[Zwer23]

Hi, i started to bet few months ago, went threw all kinds of stuff to finally find best plays to be on a winning side, last 2 weeks i had tons of plays, as u can see in my spreadsheet which i started few days ago, but i filtered many and last 7 days went with new way of picking games and i was 18-12-1 on that plays. So i will post them her for a while, if it will continue to go on a profit side, expect me to hang out here for a while )

Numbers you will see are created from home team scoring + away team defence /2, and away team scoring + home team defence/2.
ATS means team winning more then 57% ATS
NOATS team is less then 43% ATS wins
------------------------------------------
WAS 96.4 ... NOATS ... +7.5
ATL 102.35 ... NOATS ... -7.5
totals combined: 198.75 ...line at o/u196.5 ...
too close, both teams neather over or under team.. and no play!

Even with Was on NOATS, the way Atl plays lately, especially at home, and Was getting better, my play is:
Was +7.5
-------------------------------------------
SAC 101.35 ... NOATS ... +2
LAC 101.25 ... NOATS ... -2
totals combined: 202.6 ...line at 193.5 ...
Big difference, and even sacramento is scoring low last few games, i think it will open up a bit today with bad clippers, and they will go on over side a few points, so my play is:
SAC-LAC OVER 193.5
----------------------------

OVERALL RECORD 0-0-0
ATS RECORD 0-0-0
O/U RECORD 0-0-0

[Zwer23]

As i feared, when i start posting, it will go this way..ah, we will see after a day or two, maybe it will be a good fading material

OVERALL RECORD 0-2-0
ATS RECORD 0-1-0
O/U RECORD 0-1-0

[Zwer23]

CLE...94.5....Under.... +11
ORL...104.5..NOATS... -11
Difference is 10, not really shure about that, Orlando dosn't cover ATS thiy year, and Cleveland nether, so i'm gonna stay away...
totals combined...199...line at 193..good enozgh difference for me, i think, Orl will score good today, and Cleveland will have enough points to cover the over...so my play is:
ORL-CLE OVER 193
--------------------
HOU...103.2...NOATS,Under... +3.5
CHA...105.5...OVER..... -3.5
Charlotte should get this one, good interior defence to slow down Scola, and Houston just dosn't cover ATS at all, so i'll go with Cha -3
Totals combined are 208...line is at 199...i'm going for OVER 199 on this one
----------------------
TOR...96.......UNDER,ATS...+10
BOS...102.8...OVER,ATS....-10
I can see Tor cover the line, but to be more shure, i'll take TOR +11
Totals combined 198.8, line at 196.5... but I'm going with Under 196.5
--------------------
OKC...96.5...over............-1.5
IND...100.....under,ATS....+1.5
Totals at 196.5, line at 204.5...deffinetly going with Under 204.5
-------------------
DAL...101.1...under,ATS...+4
SAS...102.7...over,ATS....-4
Totals at 203.8, line at 196.5...I'm going with Over 196.5
and Dallas plays very good on road, i can see them at least cover ATS,and to be more shure, so my play is:
Dallas +5
-------------------
LAL.....105.4...ATS...-1.5
UTAH..102.3...ATS...+1.5
Going with LAL -1.5, i just think they are a better team, and Utah is not good enough
Totals combined at 207.7, line at 204, and the was Utah plays, its OVER 204
-------------------
LAC...102.3...NOATS...........+9
PHX...108.7...NOATS,OVER...-9
tOTALS COMBINED AT 211, LINE AT 214.5,and I'm not shure about that play at all..
But i think Phx -8 is the play
-------------------
GSW...98.2...under..+7
MEM...105..............-7
Totals at 203.2, line at 208.5, and GSW playin a lot under lately, i take UNDER 208.5
-------------------
CHI....101.4...under,ATS......+3.5
DEN...106......under,NOATS..-3.5
Totals combined at 207.4..line at 204.5, both teams play mostly Under thus year, but not so shure about that here, and not shure abouth over eathee..so no play..
My play is DEN -3
-------------------
MIL....97...noats,under...+1
DET...95...ats,under.......-1
Totals combined at 192, line at 183.5...it should mean Over, but the way this teams play def and shoots lately, I'm sticking with UNDER 183.5
second play is Milw -1, they are a better team, should get this one
---------------------
2-6 o/u
3-3 spread
push

OVERALL RECORD 5-11-1
ATS RECORD 3-4-1
O/U RECORD 2-7-0

Looks like a good fader so far xD

[Zwer23]

Too lazy for writeup...

DAL-MIA UNDER 189.5
GSW-MIN UNDER 219.5
ATL-NYK OVER 209.5

more plays later

[Zwer23]

NJN +3
MEM ML
MIL -2
MIA +3
WAS +7
ORL 1Q -1.5
ORL-WAS over49 1Q
GSW-MIN u55 1Q

[Zwer23]

min 1q -1
mil 1q -1

[Zwer23]

totals 3-2
spread 4-4

OVERALL RECORD 12-17-1
ATS RECORD 7-8-1
O/U RECORD 5-9-0
1Q RECORD 4-1-0

[Zwer23]

jazz-lac 1Q over 47.5
SAS +3, buyed the points
NJN+5.5
den 1Q -1
LAL 1Q -3
IND +10
LAL-IND over 200
POR-NJN Over 185
JAZZ-LAC Over 195

[Zwer23]

noh 1q -0.5

[Austin103]

Nice man, no worries about your record, at least your posting your plays.

I will check your thread out man, feel free to check out mine as well: A103's NBA Thread

[Zwer23]

Phx +5.5
Hou-OKC Under 211
DEN-PHX Under 220

[Zwer23]

Nice man, no worries about your record, at least your posting your plays.

I will check your thread out man, feel free to check out mine as well: A103's NBA Thread

thx man, i still dont put big money on this, just been testing my picking skills, but i get better by day, so if i start picking winners, i will start bet normal on them )

[Zwer23]

...
was looking into Den-PHX 1Q under 54.5, but stayed away
also for hou 1Q...det 1Q too...

[Austin103]

thx man, i still dont put big money on this, just been testing my picking skills, but i get better by day, so if i start picking winners, i will start bet normal on them )

Sounds good man!

[Zwer23]

10-2-1

totals 4-2
spread 6-0-1
(1Q 3-0-1)

OVERALL RECORD 22-19-2
ATS RECORD 13-8-2
O/U RECORD 9-11-0
(1Q RECORD 7-1-1)

[Zwer23]

points allowed is already in formula.. i take points scored away + points allowed, and i take some middle number
lets say some team scores 100 away, and opponent allows 104 at home, i take 102 as a number to look into...
i tried this last 5 days
and if u go every day with a litteral bet, the way "sistem" says, for spreads and for over- under, it eded up 42-26-2 ...maybe i was just lucky

but if i look at that , lets say today, i would hit ATL UNDER, and ML
NYK over and +2 for NYK
JAZZ over, but missed LAC +7, which i wouldn't bed anyway...SAS +2 and OVER...
these were the numbers

atl 100
tor 99.2

nyk 104
det 104

jazz 100.2
LAC 97.5

SAS 98.5
NOH 99

It vas overall 42-26-2

last night 12-4

updated 54-30-2 ..btw, in this "system" i really like buying 0.5 or 1 point to get advantage...it helped me in 6-7 games to get a winner or a push!

btw... betting on dogs +1.5 point was overall 70-25 since i track....
last night 6-2
overall 76-27!!

I'm gonna start betting from now on with that "system"!! ))

[Zwer23]

Hou +10
Hou-Dal Under 199 (System says Over, but I'll go with Under, because houston will slow down game, and Dallas allow 92 points at home)

[Zwer23]

Sounds good man!

and looks good from last day record!

[Zwer23]

Was +12
was-mia over 197
noh +4
jazz-mil over 188
hou 1q +3

[Zwer23]

I have some college hoops, just to follow it and see how it goes, no money on that for now

Minnesota -13
UAB -8
St.Peters +13
NC Wilmington +10
USC +2
Florida Intl +10

this college bball is just crazy, hard to pick games, when a team that has -15,they can easily can lose by 10, and the other way, team with +10, looses by 20 even when they should be sticking under 10...

COLLEGE BBALL RECORD 3-3-0

[Zwer23]

ANOTHER GREAT DAY
5-1-1

totals 3-0-0
spread 2-1-1
(1Q 1-0-0)

OVERALL RECORD 27-20-3
SPREAD RECORD 15-9-3
TOTALS RECORD 12-11-0
(1Q RECORD 8-1-1)

LAST 2 DAYS 15-3-2

[Zwer23]

1 PHI 76ers +4.0

2 NJ Nets +5.0

3 CLE Cavaliers +8.0

4 BOS-CLE Under 193.0

5 POR-PHI Under 192.0

6 IND-SAC Under 191.0

7 GS Warriors +4.0 (0.5 Units)

8 LAL-MEM Over 204.0

9 MEM Grizzlies +7.0

10 NYK-NJN Under 206.0

11 IND -3

[Zwer23]

CBB

Fullerton +14
Illinois -5
Northwestern -6
Western Carolina -2
St.Louis +5
Ohio st. -4.5
Cornell +17
Sacramento st. +22
Iowa -2
Indiana st +15.5
Houston +9
South Dakota st. -6
Michigan +9
Georgetown -1

[brahmabull117]

1 PHI 76ers +4.0

2 NJ Nets +5.0

3 CLE Cavaliers +8.0

4 BOS-CLE Under 193.0

5 POR-PHI Under 192.0

6 IND-SAC Under 191.0

7 GS Warriors +4.0

8 LAL-MEM Over 204.0

9 MEM Grizzlies +7.0

10 NYK-NJN Under 206.0

11 IND -3

I'm with you on nearly every pick but that golden state one is really baffling to me


every form of analysis I'm doing right now points to San Antonio Winning by 10-15 points...and the spread isn't even 5 points


the last 2 times these 2 teams played in Golden State, the spurs won by a combined 43 points

oh and the spurs beat Golden state in 4 out of 4 games last year by a combined 88 points

[Zwer23]

I'm with you on nearly every pick but that golden state one is really baffling to me


every form of analysis I'm doing right now points to San Antonio Winning by 10-15 points...and the spread isn't even 5 points


the last 2 times these 2 teams played in Golden State, the spurs won by a combined 43 points

oh and the spurs beat Golden state in 4 out of 4 games last year by a combined 88 points

I was looking at that too, wasn't really shure at all, actually, i don't know why i'm on it, lol, looking for a surprise I guess, Ellis playing great against Spurs, Lee is back, Curry and Wright playin very good, and teams always put more effort on home games, I'm on this with 0.5 unit, didn't mension that on my play's list...

[Zwer23]

12 BOS Celtics 1Q -2.5

13 ORL Magic 1Q -3.5

14 GS Warriors 1Q +1.0 (0.5 Units)

15 ORL-DET 1Q Under 49.0

16 IND-SAC 1Q Under 50.0

17 DET +11(I wrote it wrong, i had it at 12, buyed 1 point)

[Zwer23]

too many plays, and later i filtered out 5 plays that i wouldn't play if i can choose again, gotta do that for tommorow before posting and betting again!

[Zwer23]

Cbb 8-6
college bball record 11-9-0

[Zwer23]

RECAP, NBA
7-9-1

totals 3-3-1
spread 4-6-0
(1Q 2-3-0)

OVERALL RECORD 34-29-4
SPREAD RECORD 19-15-3
TOTALS RECORD 15-14-1
(1Q RECORD 10-4-1)


[/color]

[Zwer23]

CBB

Arkansas
Pacific
Utah st.
W.Michigan
C.Michigan
Michigan st.
Commenvealth
Loyola mymt
Arkansas RL
UC Davis
Irvine
W.Kentucky
Alabama
Indiana
St.Josephs
Florida Intl

[Zwer23]

1. was-tor 1q u51.5
2. min-dal 1q u52
3. mil-den 1q u51
4. noh 1q -2.5
5. noh 1h -4.5
6. dal 1h -6
7. tor 1h -2.5
8. tor-was under 208
9. sas-lac over 203
10. utah-ind over 197
11. lal-hou under 205
12. hou +7
13. ind +8
14. mem +6
15. LAC 1Q +2
    

[Zwer23]

Test plays:
Mia 3Q -3
SAS 4Q -1.5
Cha 4Q +2
CHI 4Q -0.5

fail, no plays again for this

[Zwer23]

RECAP, NBA
9-6-0

totals 3-4-0
spread 6-2-0
(1Q & 1H 6-2-0)

OVERALL RECORD 43-35-4
SPREAD RECORD 25-17-3
TOTALS RECORD 18-18-1
(1Q & 1H RECORD 16-6-1)

[Zwer23]

Cbb 5-11

[Zwer23]

After a few days testing, gonna be much more selective from now on for CBB, no more 15games like the other night..starting a fresh record count

Cbb

oregon +6
ucla +16.5
Baylor-9


3-0-0