If Houston and San Antonio win tonight, which they should (going against the Clippers and Jazz, both at home):
3 SA vs 6 PHX
4 UTA vs 5 HOU
If Houston and Phoenix win (against LAC and Portland), and the Jazz manage to beat San Antonio, it's:
3 UTA vs 6 SA
4 PHX vs 5 HOU
Your money aside, which scenario do you like more? (There are, of course, other scenarios; but I really don't see Houston losing, or Phoenix for that matter.)