I nominated your first post because I thought you had a good chance to profit that day. I had no plans of tracking you but saw the last page and thought I'd do a quick run down, took all of a couple of minutes.
I was right, it turns out you did profit that first day...
(a unit is $100 flat)
7-Mar |
Pacers +7 -105 (3x) |
|
286 |
|
95 |
|
|
|
ML +260 (0.5x) |
130 |
|
260 |
|
|
Bucks +7 -105 (3x) |
|
-300 |
|
-100 |
|
|
|
ML +260 (0.5x) |
-50 |
|
-100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
66 |
|
155 |
8-Mar |
Wizards +5.5 -102 (3x) |
-300 |
|
-100 |
|
|
|
ML +200 (1x) |
-100 |
|
-100 |
|
|
Knicks +3 -105 (2x) |
|
-200 |
|
-100 |
|
|
Jazz -2.5 -105 (1x) |
|
-100 |
|
-100 |
|
|
St. Mary's +3 -105 (2x) |
-200 |
|
-100 |
|
|
Wizards 2H +4.5 -105 (2x) |
-200 |
|
-100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-1034 |
|
-445 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
California +400 to win Pac-12 Tourney (2x) |
|
|
I don't "troll" really, except maybe TTWarrior of course, and never give you shit Wizzle and I'm not going to start.
But to say you were 0-6 today is generous to put it mildly.
I wish there was some great piece of advice to fix it all, but there isn't. I can say this much, if you are betting 1 unit sometimes, then 2 or 3 other times, then only .5 other times, it isn't going to help. In the end only the bigger bets will matter.
The right 2 columns represent your results had you simply bet 1 unit on each play, in this case $100.
After giving up six losses in a row in this thread, wouldn't you rather be climbing out of a 4.45 unit hole, than over a 10 unit hole?
Sure, you could go on a win streak with 3x bets, get it all back in 3 tries..like I said, only the big bets will matter, but a bettor like you would do better with a little more consistency in bet size, among other things.
I realize you may be expressing how you feel about a bet with the unit size, but sometimes it's better to be glad you have a bet, than to wonder how good it might be. After all, if any bet is really worth 3 times the risk, then why bet the other bets?
Don't take this the wrong way, but your consistency in performance makes a guy like me want to pick your brain a little. It can't be that you simply fall into every subjective trap, there's got to be more to it. Are you runnning any numbers? I don't know, maybe I can help.
Perhaps I can analyze your plays and see what I come up with in the dynamic markets. I've never really paid that close attention, so like I said, I don't know.
Can you point me to any recent win streaks? Again, not meant to troll, but I can consult.
I really have always believed it could be better to teach a gambler to stop losing, instead of telling him to quit gambling. Of course, that's not for everybody and you should know that changing your bet size with 3 times the bet, as well as chasing with larger bets, are indicative of gambling problems that simply must be overcome in order to profit on a regular basis.
Good luck Wizzle and I hope you keep posting in this thread...it looks like I'm not the only one.