1. #1
    TGoat
    TGoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-07-09
    Posts: 612

    Phoenix -3 @ Sac; Too Good to be True?

    Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

    It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

    Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.

  2. #2
    traxmub
    traxmub's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-10
    Posts: 433
    Betpoints: 10478

    hard game but phoenix must win

  3. #3
    Mac4Lyfe
    Mac4Lyfe's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-09
    Posts: 46,517
    Betpoints: 11162


  4. #4
    Busterflywheel
    Busterflywheel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-13-09
    Posts: 3,991
    Betpoints: 24

    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post

  5. #5
    vic
    vic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-09
    Posts: 176

    Quote Originally Posted by TGoat View Post
    Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

    It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

    Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.
    Yeah-Line are dropping. Some one mentioned must win for Phoe-Why?

  6. #6
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,074
    Betpoints: 7726

    Kings will win easy

  7. #7
    bigboyfosho
    bigboyfosho's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-09
    Posts: 1,576

    this is one of my leans

  8. #8
    Quagmire27
    Quagmire27's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 626
    Betpoints: 407

    Dragic is out of control

    But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.

  9. #9
    khaden
    khaden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-09
    Posts: 1,864
    Betpoints: 1124

    I might get caught in this trap but oh well--i refuse to put money on sac. Phoenix is the better team and are hot right now--sac stinks.

  10. #10
    905prodigy
    905prodigy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-09
    Posts: 247
    Betpoints: 684

    take Kings for sure

  11. #11
    lyon804
    lyon804's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-09
    Posts: 6,526
    Betpoints: 1011

    Quote Originally Posted by Quagmire27 View Post
    Dragic is out of control

    But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.



    As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.

  12. #12
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by lyon804 View Post



    As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.
    Couldn't agree more. The Kings are borderline-embarrassing at closing out games, and that +3 could disappear in a hurry because of it. Can't believe LB's considering going back to that well.

  13. #13
    darrell74
    darrell74's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-16-07
    Posts: 14,207
    Betpoints: 19480

    Line is dropping.

    Wait for some value.

    I'll get it at -2, eventually.

    Besides, Suns are carving up everybody, lately.

    Golden State hasn't beaten anybody with a winning record since Christmas.

  14. #14
    Quagmire27
    Quagmire27's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 626
    Betpoints: 407

    Quote Originally Posted by lyon804 View Post
    Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run.
    As I do I had the Blazers last night

    I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.

  15. #15
    MAESTRO1
    MAESTRO1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 141

    I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8

  16. #16
    TGoat
    TGoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-07-09
    Posts: 612

    Quote Originally Posted by MAESTRO1 View Post
    I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8
    If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???

  17. #17
    Dexter
    Update your status
    Dexter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-08
    Posts: 25,829

    suns will be up 25 at one point.....final score:

    kings 121
    suns 118

  18. #18
    Dexter
    Update your status
    Dexter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-08
    Posts: 25,829

    Quote Originally Posted by TGoat View Post
    If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???
    actually, i would say a line of 4 should be right.

    this is the definition of a clear trap game. suns look so easy, but the books are obviously looking for suns money. sharps are all over the kings here with 85% on phx and the line dipping from 3.5 to 2.5. some heavy cash was laid down on the kings tonight. including my whopping $200
    Last edited by Dexter; 02-05-10 at 12:45 PM.

  19. #19
    Quagmire27
    Quagmire27's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 626
    Betpoints: 407

    Line should be 3.5, where it was before the "sharps" pounded the Queens. Kings winning record at home, Suns losing record on the road. Kings just lost by only 2 to the overrated Spurs....

  20. #20
    lyon804
    lyon804's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-09
    Posts: 6,526
    Betpoints: 1011

    Quote Originally Posted by Quagmire27 View Post
    As I do I had the Blazers last night

    I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.

    All valid points that makes me stay away from the Kings. The Suns do know how to win if they get to that situation tonite. If the Kings get to that situation they will still lose. The Kings simply don't know how to close out a game against a decent opponent. End of story.

  21. #21
    2PLAYSMAX
    2PLAYSMAX's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-14-08
    Posts: 459
    Betpoints: 631

    I may go Suns here

  22. #22
    anthonyc023
    anthonyc023's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-25-09
    Posts: 2,733

    just a little reminder

    01/05/10 covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2009-2010/boxscore780776.html PHO -2.5 U 226

  23. #23
    anthonyc023
    anthonyc023's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-25-09
    Posts: 2,733

    same situation tonight but suns are even hotter now

  24. #24
    nbaprofosor
    nbaprofosor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-10
    Posts: 3,326
    Betpoints: 757

    kings will burn the sun today go king goooooooooooooooooooo

  25. #25
    GGPLAYER
    GGPLAYER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-26-09
    Posts: 2,961
    Betpoints: 7549

    Quote Originally Posted by MAESTRO1 View Post
    I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8

    Actually last time these two played was 1/5/10 and the line was Pho -2.5

  26. #26
    dynamite140
    dynamite140's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-05-08
    Posts: 4,955
    Betpoints: 38361

    suns win

  27. #27
    peeiempee
    peeiempee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-09
    Posts: 2,750
    Betpoints: 348

    Sounds too good to be true

  28. #28
    jcygts6
    Scared $$ Dont make $$
    jcygts6's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-09
    Posts: 3,316
    Betpoints: 579

    suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.


  29. #29
    Cornerback
    Cornerback's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-09
    Posts: 653

    easy peasy

  30. #30
    Cyborg9
    Cyborg9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-10
    Posts: 95

    love this play

  31. #31
    Quagmire27
    Quagmire27's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 626
    Betpoints: 407

    Quote Originally Posted by jcygts6 View Post
    suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.

    That jinx won't even be enough for the Kings tonight.

  32. #32
    Mac4Lyfe
    Mac4Lyfe's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-09
    Posts: 46,517
    Betpoints: 11162

    I'm starting to lean the Sun's 1st half...

  33. #33
    khaden
    khaden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-09
    Posts: 1,864
    Betpoints: 1124

    THIS GAME SHOULD BE PLAYED ON SUNDAY MORNING---IT WILL BE THAT EASY!

  34. #34
    natelli1
    natelli1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-08
    Posts: 251
    Betpoints: 642

    suns and over!! reverse it and winn double the money!, i might go crazy and reverse suns and over for 1st half and game! this is too good to be true

  35. #35
    anthonyc023
    anthonyc023's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-25-09
    Posts: 2,733

    how is it too good to be true this same line of -2.5 happened a month to the day. you people make no sense

12 Last
Top