Well I am back from a year ago, had to take a break from the action. Anyways I created a system that uses statistics and % of strength to certain statistics that I assigned. Its about 10 stats + momentum + power rankings,b2b games (but only 1) etc. No injuries are taken account. Its still being analyzed but so far looks promising. The two systems are ATS and SU. I do not play any games with an important starter out unless if its against the team injured.
Important for ATS: If line changes then the play can change obviously. So if its an underdog line goes up in favor, still same play, but if it goes down from whats listed possibly different.
Note: I would still go with ATS over SU, despite my SU record did better than ATS at this current point.
1/13/09- ATS
Wash- 11.5
IND- 4.5
NY-2.5
NJ- 8 (scary but play bc boston is down 2 starters)
LAC- 7.5
OK- -1.5
Minn- 9.5
Port- - 6
Mia- 2.5
1/13/09 - SU
Atlanta, Philly, Phx, NO, OKC, Dal, Hou, Den, Port, Mia
A winning night last night but not great. But winning is better than losing.
1/14/09
Utah
Bos- -5 (2 pts bought)
They are SU winners and guess what my system picked the same spread as the books came out with. So I am basing these picks on SU for the ATS system but since ATS picked -7 as well, I am buying 2 points for Boston.
I will be ditching the SU system and only be using the ATS system, I know I didnt post picks today I was very busy, but I checked it, I made no bets today either :-(. It went 7-3 as of right now with 3 games left. So tomorrow more picks to come!
I havent been posting because I have been tweaking the system more. Alright fellas, I have done a reconfiguring of the system, it seems the games I was losing it was very close to being the other team as a play, so I added some points here in there, making sure I didnt affect the winning games in majority. So I am basically starting over with system 2.3. Plays will be only ATS. (NP= if star player is out/ your discretion) or if B2B 2 + (unless your facing that team)
picks coming shortly waiting for all spreads........finished 1-0-1 last night, lets see if we can get this moving tonight. Its a real test tonight with 12 games for the system.
Current Record: 17-6-1 -> please note I am keeping my own record and for the sake of not having 5 different records. I forgot to post on 1/16/10 which was 7-1 for that day and 1/20/10 which was 2-0 that day. I am writing this to tell you if you add it up on SBR it wont add up because I missed two days on SBR but I had them personally.
Also added a new rule which has been helping alot, Buy a point if the difference is too close to the spread. Difference has to be 1 or greater than the spread. I will tell you to buy a point by putting a *
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Originally Posted by CHAZ
