1. 06-01-10 07:14 PM #1
    ttwarrior1
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    -250 on over 5 1/2 games???

    i know its -250 which aint great but the series will no doubt go 6 or 7 games

    I might actually win a bet. thinking whole account it
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  2. 06-01-10 07:27 PM #2
    JohnnyD4916
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    Looks like a good bet
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  3. 06-01-10 07:30 PM #3
    dbldown
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    Quote Originally Posted by ttwarrior1 View Post
    i know its -250 which aint great but the series will no doubt go 6 or 7 games

    I might actually win a bet. thinking whole account it
    Looks good, not sure about putting the whole account on it though. GL
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  4. 06-01-10 11:17 PM #4
    goofyre
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    I definately wouldn't put a whole account on it. Boston is already beat up, a more serious injury could end the series in 5 games.
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  5. 06-01-10 11:20 PM #5
    Sunde91
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    Not bad.
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  6. 06-02-10 12:42 AM #6
    jessetopolski
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    anyone have odds on celtics in in six.
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  7. 06-02-10 12:57 AM #7
    msully2888
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    celtics win in 6 good bet
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  8. 06-02-10 01:01 AM #8
    Art Vandeleigh
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    If the series is 3-1 either way after game 4 your heart will be pounding pretty good during game 5 if you are all in, that's for sure.
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  9. 06-02-10 10:12 AM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Art Vandeleigh View Post
    If the series is 3-1 either way after game 4 your heart will be pounding pretty good during game 5 if you are all in, that's for sure.
    If either team is down 3-1, the team that's trailing will have a 95% probability of winning Game 5.
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  10. 06-02-10 10:18 AM #10
    terpkeg
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    Looking at 71% it goes over, does not seem worth that large of a wager imho.
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  11. 06-02-10 10:25 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    You can get this down to around -194, which is +EV at 71%, by playing exact series results for appropriate amounts. See Sawyer's thread.

    Personally, I think the correct odds of it going at least 6 games is 85%, but I am adding "outside forces" to my calculation.
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