So the season is a few weeks in now and teams are starting to settle into their own. I'm going to be posting my picks in here simply to track my own record and learn from what I view to be some of the best in the betting biz - you guys!
I wager pretty much daily (NBA and NFL) on my government run betting outfit (ya, I know... I'm going to be opening an account at one of the books with the next week or so)
My job affords me A LOT of free time to do what I choose on the Internet etc... so I will be on here pretty much daily for a good chunk of time.
Plays for today....
MEM +7.5 @ PHI - feel this is too many points to be giving vs a soft Philly team.
MIA @ TOR - 3.5 - Toronto coming off a tough road trip. Hungry for a win vs a MIA team who has been struggling. TOR has been killing ATS @ home and it will continue here as the Raps look to gain momentum.
ORL +6.5 @ BOS - Leaning on ORL so far but haven't pulled the trigger. Not sure if Nelson's absence will account for a loss by 7+ points or not - may stay away, may lay soft on ORL
POR @ GS +8.5 - GS historically plays POR well. Ill take the points at home.
DEN -8.5 @ LAC - Nuggets are well rested and have way too much talent for the Clippers. DEN is second in the league in FT% while LAC allows the 3rd highest FT%, has the worst FT avg. in the league and allows the 2nd most 3's in the league. Cherry on the top - LAC is 0-5 ATS @ home
CLE -6.5 @ IND - Would like to take James and Co. given they are comming off a loss, but there's something about IND at home that scares me off the 7pts - if it were 4-5pts I'd take em. May just stay away.
HOU @ ATL - 6.5 - ATL was the original play but the more I look at it, HOU just scares the shit outta me. I thought the loss of Ming and McGrady was going to hurt - apparently not. May just stay away from this one too.
Looking at the SAC @ DAL -11.5 game currently. 12 points seems too high for a SAC team that has been playing fairly good lately. Mind you, last time they had 3 days rest they got slapped around by CHI.
any thoughts folks?