1. #1
    Snowball
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    Fear The Deer. Bucks +700

    public burial.

    Bucks are young and strong.. well-coached.
    They are too stupid to think they can't win.
    Dangerous team right now.
    Bulls look tired, desperate, wounded, frustrated.
    Gasol - old. Rose - weak. Noah - wounded.

    bet: Bucks +700 to win series. not: Bucks +150.

    why: let's say Bucks win tonight and force the Game 7 at Chicago.
    let's say the line is around -250 for Chicago. that is high.
    the difference is 700 minus 250 (hedge cost) = pocket +450
    not +150.

    if they lose, who gives a . you lost a +700 bet.

    Milwaukee 0 (700)
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA Series Prices
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA at 04/30/2015 7:05:00 PM

  2. #2
    Goat Milk
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    Doesn't matter if it's -150 or +700 when you're throwing your money away. Bucks won't even win tonight.

  3. #3
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Doesn't matter if it's -150 or +700 when you're throwing your money away. Bucks won't even win tonight.
    added to Rangers series @ -160 more than covers this.

  4. #4
    leeyoo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    public burial.

    Bucks are young and strong.. well-coached.
    They are too stupid to think they can't win.
    Dangerous team right now.
    Bulls look tired, desperate, wounded, frustrated.
    Gasol - old. Rose - weak. Noah - wounded.

    bet: Bucks +700 to win series. not: Bucks +150.

    why: let's say Bucks win tonight and force the Game 7 at Chicago.
    let's say the line is around -250 for Chicago. that is high.
    the difference is 700 minus 250 (hedge cost) = pocket +450
    not +150.

    if they lose, who gives a . you lost a +700 bet.

    Milwaukee 0 (700)
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA Series Prices
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA at 04/30/2015 7:05:00 PM
    Bulls are all business tonight!!!

  5. #5
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    public burial.

    Bucks are young and strong.. well-coached.
    They are too stupid to think they can't win.
    Dangerous team right now.
    Bulls look tired, desperate, wounded, frustrated.
    Gasol - old. Rose - weak. Noah - wounded.

    bet: Bucks +700 to win series. not: Bucks +150.

    why: let's say Bucks win tonight and force the Game 7 at Chicago.
    let's say the line is around -250 for Chicago. that is high.
    the difference is 700 minus 250 (hedge cost) = pocket +450
    not +150.

    if they lose, who gives a . you lost a +700 bet.

    Milwaukee 0 (700)
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA Series Prices
    Milwaukee vs Chicago
    NBA at 04/30/2015 7:05:00 PM
    Not that it will matter at this stage but there's something seriously wrong with your math.

    You really think that by betting a series price and hedging you can turn +150 into +450? If so we'd all do that and take Bulls ml tonight -175 and books would be out of business tomorrow.

    First of all Bulls would not be -250 in game 7, more like -350, but even assuming -250...

    100/700
    250/100

    Gets you 450 ONLY IF THE BUCKS WIN GAME 7. Otherwise you did all this just to get your money back whereas betting the +150 gets you 150 and you only need them to win game 6.

    A real hedge would be

    100/700
    575/230

    And you'd win 130 or 125... Far inferior to the 150. And that's assuming -250 for game 7 which is highly optimistic.

    These "take a bet to hedge it later if the team does well" things are so stupid and always cause people to eat juice several times and cost themselves money for no reason.

  6. #6
    KRIT
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    You're crazy if you actually thought bulls would be -250 in game 7. More like -400.

  7. #7
    Snowball
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    doing same tonight with Nets, even sweeter.. 1000 is the line.
    can hedge out anytime. lots on the table at those odds. if i hedge
    around even or -150 - and the Nets win, I'll have them going into
    Game 7 at +850/900.
    Last edited by Snowball; 05-01-15 at 04:34 PM.

  8. #8
    GoBlue77
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    letting ODDS determine your play is amateur hour.

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