1. 12-07-11 03:01 PM #1
    Urbanwildlife
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    Why is Middle Tennessee only favored by 4.5 over UAB?

    Can someone please answer this for me? Much appreciated!
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  2. 12-07-11 03:23 PM #2
    LSUtiger
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    This has been stumping me all day. I saw the line last night and added it to a 6-team progressive parlay I've been working on. Mid Tenn. -4.5 is my fifth pick, and I'm starting to get nervous because of fishy lines. On paper, MTSU is a far better team and should win this no problem. They're leading the nation in FG%, averaging 80 ppg, 8-1 overall with only loss in 2OT, and 8-0 ATS. On the other hand, UAB has only beaten Troy. UAB was favored by 14 and won by 12, and is currently 1-6 ATS this season. They are 1-3 overall and 0-4 ATS at home this season. Over the last four games, UAB has scored 46,54, 47,48,points where MTSU has scored 88, 90, 77, 77. MTSU has only scored less than 77 points once this season (58 vs. LMU), while UAB has only scored over 60 points once (71 vs. Troy) I have a feeling that UAB will get some points in the paint and slow down MTSU, but if MTSU shoots anywhere near their average I think they roll by 11-15.
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  3. 12-07-11 03:26 PM #3
    Urbanwildlife
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    That is my take exactly. Hopefully others will share more input on this game, as I am considering putting several dimes on it.
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  4. 12-07-11 03:30 PM #4
    +Even
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    everything points to MTS and everyone is betting them....that's why I'm staying away
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  5. 12-07-11 03:38 PM #5
    RoadDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by +Even View Post
    everything points to MTS and everyone is betting them....that's why I'm staying away
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  6. 12-07-11 03:42 PM #6
    ridims
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    Jason Jones is out for Midd tenn which is somewhat a loss for them.

    I would stay away.
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  7. 12-07-11 03:50 PM #7
    Duke Fan
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    From about 3 miles away, I have learned to avoid UAB regardless of the sport. Mess all over themselves when tbey have a chance to do something good, then bite you in the butt when you go against. With this many games on the board, look another way.
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  8. 12-07-11 04:08 PM #8
    LSUtiger
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    Jason Jones is out for Midd tenn which is somewhat a loss for them.
    Where do you see that??
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  9. 12-07-11 04:13 PM #9
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    Jason Jones is out for Midd tenn which is somewhat a loss for them.

    I would stay away.
    lol
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  10. 12-07-11 04:14 PM #10
    Urbanwildlife
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    I pulled the trigger on Middle Tennessee, so let's hope like hell they come through.

    Wager Type : Spread
    Wager Status : Pending Risk / To Win Amount : 1,573.50 / 1,311.25(USD)
    Accepted : 12/7/2011 1:43PM - PST

    Wager Type : Spread
    Outcome : Pending
    Sport / Period : NCAA Basketball / Game
    Selection : Middle Tennessee St
    Time : 12/7/2011 5:00:00PM - (PST)
    Line : -4 -120

    I lost a fricking dime last night on Marquettes sorry ass performance.
    Last edited by Urbanwildlife; 12-07-11 at 04:20 PM.
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  11. 12-07-11 04:14 PM #11
    warriorfan707
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    With a name like that how can you back them?

    Middle Tennessee State

    They just sound like the blow
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  12. 12-07-11 04:15 PM #12
    gba
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    Im with ya....GL
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  13. 12-07-11 04:15 PM #13
    ridims
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    Jason JonesG/FOut Indefinitely (back)http://www.sportsbookreview.com/ncaa-basketb.../20111207-771/

    Jason Jones G/F - Out Indefinately.
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  14. 12-07-11 04:16 PM #14
    ridims
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    g luck
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  15. 12-07-11 04:19 PM #15
    Ch Br
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    hmmm
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  16. 12-07-11 04:21 PM #16
    ridims
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    there is a reason why the spread is where its at people

    UAB is 0-5 ATS in its last home games. Wouldnt you think the spread would be higher esp against a team who is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 and is only lost once this year.

    pffftt. good luck with this one. the books arent as stupid as you think.
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  17. 12-07-11 04:21 PM #17
    ridims
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    lol
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  18. 12-07-11 04:22 PM #18
    testertips
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    Jason JonesG/FOut Indefinitely (back)http://www.sportsbookreview.com/ncaa-basketb.../20111207-771/

    Jason Jones G/F - Out Indefinately.
    makes sense why the line is where it's at.

    still rolling with mtsu... nice and square. good luck to us
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  19. 12-07-11 04:23 PM #19
    ridims
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    id stay away no need many better games/options
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  20. 12-07-11 04:25 PM #20
    Urbanwildlife
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    All I know is that I hope the trends continue!
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  21. 12-07-11 04:26 PM #21
    Urbanwildlife
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    @ testertips
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  22. 12-07-11 04:27 PM #22
    anthonyc023
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    just like the elon game the other night was a trap lol
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  23. 12-07-11 04:29 PM #23
    testertips
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    jason jones has played in only 5 of mtsu's 9 games averaging 25.9% of the minutes play on the team - lowest. would be nice to have him in but let's hope it doesn't factor much.
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  24. 12-07-11 04:32 PM #24
    Urbanwildlife
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    .... explained by testertips below.
    Last edited by Urbanwildlife; 12-07-11 at 04:37 PM.
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  25. 12-07-11 04:35 PM #25
    testertips
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    anthony is laughing at everyone calling elon a trap when they easily covered... i don't think he's laughing at the mtsu play...
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  26. 12-07-11 04:37 PM #26
    Urbanwildlife
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    Thanks!
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  27. 12-07-11 04:39 PM #27
    Maddhatter
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    Jones being out shouldn't hamper MTSU. He missed the first 4 games this season. He is averaging 9.4 pts/game 20m/g in the 5 games he did play in. They still are undefeated on the road and they have the top 4 out of 5 shooters in their league on the team (none of them Jason Jones). Leading rebounders are Dendy and Sulton. He is definitely a contributor for sure but not a major one. I still like MTSU here against a mediocre UAB team.
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  28. 12-07-11 04:40 PM #28
    testertips
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    Quote Originally Posted by testertips View Post
    makes sense why the line is where it's at.

    still rolling with mtsu... nice and square. good luck to us
    not saying this is the only reason, but i'm sure it factored
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  29. 12-07-11 04:43 PM #29
    chiliv5
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    UAB still has to get he ball in the basket. I hammered Ball State last night looking about the same as this with the money moving on Edwardsville. UAB is trash. IF they cover its a loss, but I can't imagine the books thinking they are going to clean house on this game.... Mid Ten ST it is...
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  30. 12-07-11 04:52 PM #30
    Duke Fan
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    Not applicable to this thread, but where do you find the SBR trivia?
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  31. 12-07-11 05:00 PM #31
    Maddhatter
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duke Fan View Post
    Not applicable to this thread, but where do you find the SBR trivia?
    Seems to pop up randomly time to time.
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  32. 12-07-11 05:13 PM #32
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by chiliv5 View Post
    UAB still has to get he ball in the basket. I hammered Ball State last night looking about the same as this with the money moving on Edwardsville. UAB is trash. IF they cover its a loss, but I can't imagine the books thinking they are going to clean house on this game.... Mid Ten ST it is...
    Number should be 4 based on ratings, still a road game for MTSU and UAB will start to click a little soon, they are young.
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  33. 12-07-11 05:45 PM #33
    Jago2008
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    Its down to -3 1/2 now @ betonline. I jumped all over this too. Forget about analyzing the casino's line justification, that full point value is enough to convince me, a 7-1 team coming off a thrashing of Akron, facing a 1-6 team on the road, I'm sure they can cover 3 1/2. I'm rolling with you.
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  34. 12-07-11 05:48 PM #34
    +Even
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jago2008 View Post
    Its down to -3 1/2 now @ BetOnline. I jumped all over this too. Forget about analyzing the casino's line justification, that full point value is enough to convince me, a 7-1 team coming off a thrashing of Akron, facing a 1-6 team on the road, I'm sure they can cover 3 1/2. I'm rolling with you.

    be carefull just looking at their records. A lot of people go into trouble doing that last night in the Wofford game
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  35. 12-07-11 05:56 PM #35
    Night-Tripper
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    Jason JonesG/FOut Indefinitely (back)http://www.sportsbookreview.com/ncaa-basketb.../20111207-771/

    Jason Jones G/F - Out Indefinately.
    According to the MTS/goblueraiders website... there's nothing wrong with him.
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