1. 02-19-06 07:49 AM #1
    newb411breaker19
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    Betting the WNBA

    I wish statfox had the game results for 2004 and 2005 but what I found in 2003 was very cool. 272 games went under and 237 games went over. that's a 53.5% bias towards the under. If you played the under on every game you still would've profited 10 units. And if you eliminated the 5 games who's totals was between 120 and 124 that would be 272 under and 232 over, nearly a 54% bias to the under. wow i hope ive convinced everyone to bet wnba totals in the summer. i know i will be. I just hope that hasn't changed in the last couple of seasons because maybe it has
    Last edited by newb411breaker19; 02-19-06 at 08:58 AM.
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  2. 02-19-06 09:43 AM #2
    BuddyBear
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    thanks Newb...that's some really interesting information. I would think that perhaps last year was an anomaly of sorts b/c typically it o/u over the course of a season tend to be roughly 50/50....but I'll keep my eye on that one.
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  3. 02-19-06 11:54 AM #3
    bigboydan
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    i've been thinking about betting on this sport sense last year. a few people sweat to me that there is alot of value betting on the WNBA.
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  4. 02-19-06 12:29 PM #4
    Alamorich
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    I have also been looking at the WNBA and am more than willing to give it a try.
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  5. 02-19-06 02:27 PM #5
    Dark Horse
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    The lines are softer because not too many people bet on it, and games are easier to cap than in the NBA because you'll hardly ever find a team that takes the night off.
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  6. 02-19-06 02:38 PM #6
    aje
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    covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/wnba/teams/teams.html

    If you want more to research here you go.
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  7. 02-19-06 02:55 PM #7
    newb411breaker19
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    oh sweet aje thanks for that. I never would've found that on covers site.
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  8. 02-19-06 03:16 PM #8
    newb411breaker19
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    yeah, unfortunately 2003 was just an anomaly, sorry guys. but maybe in the WNBA they don't have as many off days like they seem to have in the nba
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  9. 02-19-06 03:37 PM #9
    aje
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    Almost every year in every sport you'll find a trend that would have provided you a profit betting on it blindly. The only problem is it's hindsight. You may want to look at certain situations.
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  10. 02-19-06 05:14 PM #10
    bigboydan
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    i noticed that last year myself. covers does offer alot of info on this sport. i just hope that the techies will put a feed up on the SBR Odds service there for the wnba.
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  11. 02-19-06 05:54 PM #11
    Alamorich
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    Quote Originally Posted by aje
    Almost every year in every sport you'll find a trend that would have provided you a profit betting on it blindly. The only problem is it's hindsight. You may want to look at certain situations.
    Last in year college football I made up my mind to bet on the blind on certain teams either for or against based on my preseason handicapping and what I know about the publics tendencies in College football and it paid off in a huge way.
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  12. 02-19-06 06:30 PM #12
    aje
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alamorich
    Last in year college football I made up my mind to bet on the blind on certain teams either for or against based on my preseason handicapping and what I know about the publics tendencies in College football and it paid off in a huge way.
    That's Great Bro! I like to see all do well. I still don't understand how that applies to the use of a spreadsheet. Unless maybe your betting solely on line moves.
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  13. 02-19-06 06:37 PM #13
    Alamorich
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    Don't know anything about spreadsheets...now that's sounding like work to me. What I'm talking about is spotting a trend early in it's developement and betting it blindly over time. If you have guessed right you will have struck a vein of gold.
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  14. 02-19-06 06:51 PM #14
    aje
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    Alright that's cool. I understand. Your just trying to look for value with certain teams that the public's not on.
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  15. 02-19-06 07:14 PM #15
    imgv94
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    aje you will be receiving many rep points if you keep this up.
    you have been very helpful! I will be voting for you right now!!

    Very good my man!!
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  16. 02-19-06 07:39 PM #16
    mad
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    Yuck, Vagina Ball. Boys i wouldn't bet this with your money.
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  17. 02-19-06 07:41 PM #17
    imgv94
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    I would bet it with there money, but not mine!!!
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  18. 02-19-06 07:50 PM #18
    mad
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    You're right mate. They should've never been allowed to leave the kitchen. "Cook my dinner" is what i say. Plenty of time for basketball after you've done the washing up me lady.
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  19. 02-19-06 08:01 PM #19
    Dark Horse
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    I think I have a pretty good idea how the totals are set for the WNBA and when a total is off. The crazy thing is that, using set parameters between projected and posted totals, the last two weeks of June (2005) produced a 6-7 record, then July jumped to 23-8, and August leveled off again, starting out 5-5. It's almost as if the books knowingly gave up their edge for a month...

    Anyway, I'll post the plays for July.
    Last edited by Dark Horse; 02-19-06 at 08:08 PM.
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  20. 02-19-06 08:20 PM #20
    Illusion
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    Quote Originally Posted by mad
    Yuck, Vagina Ball. Boys i wouldn't bet this with your money.
    I bet it a few times, but couldn't find an angle.

    BTW, I like your new avatar.
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