[LT Profits]

Arkansas State +3.5 -107 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 72-48, 60.0%, +20.81

[balls2wall]

Awesome start to the year LT


keep up the good work

[Mr Handicapable]

Arkansas State +4 now. I worked on this thing last year based off the Ken Pomeroy ratings where you take a dog of +5 or more that is much better defensively. It hit really well but the rankings were more solid because I didn't get it rolling til more than halfway thru the season. Still this one is interesting.
Arkansas State 68th defensively while AP is 180th

[firehoyt]

I've got em at +4.5. Hope it continues to grow. AP is pathetic this year.

[LT Profits]

Yeah the market is shitting on me here and I don't know why. That is usually a bad sign.

[HoulihansTX]

It was RAS.

I like Ark even more

[firehoyt]

RAS is on AP?

[TPowell]

good play. Arkansas State is well coached under Brady, while APSU has had the same coach since I was born (1990!!!!). The guy is simply an average coach at best, while Brady is an above average coach. APSU has plenty of talent with Edmonson and some other guys, but they don't play very smart basketball. I was hoping for more than 3.5 so I waited overnight. Hoping I can get this line around 5 or so

[LT Profits]

Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.

[BernardMadoff]

I think its more of Austin Peay is due for a win.

[TPowell]

Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.

more individual talent on APSU, but thinking they have chemistry problems from my talks with somebody close to the program (live an hour from campus). If they put it together, they COULD run Arky State out of the gym but I have no reason to think that happens tonight

[RoadDog]

After capping this game I felt that Arkansas St. is going to have a very tough time scoring and that was enough for me to make this a no play. That's all I can really think of here.

[szyy604]

a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.

Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????

[RoadDog]

a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.

Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????

I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well

[BernardMadoff]

Kinda think Peay covers, everybody knows Peay's record, if the Oddsmaker thought Ark. St. was more than likely to win this then the number would be closer to, I think they want you on Ark. St. for this game.

[szyy604]

I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well

I'll probably use CSU for just my contests, and CSU, Boise -18 and maybe ark +4.5? but this line movement is really screwing with me.

[mbs4]

Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?

[LT Profits]

Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?

I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.

[mbs4]

I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.

Thanks. Keep up the good work.

[CollegeOverUnder]

good call on this one

[No coincidences]

What a comeback!

[CollegeOverUnder]

oh crud i didn't see it went into OT sorry hope I didn't jinx this shit

[No coincidences]

What a rollercoaster ride.

Reminds me of UCSB last week vs. UNLV.

[TPowell]

luckily I had +5 but tough break on the 3.5. Overtime

[deadstare]

fukk man arkansas had it in the final seconds of regulation... thankfully i took +4.5
the idiots fouled AP with 2 seconds left in OT down by 3

[Mr Handicapable]

My +5 is good.....3.5 not so much. That was a rollercoaster! Down 11 2H....then up 2 late....then OT....then down 8...lost hope and then they cut it to 4 to cover!!

[LT Profits]

Shit happens. If we all knew for sure which way the line will move, we'd all be millionaires. Luckily, I've been right more often than I've been wrong this year and this is one of the few times I got burned.

[LT Profits]

It was just one of those nights as I also lost an NHL UNDER 5.5 in a game that was 0-0 until 7:00 left in second period.

[Quagmire27]

1 CBB Play Monay

Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay

[LT Profits]

Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay

LOL. I'm surprised nobody caught that typo sooner. As for the flamer part, you'll have to check with my wife.