1. 02-13-11 06:51 AM #1
    illfuuptn
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    This how the NBA works?

    So the favorites just always cover right? They just cover the spread no matter what. If they're 6 point favorites the either smash their opponent by 20 or are losing with 4 minutes left but still totally cover. Is that how you win? Just bet the favorites every time? Because the underdogs sure as hell don't win ever. I'm pretty sure any underdog on the spread is supposed to be +400 but for whatever reason my sportsbook just does -110. I think I'd still bet the faves every time even at -400 ats.
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  2. 02-13-11 06:54 AM #2
    cala56
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    are you in a bad streak?
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  3. 02-13-11 06:58 AM #3
    illfuuptn
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    I haven't won in the NBA for like 10 days in a row. I'm about 30% over the last 2 weeks picking 90% underdogs.
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  4. 02-22-11 11:51 PM #4
    illfuuptn
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    The NBA is awesome!

    Anyone wanna pull up the stats for this season on how often the favorites have covered the spread? I'll give points. I'm pretty sure the strategy for betting the NBA is as follows:
    1.) Log in to sportsbook.
    2.) Find NBA betting lines.
    3.) Identify which teams are the favorites.
    4.) Lay anything up to -450 on the spread on said favorites.
    5.) Exit sportsbook.
    6.) Win every game.
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  5. 02-22-11 11:54 PM #5
    LLXC
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    Not counting today, I have favorites at 384-410-23 ATS.
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  6. 02-22-11 11:54 PM #6
    iceminers26
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    would much rather bet every dog on the ML night in and night out than the favorite....winning percentage won't be the greatest but if you can hit around 40 percent you'll make a profit as opposed to having to hit over 80% on ML favs.
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  7. 02-22-11 11:55 PM #7
    Cuse0323
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    didn't i beat you in a contest to never post again.
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  8. 02-22-11 11:55 PM #8
    DrStale
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    didn't i beat you in a contest to never post again.
    God I hope so
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  9. 02-22-11 11:57 PM #9
    VegasInsider
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    All Favorites: 443-464-21 (48.84%)

    Home Favorites: 315-334-13 (48.54%)

    covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/trends/league/season.html
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  10. 02-22-11 11:58 PM #10
    illfuuptn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    didn't i beat you in a contest to never post again.
    There was a rule in our contest. You weren't allowed to tilt bet 40 games the day before the contest ends and make 70 units just to luckbox a small victory. I smashed you and neither one of us will ever for a second believe that you won that contest.
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  11. 02-23-11 12:02 AM #11
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by illfuuptn View Post
    There was a rule in our contest. You weren't allowed to tilt bet 40 games the day before the contest ends and make 70 units just to luckbox a small victory. I smashed you and neither one of us will ever for a second believe that you won that contest.
    i was away for 19 days without access to a computer so i pretty much had to. either way, you lost.
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  12. 02-23-11 12:06 AM #12
    illfuuptn
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    Quote Originally Posted by LLXC View Post
    Not counting today, I have favorites at 384-410-23 ATS.
    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    All Favorites: 443-464-21 (48.84%)

    Home Favorites: 315-334-13 (48.54%)

    covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/trends/league/season.html
    LLXC- VI's numbers seem more accurate so no points for you.
    VegasInsider- I'll give you a point if you challenge me to a real money competition.
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  13. 02-23-11 12:07 AM #13
    VegasInsider
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    Sorry, no real money competitions. I got my PM's disabled for a month because I suggest that last time. Not really looking to get banned for breaking more rules.
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  14. 02-23-11 12:09 AM #14
    InTheRed
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    Quote Originally Posted by illfuuptn View Post
    I'll give points.
    Quote Originally Posted by illfuuptn View Post
    VegasInsider- I'll give you a point if you challenge me to a real money competition.
    Just give the guy pts. Don't be a dick.
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  15. 02-23-11 12:09 AM #15
    illfuuptn
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    Sorry, no real money competitions. I got my PM's disabled for a month because I suggest that last time. Not really looking to get banned for breaking more rules.
    You should go on twoplustwo. People there actually have cocks.
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  16. 02-23-11 03:17 AM #16
    dwluv3333
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    lol after watching the cleveland cavaliers beat the LA lakers last week, it should be the be-all, end-all prime example of the idea that there is NEVER a such thing as a lock
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  17. 02-23-11 03:41 AM #17
    kings12
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    Agreed if betting favorites all the time was that easy, then everyone would be rich.
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  18. 02-23-11 05:28 AM #18
    dlew2k
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    unofficially of course.. betting the chalk on the NHL totals you would be around 55% and minus the juice you be breaking even. Why bother.
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  19. 02-23-11 05:36 AM #19
    Sawyer
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    Betting on large favourites, laying chalk is the quickway to poorhouse.
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