[LT Profits]

Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Saturday (Mar 1) we will commence with the March Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis for both games will be NO ACTION. Once your two-team parlay has been posted, you CANNOT change either play. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake (such as leaving out "Over" or "Under" or not clearly stating your selection), need to add analysis or wish to enter corrected lines, do so in a seperate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not tip off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not parlay selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts or congratulatory posts.

6. And here’s the fine print:

• Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
  
• One entry per household and IP address.
  
• Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
  
• Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
  
• Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
  
• All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
  
• SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  
• Residents outside the Continental US may be awarded the cash value prize instead of the monitor.

[LT Profits]

STANDINGS 
Name            W       L       W/P     Units
Deke101   	5	3	0	100.00
Wrigley     	5	4	0	90.00
20Four7     	4	3	1	83.00
beaneaters 	5	5	0	80.00
Poker Beast	3	2	0	58.00
The HG      	4	5	0	54.00
louisvillekid  	4	6	0	44.00
maestrobobcobb	4	6	0	44.00
msubulldog	2	1	0	42.00
greek     	3	4	0	38.00
babaoriley 	3	5	0	28.00
LLXC       	3	5	0	28.00
thezbar      	3	5	0	28.00
LT Profits	3	6	1	27.00
seaborneq     	3	6	1	27.00
Peyton2Marvin	2	3	0	22.00
charlie64  	3	6	0	18.00
IHPuller   	3	6	0	18.00
regularguy  	3	6	0	18.00
turnip     	3	6	0	18.00
Cabo        	1	1	0	16.00
justdoingit 	2	4	0	12.00
ralquis       	2	4	0	12.00
sharktank1  	2	4	0	12.00
sir.civic   	2	4	0	12.00
diogee    	3	7	0	8.00
goldengoat    	3	7	0	8.00
rake922      	3	7	0	8.00
Mr KLC      	1	2	0	6.00
myr10      	1	2	0	6.00
harsh506    	2	5	0	2.00
awhitejackson	1	3	0	-4.00
VBOMBER  	1	3	0	-4.00
dannyt76 	2	6	0	-8.00
rugbybdyb  	2	6	0	-8.00
13th Street	0	1	0	-10.00
gzolling9783	0	1	0	-10.00
imgv94       	0	1	0	-10.00
indy62      	0	1	0	-10.00
MadCapper 	0	1	0	-10.00
OegNo    	0	1	0	-10.00
shantystar 	0	1	0	-10.00
stump      	0	1	0	-10.00
gizmo2431  	0	2	0	-20.00
kkhimji2001	0	2	0	-20.00
louisvillekid1	0	2	0	-20.00
picantel      	0	2	0	-20.00
dwaechte  	1	5	0	-24.00
szaidi99    	1	5	0	-24.00
pokernut9999	1	6	1	-25.00
pavyracer    	2	8	0	-28.00
McRich      	0	3	0	-30.00
brock      	1	6	0	-34.00
Data         	0	4	0	-40.00
junkman773	0	4	0	-40.00
rjt721      	0	4	0	-40.00
Dark Horse	0	5	0	-50.00
xyzky     	0	5	0	-50.00
mundane   	1	8	0	-54.00
Junkyard Dog	1	9	0	-64.00
Wyndham 	0	8	0	-80.00


GAME-BY-GAME 
Name            W       L       P        Pct
msubulldog	5	1	0	83.3%
Deke101   	12	4	0	75.0%
Cabo        	3	1	0	75.0%
20Four7     	11	4	1	73.3%
Wrigley     	13	5	0	72.2%
beaneaters 	14	6	0	70.0%
Peyton2Marvin	7	3	0	70.0%
Poker Beast	7	3	0	70.0%
The HG      	12	6	0	66.7%
Mr KLC      	4	2	0	66.7%
LT Profits	12	7	1	63.2%
babaoriley 	10	6	0	62.5%
dannyt76 	10	6	0	62.5%
VBOMBER  	5	3	0	62.5%
regularguy  	11	7	0	61.1%
turnip     	11	7	0	61.1%
diogee    	12	8	0	60.0%
louisvillekid  	12	8	0	60.0%
thezbar      	9	6	1	60.0%
ralquis       	7	5	0	58.3%
sharktank1  	7	5	0	58.3%
sir.civic   	7	5	0	58.3%
seaborneq     	11	8	1	57.9%
greek     	8	6	0	57.1%
harsh506    	8	6	0	57.1%
LLXC       	9	7	0	56.3%
pavyracer    	11	9	0	55.0%
rake922      	11	9	0	55.0%
rugbybdyb  	8	7	1	53.3%
goldengoat    	10	9	1	52.6%
maestrobobcobb	10	10	0	50.0%
charlie64  	9	9	0	50.0%
IHPuller   	9	9	0	50.0%
mundane   	9	9	0	50.0%
brock      	7	7	0	50.0%
justdoingit 	6	6	0	50.0%
myr10      	3	3	0	50.0%
gizmo2431  	2	2	0	50.0%
kkhimji2001	2	2	0	50.0%
gzolling9783	1	1	0	50.0%
imgv94       	1	1	0	50.0%
indy62      	1	1	0	50.0%
OegNo    	1	1	0	50.0%
shantystar 	1	1	0	50.0%
stump      	1	1	0	50.0%
pokernut9999	7	8	1	46.7%
dwaechte  	5	7	0	41.7%
Junkyard Dog	8	12	0	40.0%
Dark Horse	4	6	0	40.0%
junkman773	3	5	0	37.5%
rjt721      	3	5	0	37.5%
Wyndham 	4	11	1	26.7%
szaidi99    	3	9	0	25.0%
awhitejackson	2	6	0	25.0%
picantel      	1	3	0	25.0%
xyzky     	2	8	0	20.0%
13th Street	0	2	0	0.0%
Data         	0	8	0	0.0%
louisvillekid1	0	4	0	0.0%
MadCapper 	0	2	0	0.0%
McRich      	0	6	0	0.0%

[LT Profits]

NBA Basketball

Tue 3/11 551 Seattle Supersonics +8 Over 218˝
7:05PM (EST) 552 Indiana Pacers -8 Under 218˝

Tue 3/11 553 Milwaukee Bucks +7 Over 202˝
7:05PM (EST) 554 Washington Wizards -7 Under 202˝

Tue 3/11 555 Portland Trailblazers -1˝ Over 189˝
8:05PM (EST) 556 Minnesota Timberwolves +1˝ Under 189˝

Tue 3/11 557 Utah Jazz -3˝ Over 215
8:35PM (EST) 558 Chicago Bulls +3˝ Under 215

Tue 3/11 559 Memphis Grizzlies +15 Over 220˝
10:05PM (EST) 560 Phoenix Suns -15 Under 220˝

Tue 3/11 561 Toronto Raptors +11˝ Over 212˝
10:35PM (EST) 562 Los Angeles Lakers -11˝ Under 212˝


NCAA Basketball

Tue 3/11 563 Pennsylvania +3 Over 130
7:00PM (EST) 564 Princeton -3 Under 130

Tue 3/11 565 Cleveland State +10 Over 119
9:00PM (EST) 566 Butler -10 Under 119

Tue 3/11 567 Middle Tenn St +8˝ Over 135˝
9:00PM (EST) 568 Western Kentucky -8˝ Under 135˝

Tue 3/11 569 Louisiana Tech +6˝ Over 131˝
9:30PM (EST) 570 San Jose State -6˝ Under 131˝

Tue 3/11 571 Weber State +3˝ Over 133
8:30PM (EST) 572 Northern Arizona -3˝ Under 133

Tue 3/11 573 Idaho State +13˝ Over 132˝
11:00PM (EST) 574 Portland State -13˝ Under 132˝

Tue 3/11 575 IUPUI +3˝ Over 130
7:00PM (EST) 576 Oral Roberts -3˝ Under 130

[shantystar]

556 Minnesota Timberwolves +1˝
562 Los Angeles Lakers -11˝

[junkman773]

3-11-08
557 Utah -3.5
Jazz 30-15 ats when total is great than 210
Bulls 2-8 ATS after Div. game

Take UTAH -3.5


569 LA TECH +6.5
LA. Tech 6-1 ats after allowing 80 or more points
San Jose 2-8 ats vs. losing teams

Take LA. Tech + 6.5

Good Luck

[LT Profits]

shantystar,

Your post will not count unless you add a post with analysis.

[justdoingit]

Blazers -1 1/2 82% of public is on portland but the line is moving away from them!

Princeton -3 Pennsylvania is 3-10 when playing on the road this season. Pennsylvania (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 76.6 points per game, while Princeton (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 63.7 points per game.

[Poker_Beast]

Jazz -3.5

I think this will be an easy win for the Jazz as the Bulls are just plain bad as of late

Portland -1.5

This one is scary because of the large amount of cash on them but how do they lose? The Wolves SUCK!

[Cabo]

Lakers/Raptors over 212.5 - Both teams have put up big numbers of late.
Utah Jazz -3˝ - Jazz have won and covered last 5, look for them to contiue.

[LT Profits]

BLAZERS/TIMBERWOLVES UNDER 189.5: I was lucky enough to get this line in real life, although it has now dropped to 185. Portland is coming back with no rest after scoring just 88 last night, and the Under is 10-5 when they play with no rest this season. Most impressively, the Under is 26-10, 72.2 percent in Blazers conference games this season! The Under is 35-25-2, 58.3 percent in all T-Wolves games, and this is their first home game after a West Coast trip, so they may come out sluggish (well...more sluggish than usual...LOL).

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE/WESTERN KY UNDER 135.5: Both of these teams have been Under-friendly in Sun Belt play. The Under is 13-7 in MTSU's Sun Belt games this season, while the Under is also 11-7 in Western Kentucky's conference games this season and 22-10-1 over the last two years. Most importantly, the Under is 4-0 in the last four head-to-head meetings with the two encounters this year averaging just 125.0 points.

[babaoriley]

Blazers -1 1/2 82% of public is on portland but the line is moving away from them!

Princeton -3 Pennsylvania is 3-10 when playing on the road this season. Pennsylvania (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 76.6 points per game, while Princeton (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 63.7 points per game.

Again, if the public is on a team to the tune of 82% and the line is shifting the other way, wouldn't that imply that the sharps are pounding the other side, heavily? And wouldn't you rather side with the sharps than the public? I'm just confused as to the reasoning you listed. I have no opinion on that game, though based on the public vs. sharp perception, I tend to lean Wolves.

[babaoriley]

T-Wolves +1.5---Why you ask? Because of all the points mentioned by LT, there is one that sticks out to me: Portland is coming off a game last night at Cleveland. A tough game in which they pretty much blew the game in the 4th. Also, line movement suggests sharps on Minny while public is heavy on Portland. I'll go sharp here.

Portland/Minny UNDER 189.5--- LT hit this pretty well above, but may I add something: Any time a total shifts 4.5 points in a very short period of time and I can still get the early line, I'm taking it. Like a free leg of a teaser here.

[The HG]

Bulls +3.5 - Utah is not so great on the road. Kirilenko is back and the Bulls are still underachieving, but I think they'll be able to do well here, I'm not ready to write them off as a mediocre team just yet.

Timberwolves +1.5 - Portland is on a 4th in 5 days, and Minny has won 2 in a row and playing with some energy. I like them better with Randy Foye at the point, I think they're more likely to win here than not.

[nevadaside]

UTAH/CHI Under215
These two have only broken this total twice in like the last 17 meetings....don't see CHI putting up their share right now either.

PORT/MINN+1.5
Initial lean for me was PORT, but they seem to be slumping as their road trip progresses, taking the Hm team w/pts here.

[Junkyard Dog]

565 Cleveland State +10 - cleveland st has more to play for then butler ill take the double digits

567 Middle Tenn St +8˝ - mtsu is confident after their last win and i dont bet against teams on runs in conf tourneys

[seaborneq]

Butler -10, The Butler did it.........again, points won't matter, the Indians can play defense

IUPUI +3.5, The karma is with the shoeless coach

[mundane]

Portland Trailblazers -1˝
blazerz looked really good against the cavs. against the minny? they will look great! roy wont be guarding anyone and who's gonna guard roy? jefferson will have a tough time trying to score against the frontcourt of blazers. blazers to win easily by dd.

Utah Jazz -3˝
a must win for both teams but jazz have been playing great basketball. i expect the bulls to crumble on this one. boozer will have a field day and if kirilenko plays, they'll be all jazzed up and easily take this game away from the bulls. expect a 55%+ shooting pct jazz on this game.

[regularguy]

Weber State +3.5 (v. Northern Arizona, neutral site)
Weber State leads the all-time series between these teams 62-24. NAU has won both matchups this season -- the second time, at home, by much less than the first time, away. The Wildcats played their best game in a month on Saturday; the Lumberjacks have been idle for 10 days.


Louisiana Tech and San Jose State over 131.5
These teams are not known for their defense. But both have some scoring potential. La Tech has an excellent sophomore guard, Kyle Gibson, who will get about 25% of the over by himself. Both games between these teams this season have gone over. 7 of La Tech's last 8 have gone over. 10 of SJSU's last 13 have gone over.

[maestrobobcobb]

Penn/Princeton over 130: Princeton seven straight "overs": Penn 7-3 over vs under last 10 games:Previous meeting total was 135 and in all games over last 10 years has gone over 7 out of 9 times


LA Tech/ San Jose St. over 131.5: LA Tech 7 out of 8 last games have gone "over": San Jose St three straight "overs". La Tech 3-0 over vs under on neutral court and lastly in all games over last three seasons 5 out of 6 games have gone over total

[LLXC]

568 Western Kentucky -8˝
I expect W. Kentucky to continue to roll and win the conference to get the automatic bid. Middle Tenn St only barely lost to W Kentucky at home because of the FTs they received. On a neutral court, I expect there to be less foul calls.

571 Weber State +3˝
Though Weber St has lost both of its regular season games to N. Arizona, their experience in previous conference tournaments, I believe, will enable them to win tonight.

[sir.civic]

blazers -1.5
blazers will burn these wolves home court like it was a forrest on fire, to leave them hanging outta nowhere..blazers been playin well w/ gud teams..i dont remember who said 81% r leaning towards blazers...well maybe were right but maybe ur wrong now we jst have to see til game time ...go blazers!!!


jazz-3.5 jazz will win this on ease...darren is too hot...okur...way too hot..jst both of them will beat the bullz lol.... go jazz...

lets cashh in boyz

[turnip]

IUPUI +3.5 I think IUPUI's offense is more consistent than ORU's D, and the game should go down to the wire like the first two.

Middle Tenn St +8˝ The Blue Raiders have been a value play the whole second half of their season, time to go with them perhaps one last time.

[Deke101]

LA Tech/San Jose State Over 131.5: Previous meetings were 132 @ SJ St. and 170 @ LA Tech. Neither of these teams play good defense either. They have been putting up OVER's as of late, and I think LA Tech will put up a good fight and put this game somewhere around 67-74 SJ St. wins.

Lakers -11.5: The Raptors will be playing without Bosh. The Lakers have a solid presence down low with Gasol, Odom, and Turiaf off the bench as well. This line has moved to 13 too, and I expect the Lakers to win by 20+. Lakers win 115-94.

[louisvillekid]

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE/WESTERN KY UNDER 135.5: Both of these teams have been Under-friendly in Sun Belt play. The Under is 13-7 in MTSU's Sun Belt games this season, while the Under is also 11-7 in Western Kentucky's conference games this season and 22-10-1 over the last two years. Most importantly, the Under is 4-0 in the last four head-to-head meetings with the two encounters this year averaging just 125.0 points.

great minds think alike, i hope we cash this, i threw 75 on it.

[Mr KLC]

Blazers -1.5

Portland is 9-6 on back to back while the Twolves are 1-6 on two days rest.

Blazers/Twolves Over 189 1/2

I'm going the opposite direction on this. The Blazers shot less than 40% last night. When was the last time the Wolves have done that to anybody?

[louisvillekid]

MTSU/WKU un 135.5 : 5 of the last 6 meeting between the Hilltoppers and Blue Raiders have went under the posted total. In conference play this year 12 out of 20 games for MTSU and 13 out of 20 for WKU have went under the totals.

Weber St/N. Ari. ov 133 : 6 of the last 7 meetings have went over the total. in last years Big Sky tourney these 2 teams put up 168 points.


games i couldn't make up my mind on, LAL,Sea.,Wash.,Utah,Port. St., Cle. St., Louis. Tech, LouisTech/SJSU ov

[greek]

minny at home ats---+1.5 portland good at home but not here on the road / san jose state --6.5 because its freezing here in nebraska and its burning up in new mex. so jan jose covers their tourneyment at home

[harsh506]

portlands tblazers

princeton

no real reasons for tonite except portland could lose

[brock]

554 Washington Wizards -7 won three of the last four meetings with three of them being on the road.

555 Portland Trailblazers -1˝ Going for the third win
of the season vrs Minn.

[Wyndham]

F**king Spurs. It's amazing how I can consistently cash and make profit and top best bet threads, but fail so miserably at this!

Onwards ... and downwards.

Grizzlies/Suns O220.5: Fugg my explanation. I suck, apparently. Suns score a lot, and give up a lot. There you have it. The total will probably be 220.

Raptors/Lakers O212.5: Lakers should top 110 with ease, and I don't see why Toronto can't get 100 against a soft L.A. defense. Final score probably Toronto 102 - L.A. 110.

[dwaechte]

Wizards -7
Memphis +15

Phoenix hasnt proven enough after losing Marion to be favored by 15.

Washington just a much better team than the Bucks.

[Wrigley]

576 Oral Roberts -3˝
ORAL ROBERTS is 5-2 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons think they cover the 3 tonight



555 Portland Trailblazers -1˝
This line is way to low I think Portland wins by 7 or more

[IHPuller]

Oral Roberts -3: I think they are playing good ball and should be the team in the tourney from that conf.

Minn/Port Under 189.5: all the reasons LT Listed and the line drop online all day today makes me think its good tonight.

[goldengoat]

san jose st over 131.5
last game between these two went way over this numbers

Portland State over 132.5
Portland State is an over machine

[beaneaters]

Blazers/T-Wolves, under 189.5. For the reasons given by LT and baba, and that I read once somewhere how its a good idea to bet under the lowest total on the board on a given night.

Pacers -8. Indy (unofficially) is 3-0 as faves off road trips of three or more games this season, while Seattle is struggling as the wind down a long trip.