Sacramento are not a great team obviously, but the Clippers on the road have been flat out terrible sporting a record of 11-17 ATS and 1-7 ATS in their last 8. Historically, Sacramento has gone 4-1-1 against the spread versus the Clippers over the last 6 games, winning every game when favored at home over that span. Kings opening up as a 2 point fav tells me a lot as well. Not sure how many units to put on this play yet, I'll figure it out closer to game time.
Here are a few tidbits that I dug up:
- Kings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
- Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Clippers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Also looking at the Suns/Nets under 206. Sort of liked Denver but too many people like them as well.