[Razz]

My opines:

NCAA

2* West Virginia +6 - I think they'll win this one, if not it should be close.
2* Rutgers +1.5 - I had this line at Rutgers -3.5, so...
1* Illinois +3 - Can't envision Ohio St. repeating incredible shooting they had at Michigan. Illinois is as good a road team as there is in college basketball.
1* Cincinnati +9 - Letdown for Pitt, and Cincy hasn't been blown out often this season.
1* Miami -2 - Hurricanes have already proven they can beat UNC, and Miami's guards should dominate.

NBA
1* Heat +3 - Fading the public here (honestly can't see the line continuing to rise, so I went on and played it). I think Riley and his team get the win here.

[imgv94]

I don't blame you for fading the public. I do see this line going up. Public
will see it like getting Pistons and -only giving 3 points and being able to
watch it on T.V will get squares into this bet. Detroit's square as f\*\*k.

But hey Detroit's solid. I am going to middle this game anyway.

[presley177]

Cinci +9 looks great. I'll have to look into that one a little more.

[imgv94]

I wish someone would look at the Ohio U/Western Michigan game. W,mich
plays good at home, but Ohio beat them by 32 earlier?? Ohio looks
tough..

[Illusion]

Cinci +9 looks great. I'll have to look into that one a little more.

That's another one that jumped out at me. I will probably play the Bearcats.

[Razz]

I wish someone would look at the Ohio U/Western Michigan game. W,mich
plays good at home, but Ohio beat them by 32 earlier?? Ohio looks
tough..

I was actually hoping that line would come out more in the 5/6 range, so I could take Western Michigan. I sort of think they will win this game.

[presley177]

I wish someone would look at the Ohio U/Western Michigan game. W,mich
plays good at home, but Ohio beat them by 32 earlier?? Ohio looks
tough..

Ohio beat them by 30 points a little more than a month ago. ...ouch!

Western Michigan's defense sucks.

despite that i think i'm passing on this game.

[JayEgdarWho]

BOS -4 (-107) (3 units);
UNDER 188.5 (1 unit)
For the reasons in my posts above. BOS is rested, confident, and has a plan, and ORL is something of a mess. On the BOS side, it's a lot like the IND play Friday night against GS after THEIR blowout of POR -- same setting. Going to wait to see if GHill moves it down to 3 or under, then move in.

IND +5 (-107) 2 units
A live underdog with a set lineup and a battle plan for the first time all year. Always tough to go against SA, but they are more vulnerable lately and this may be their soft spot on the road trip. Hoping to get a +6 or better by tipoff. Pacers have no excuse for anything less than top form.

UNDER 203.5 @ SAC (-105) 2 units
Looks like a reputation total, and a stale one. Hawks are not an automatic 100+ any more, and same is true of Sacto. SAC probably still on their toes with the newness of things -- if this were a more routine time for them, this might be a spot for ATL.

DET-MIA
Holding 2 units of DET +1 (-107) and 2 units of DET E (-107) from this afternoon, waiting for a middle or a side, but am feeling good about DET here even though they are not in top form and are public as hell. This is not last year's Heat team, and to me the problems seem real, not just a Riley psyche job. It would not be so bad to hold some or even most of this.

Can't quite pull the trigger on the Knicks, Bulls, or Wizards -- but the temptation was there.

GL to all --
jump on in here
give us some picks and some reasons!!!

[juuso]

Really great thread. Great posts and anylysis. I'm a bit busy right now and have to sleep few hours soon. But i will look into the games a little later. We should have this kind of thread every day. Kudos to imgv, brilliant idea buddy

[imgv94]

Thanks brother!! Looks like my little invention is working fairly well.
I reckon we will be doing this forever now.

[Illusion]

Considering this thread has gotten 45 responses I would it's a great idea.

[imgv94]

Cinci +9 looks great. I'll have to look into that one a little more.

Cincy sucks bad on the road.. This teams been
blown out alot this season. But Pitt letdown
factor might be evident.

[Adamo]

.......
But hey Detroit's solid. I am going to middle this game anyway.

Hey IMG, can you explain a little here on middling the game? I have already got Det -1.5 for 6 units can you give me an example?

Cheers buddy

[Illusion]

It's simple, you can get +3 at Cris and if the Pistons win by 2 then you win both bets.

[imgv94]

Yeah, I expect Miami to go up to 4 maybe 4 1/2. If that happens you
can have Det -1.5 and Miami +4.5 and lets say Detroit wins by 2,3,4 you
would win both bets.

[Illusion]

Middles are hard to hit, but the reward can be well worth it.

[bigboydan]

Middles in bases not that hard in bases. that is if you use the overnite nickel line at 5dimes.

[imgv94]

I also teased Det to +3.5 and going to tease Miami +9.5/10 tomorrow.
that will be sweet.

[imgv94]

The more I look in the Detroit game the more I love
Detroit. Detroit will outsmart the Heat. They will
put Shaq in foul trouble,and play there crafty
way. They will make there Free throws Miami
won't. Detroit wants to be proclaimed best team
in the league again, since Dallas lost.

[Adamo]

Yeah, I expect Miami to go up to 4 maybe 4 1/2. If that happens you
can have Det -1.5 and Miami +4.5 and lets say Detroit wins by 2,3,4 you
would win both bets.

But if Det wins by more than that you lose the +4.5 or
If Miami wins you lose the Det bet.

Is that worth doing guys? Can I get some feed back?

Cheers

[Illusion]

That's completely up to you. That's the risk you take when middling. If you really like Detroit just stick to your original bet.

[imgv94]

Look at it this way.

$110 to win $100 on Det-2
$110 to win $100 on Miami +4.5

Worse case scenario I lose $10 bucks.

Best case scenario I win $200 bucks.

[presley177]

Look at it this way.

$110 to win $100 on Det-2
$110 to win $100 on Miami +4.5

Worse case scenario I lose $10 bucks.

Best case scenario I win $200 bucks.

you might as well play that 10 dollars in a parlay.

[imgv94]

you might as well play that 10 dollars in a parlay.

So you think there's no chance Detroit wins by 2,3 or 4?

[Illusion]

When the line opened you could have gotten -2 with plus money on Pinnacle's drop down menu. If you had that and then get Miami +4 -105-110 your risk is almost 0. You just have to get the right line.

[imgv94]

I still have 3 units on Detroit-3 +110. That will be calcualted in my
decisions.

[presley177]

So you think there's no chance Detroit wins by 2,3 or 4?

not necessarily no chance but i really think the Miami team has the easy potential of getting blown out just by the way they play against the good teams.

I personally would just do a 2 or 3 team parlay or something.

[imgv94]

I just found a nice play!!! writing it up as we speak!!

OOOH this is a winner!! Illusion your putting

at least 1/2 unit on it just for me!! O.k!

[Illusion]

Let's see it bud.

[pags11]

good thread...I'm thinking Cincy plays tough tommorrow and so does WVU...

[pags11]

and I feel UMass steps it up tommorrow as well...

[Alamorich]

Celtics play much much better at home and have learned to close out the tight games in their own building. Maybe they don't blow them out but the should cash the ticket.

WV just doesn't get any respect. Always good value with them getting points. They can bomb away from the arc and keep the game close no matter who or where they play.

Pistons at anything under -5 is a steal no matter who or where they are playing.

I love the kid from Cinnci...(Mohamed?)...guard with big hair. If he is hitting his 3es we should end up within the number.

[Patrick McIrish]

Good thread IMG. Like everyone else I am hanging on to a Detroit bet, got them +1 -107 at Hollywood. Scares me when everyone plays the same side though. Also like Clippers tonight, bet them at 6-....

[Razz]

I love the kid from Cinnci...(Mohamed?)...guard with big hair. If he is hitting his 3es we should end up within the number.

Of course, he (Jihad Mohammed) gets three fouls in 5 minutes in the first half, and they commit 67 turnovers with him not in there.

[Alamorich]

[QUOTE=Razz]Of course, he (Jihad Mohammed) gets three fouls in 5 minutes in the first half, and they commit 67 turnovers with him not in there.[/QU

Was out all day so did not catch the game thank god.