1. 03-25-16 02:36 PM #1
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Dallas/GS Friday night

    I was thinking about taking Dallas earlier in the day but the line moved from 14 to 17 and is now at 16 1/2. We had something similar happen with Brooklyn/Cleveland yesterday. I haven't heard any news. I may make a pick (Dallas) later.

    Anyone have anything to add?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-25-16 02:41 PM #2
    Git Lo
    Git Lo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-20-11
    Posts: 3,712
    Betpoints: 13401

    14 to 17 is a huge move, you should check the injury reports. No Deron Williams -17 is the play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-25-16 02:47 PM #3
    boomer07
    boomer07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-14
    Posts: 51
    Betpoints: 1067

    under 221.5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-25-16 02:53 PM #4
    CatchTheFade
    CatchTheFade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-29-16
    Posts: 6
    Betpoints: 42

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-25-16 02:59 PM #5
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Quote Originally Posted by CatchTheFade View Post
    Surprisingly games like this end up exactly the opposite as "we all expect".

    Remember when Memphis played at Cleveland about two weeks ago, (off the top of my head I want to say a Monday night/NBA TV), was a double-digit spread, than Memphis injuries were announced and it moved 4-5 points more....the game went down to the final possession.

    Matchup's this year Dallas has lost by 17 and 20.

    I would not be very surprised to Dallas stay under 17, in a game "the world expects a 30 point blowout"
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-25-16 03:01 PM #6
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    I was thinking about taking Dallas earlier in the day but the line moved from 14 to 17 and is now at 16 1/2. We had something similar happen with Brooklyn/Cleveland yesterday. I haven't heard any news. I may make a pick (Dallas) later.

    Anyone have anything to add?
    I took GSW TT over 119 long ago. Just a thought. Glad that Brooklyn game worked out for you. Nice of the Cav's to put up 12 in the 4th. LOL.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-25-16 03:07 PM #7
    CatchTheFade
    CatchTheFade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-29-16
    Posts: 6
    Betpoints: 42

    Yeah i remember that game but then again we're talking about the Cavs. IMO they are straight up garbage. I stay far away from them.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-25-16 03:16 PM #8
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Sorry about not doing my homework. I'm limited to info while at work. I appreciate everyone's contributions. I'll try to do a more thorough job of research in the future.
    PorkChop, I agree with your theory. I just wonder if those 3 players being out will make the needed difference.
    Will GS rest the starters in the 4th and we get a backdoor cover? This game just seems so much like the Brooklyn game.
    More later.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-25-16 03:18 PM #9
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Sorry about not doing my homework. I'm limited to info while at work. I appreciate everyone's contributions. I'll try to do a more thorough job of research in the future.
    PorkChop, I agree with your theory. I just wonder if those 3 players being out will make the needed difference.
    Will GS rest the starters in the 4th and we get a backdoor cover? This game just seems so much like the Brooklyn game.
    More later.
    LOL. Brooklyn won !!!! Dallas isn't winning..... ( I hope).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-25-16 03:30 PM #10
    Git Lo
    Git Lo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-20-11
    Posts: 3,712
    Betpoints: 13401

    No Parsons, dirk, D will, against top team in the league chasing the bulls record.. what spread are you expecting? Mavs will trail the entire game..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-25-16 04:03 PM #11
    IBetYou
    IBetYou's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-03-15
    Posts: 7,858
    Betpoints: 16173

    D.Lee gets his ring tonight -emotional night for him. That's likely part of the reason for Nowitzki sitting (they don't want to dnp-cd him on his ring night). I expect the Mavs will give a top effort, but I'm not keen on fading the Warriors at the moment.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-25-16 04:07 PM #12
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    I'm calling it now:
    Dallas +16 1/2 over GS (Bovada)
    Line moves 3 points to 17 after the injuries are announced and pressure brings it back down to 16. Smells like a Dallas cover to me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-25-16 07:02 PM #13
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Also going with:
    Miami -10 1/2 over Orlando
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-25-16 07:11 PM #14
    newjack
    newjack's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-12
    Posts: 363
    Betpoints: 1750

    GSW tends to penetrate up 4th quarters so it's entirely possible that they'll cover the spread. You can take the risk and wait and hope for early gsw blowout and get 20+ points on dallas.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-25-16 07:29 PM #15
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by newjack View Post
    GSW tends to penetrate up 4th quarters so it's entirely possible that they'll cover the spread. You can take the risk and wait and hope for early gsw blowout and get 20+ points on dallas.
    That's a good angle but I'm wondering if we might have something like last night with my 3 picks where the teams did well right out of the gate. I would lose value on my bets if that happened.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-25-16 07:29 PM #16
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Also going with:
    The Grizz +13 over San Antonio
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-25-16 07:32 PM #17
    slayer14
    slayer14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-12-13
    Posts: 21,882
    Betpoints: 6225

    Grizzlies going to get hammered man cancel that bet i can see a 20 point win for the spurs
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-25-16 08:29 PM #18
    boomer07
    boomer07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-14
    Posts: 51
    Betpoints: 1067

    Quote Originally Posted by boomer07 View Post
    under 221.5
    still falling...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-25-16 09:25 PM #19
    Killer2121
    Killer2121's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-14
    Posts: 784
    Betpoints: 2099

    Gs minus 10 first half.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-25-16 09:38 PM #20
    jayhawks718
    jayhawks718's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-16
    Posts: 160
    Betpoints: 265

    I took over kinda big.. No bigs for Dallas idk maybe a big first half scoring wise
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 03-25-16 10:19 PM #21
    Git Lo
    Git Lo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-20-11
    Posts: 3,712
    Betpoints: 13401

    Quote Originally Posted by jayhawks718 View Post
    I took over kinda big.. No bigs for Dallas idk maybe a big first half scoring wise
    I have GS over 118 if that doesn't hit after 40 points in the first
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 03-25-16 10:22 PM #22
    Don_Omarion
    Goals are set! +100 Units
    Don_Omarion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-15
    Posts: 2,633
    Betpoints: 1304

    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Also going with:
    The Grizz +13 over San Antonio
    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Also going with:
    Miami -10 1/2 over Orlando
    way to gooooooooo hope Crappy Dallas get the night done for you
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 03-25-16 10:48 PM #23
    Killer2121
    Killer2121's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-14
    Posts: 784
    Betpoints: 2099

    Quote Originally Posted by killer2121 View Post
    gs minus 10 first half.
    boom!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 03-25-16 11:56 PM #24
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by Don_Omarion View Post
    way to gooooooooo hope Crappy Dallas get the night done for you
    Thanks Don.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 03-26-16 12:11 AM #25
    jayhawks718
    jayhawks718's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-16
    Posts: 160
    Betpoints: 265

    $$$$$$$$
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 03-26-16 07:32 AM #26
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Well done, Dallas was one of best picks of the day.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 03-26-16 07:34 AM #27
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Surprisingly games like this end up exactly the opposite as "we all expect".

    Remember when Memphis played at Cleveland about two weeks ago, (off the top of my head I want to say a Monday night/NBA TV), was a double-digit spread, than Memphis injuries were announced and it moved 4-5 points more....the game went down to the final possession.

    Matchup's this year Dallas has lost by 17 and 20.

    I would not be very surprised to Dallas stay under 17, in a game "the world expects a 30 point blowout"

    >>Games like these are my favorite to bet.

    Hope your seeing how important previous matchup's are as well. (Dallas wasn;t losing by more than 17 no matter who they put on the court last night), have to be able to look through this as a serious bettor. The average bettor doesn't see this.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 03-26-16 11:10 AM #28
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    >>Games like these are my favorite to bet.

    Hope your seeing how important previous matchup's are as well. (Dallas wasn;t losing by more than 17 no matter who they put on the court last night), have to be able to look through this as a serious bettor. The average bettor doesn't see this.
    Thanks for the advice PorkChop. This was one factor in deciding to take Dallas.

    I've seen these fail before. I believe it was a few days ago when I took the under for Sacramento because the 2 previous matchups were low-scoring. However, the third game between the 2 teams was decidedly higher scoring and only went under the higher total by 3 points so the principle still held true.

    I'll be looking at this in the future.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | NBA Basketball Betting | Next Thread »