-19-09 at 08:27 AM.
Biff,
I'm on
LSU over 127 as well..
on the over in Gonzaga/Akron at 131.5 though..
Like the Duke under a lot... will probably take that one myself...
The Chat/UConn under also looks good...
My least favorite of those are
Gonzaga under (I'm on over)
Nova under (Nova could push tempo too much)
I like the others! Good luck!
Today's totals thus far:
LSU over 127
Memphis over 131
Gonzaga over 131.5
eatdust, thanks a lot. i'll call Nova and Gonzaga no-plays. plenty of options, and those were low numbers. BOL today. will think more on UConn and UNC unders.
LSU over cashes
Memphis over cashes... Let's keep it going!
Gonzaga over cashes and that makes a 3-0 first day of the tourny... hope some of you tailed!
eatdust, great call on Gonzaga. definitely tailed you on that, and on LSU too. good day.
Nice Biff... Hope you stayed off that Nova under... lots of overs today
i did stay away from Nova game altogether. 2-4 yesterday, so looking for better day today.
in the first 8 games, i initially like the following over/unders, in order of preference:
SF Austin/Cuse over (130)
Utah St/Marquette over (142)
ETSU/Pitt under (147.5)
Temple/Arizona State over (123.5)
any thoughts?
Biff..
Cuse game over is a pretty good one.. though i dont know if i'll play it...
Utah State and Marquette is a no play for me... actually playing very small on the utah state moneyline...
ETSU and pitt I actually already booked the over at 147.5 (I could see 90-65 in this one)
Temple ASU is also a no play for me... ASU overs scare me...
I like the Portland State/Xavier over later today... I have to cap the later games more still...
Friday 18th
Oklahoma State under 157.5
Pittsburgh over 147.5
more later... let's keep the winning streak going!
eatdust, thanks. Cuse over is my big play so far, and also on NDSU/KU over small and tailing you on OK St/Tenn over. BOL today. will cap later games soon and pay attention to Port St/Xavier over.
Biff,
I'm actually on the Ok State under.. .though the over looks pretty good right now..
oops, meant under.
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