[og4667]

I figure I wil start posting my picks here in the forum so here it goes...still working on perfecting my money management but all picks are rated between 1-10 units.

1. 5.5 to win 5 units Bobcats +5

Public is all over the Cavs and they are coming off of a b2b and Bobcats have already beaten the Cavs twice this season and have had enough time to regroup after their loss to the Nets. Pretty demoralizing to be beaten by the Nets twice this season but overall bobcats are long and athletic and match up well.

2. 5.5 to win 5 units Suns -4

Hawks got past the Clips with ease the other night and this Suns team is a tough matchup for the Hawks. Crawford's shoulder might not be 100% still and it seems like the Hawks struggle with uptempo teams and this is a good spot for the Suns to get the win and cover.

From a lean standpoint, I like the Blazers, Bucks, Bulls, and Grizz but those are just leans. Thats it for now, more to come maybe...

[og4667]

Adding:
blazers -3 2.2 units to win 2

[og4667]

Solid night last night going 2-1 and picking up 7.8 units of profit. Bobcats won easily, Suns actualy played some D as it was a strange low scoring game, but the Blazers couldn't cut it. Hope everyone had a good night be back here later today.

[og4667]

this game goes off at 9 AM PST.

NCAAB: South Florida -5 Risking 2.2 units to win 2

[og4667]

well South florida couldn't cut it. Posted NCAAB Plays: 0-1 Minus 2.2 units NBA Plays: 2-1 Plus 7.8 units

Leans for today in NBA:

Wizards +6.5
Knicks +5.5
Bulls -4.5
Mavs -10
Pacers +8
Bobcats +3
Kings -1

At this point in the day the game I like the most is the Kings game. Carl Landry is a great addition to this lineup and Clips are dogshit. Baron Davis being out might be a good thing due to his bad attitude, but overall I think they are in a major slump. The Kings should at least play hard and without Kevin Martin they are a better team. Still undecided since I am not crazy about the Kings being road favs. We will see...

[og4667]

ok gonna take the big plunge. Kings have won 5 games on the road this season and tonight they are favored by 1, so like I said gonna take the plunge.

1.1 units to win 1 Kings -1

[og4667]

It must have been the crack I was smokin to bet the kings as road favs last night. what an idiot, oh well.

2 picks as of now:

Orlando -2 2.2 units to win 2
Nuggets -4.5 4.4 units to win 4

Leans for today:
Rockets +2
Twolves +5
Suns -10
Blazers -1

Good luck everybody! Snowed in here in Sparks, NV so gonna be blazing and eating all day.

[og4667]

Magic cash along with Nuggets and both made me sweat. nice 2-0 day and plus 6 units profit. YTD 4-2 Plus 12.7 units.

Really liking the Blazers tonight but not 100% yet.

[whatsgood5]

Nice 2 picks earlier, GL if you do decide to go with the Blazers...I went the other way in that one, like the Jazz tonight

[og4667]

Nice 2 picks earlier, GL if you do decide to go with the Blazers...I went the other way in that one, like the Jazz tonight

thanks bro. you might be right on the Jazz. I am not sold on the Blazers either so I will call it a night and not push my luck, besides the wifey is trying to pry me off the computer.

How long can the Jazz continue to shoot 60% a game? Seems like the blazers lineup is not in working order and BRoy isn't the same right now. The Blazers miss Steve Blake and Deron owns Andre Miller. Line movement says Blazers but I am not going to go against a hot Jazz team. Good luck with your Jazz play.

[og4667]

Let me start off by saying I don't really like this card tonight so here it goes...these are all leans.

Bulls @ Wiz: Wiz have that rag tag lineup and they seem to be playing their best ball all season right now. Bulls get back NOah tonight and he should make a difference. Nobody on the Wiz can stop Rose and that should be the difference. Bulls -2

Bucks @ Knicks: So Mcgrady had 26 pts in the OT loss to the Thunder but the Bucks beat the Bobcats at home in their last game. Watched the last knicks/bucks game and the Bucks won without their best player Andrew Bogut. Tonight he will play and I will take the Bucks to continue their dominance over the sorry ass Knicks. Bucks +1

Pacers @ Mavs: too many points for a Mavs team that never seems to cover at home. I can't lay the 9 so I will take the points with a Pacer team that just beat Houston on the Road. Pacers +9

Hawks @ Jazz: Well the Hawks blew a 17 pt fourth quarter lead against the Warriors yesterday and lost in OT. The Jazz were down 25 pts midway through the 3rd quarter in Portland and managed to pull out a win in OT. Which team is more tired? Which Team is more pissed off? Hawks haven't won in Utah since 1993 when Dominique Wilkens had 44 pts. Hawks beat the Jazz earlier this season in ATL by 13 pts, and like I have said before this Hawks team is like a bully. If they know they can beat you then you better watch out. Jazz will be riding high after their big win in Portland and the Hawks should be pissed off. I usually love Utah at home but they are without Ronnie Brewer who got traded, no Andre Kirelenko who is big for them and they are kinda thin right now. I will take my chances with the Hawks here. Hawks +5 & Hawks ML +180

Bobcats @ Clips: I expect the Bobcats to romp on these sorry as Clips. The Clips got their firs win for the interim coach against a the Kings on Saturday night while the bobcats lost to a tough Bucks team. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS the Clips in the past 5 meetings, 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the road team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. I will lay the points here as the Clips will get pounced on. Bobcats -3

[og4667]

Today's Plays: gonna take it easy today...

Bucks ML +100 .5 units to win .5
Hawks +5 .55 units to win .5
Bobcats -3.5 .55 units to win .5

Good luck everybody!

[og4667]

already liked the Hawks plus the points tonight and now based on the deron williams news I am going to upgrade this play.

Hawks +3 1.65 units to win 1.5

[og4667]

2-0 so far tonight but guaranteed a profitable one. Bucks stomp the Knicks and Hawks win outright in Utah for the first time in 12 years (sans Dwill and AK47 but I'll take it). Hopefully the Bobcats can hold on for the win and cover baby!

[og4667]

2-1 tonight plus 1.95 units, Bobcats couldn't cut it. So far posted plays 6-3 Plus 14.65 units. Hope everyone had a good night.

[og4667]

2 picks today

Hornets +12 (bought the half) 2.4 units to win 2
Lakers -5 (took the bait) 4.4 units to win 4

Thats it today. Good luck everybody!

[og4667]

1-1 & Minus 2.4 units today. Hornets get the cover but Lakers -5 was not a winner, but what a last second shot by the Mamba unbelievable! Thats what I get for backing a huge public road fav. I have seen road favs lead by double digits early in the game only to end up loosing or winning my the smallest of margins time and time again. One day I'll learn. YTD 7-4 Plus 12.25 units.

[og4667]

2 picks today boys...lets hope the Lakeshow doesn't F me two days in a row. Oh yea and I love those double digit dogs! Really like the Magic also because in theory they should blow the Rockets out but I need to learn from my mistake last night regarding publically backed road favs. It will not be profitable long term.

Mavs -2 6 units to win 5.45
Twolves +12 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

oh my god what a game. I thought I was doomed with Caron Butler being out at the last minute and actually thought about betting on the Lakers to counteract my bet, but figured what the fuc8 let it ride.

2-0 night Plus 6.45 units. YTD 9-4 Plus 18.7 Units. Hope everyone had a good night.

[og4667]

Gonna lay off both TNT games, if anything take the UNDER in both but I am not a big totals guy so gonna tread lightly tonight. If anyone cares I lean Celtics +3 and Warriors +6.

1 play tonight.

Bucks -1 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

Bucks hold on for the win plus one more unit

YTD 10-4 plus 19.7 units

[og4667]

still working on finalizing my picks for tonight but this is what I am leaning towards...

Hawks -3 (Mavs have gotten much better but don't see them winning 6 in a row especially in hotlanta. I feel like I know both these teams well right now. I had The Mavs -4 over suns and Mavs +8 at Orlando and Mavs -2 over Lakers and I had the Hawks +3.5 over the Jazz and I feel like I have a good handle on both of these teams right now)
Jazz -7 (key number for me and the Kings are in a major funk. Westphal is an idiot and constantly tweaking the lineups and pissing players off. I expect Millsap and Boozer to have a field day along with AK47 being back)
Pistons +10 (Nugs off a b2b going to Mile High and Pistons play them close)
Suns -9 (just cause)
Thunder -9.5 (they have gone 4 games without a ats cover and this is a good spot for them)
76ers + 11 (overinflated line and is an oddsmakers dilema. 76ers play better on the road and the Staples center crowd always is a bit too stoned and chilled out for their own good. Maybe it is all the medical marijuana shops around every corner)

[og4667]

1 pick so far

Hawks -3 4.4 units to win 4

[og4667]

Hopefully the hawks can pull it out but either way gonna add another pick

Jazz -7. 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

well that has a bad Friday. 0-2 minus 5.5 units. YTD 10-6 Plus 14.2 Units.

really liking the Bucks today +2. No Wade, Arroyo arrested and all they have is Alston to play PG. This is a big game for the Bucks also because they can distance themselves in the playoff race and from a coaching standpoint I would much rather have Scott Skiles rather than Spolestra. The Public is all over the heat for some reason and not sure why but just deciding how much $$$ to put on those Bucks.

[og4667]

I didn't post it but I had Tennessee +1.5 1H and +3 for the game at 2.2 units each and feeling good about that one. Anyway gonna take the profit from that game and then some and put it on the Bucks +2.

Bucks +2 5.5 units to win 5

Good Luck guys.

[og4667]

FYI I Am waiting to the last min to book this bucks bet bc I have a gut feeling based on the line moves that Wade might play if he does then I will still make the bet but it will be less units

[og4667]

Everything I have read says Wade is out so good to go

[og4667]

alright Bucks win easily adding 5 units back to my BR. Gonna have 1 more pick for tonight...

Blazers -4 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

small play on pistons tonight...

Pistons ML +155 risking .5 units

[og4667]

2-1 last night. YTD 12-7 Plus 19.7 units.

A few picks today. Must admit I am making these picks off of first glance and haven't gone through my typical process but anyway here it goes...

Nuggets + 6 1.1 units to win 1
Bucks +8.5 2.2 units to win 2
Wizards -1 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

good day so far 2-0-1 plus 3 units. Got another pick

Kings -4 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

good night last night going 3-0-1 Plus 4 units. YTD: 15-7 Plus 23.7 Units.

[og4667]

two picks today

Bobcats -3 5.5 units to win 5 (waiting till gametime to make this play in hopes the line will come down a bit)
Knicks +11 1.1 units to win 1

[og4667]

ouch rough night 0-2 minus 6.6 units. Bobcats had 10 pt halftime lead and end up loosing, tough luck for me but congrats to Mavs bettors. YTD 15-9 Plus 17.1 Units.