1. #1
    Covy
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    Covy's NBA 1Q totals system

    I have created a new system with a formula which I backtested to last season with a 57.4% winning rate. It takes into account the entire seasons scoring paces/etc and injuries. Tested last year without accounting for injuries so number may vary. Could be fools gold so we will find out. Starting lineups with PERs are also incorporated

    Will post plays here to keep record.

    NY/Brooklyn u48.5 (3 units)
    Dallas/Chicago u52 (1 unit)
    Toronto/Sac u51.5 (2 units)
    Orlando/GS o52.5 (1 unit)
    Last edited by Covy; 12-02-14 at 05:15 PM.

  2. #2
    Covy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Covy View Post

    NY/Brooklyn u48.5 (3 units) W
    Dallas/Chicago u52 (1 unit) W
    Toronto/Sac u51.5 (2 units) L
    Orlando/GS o52.5 (1 unit) L
    2-2 +.7 units

    Today, I am increasing the threshold in which I will consider a play. Tomorrow I will explain how I calculate these plays. Most of my projected scores are within 2 points of the 1q totals provided by 5Dimes which I use. All these games are at least 3 points off the lines provided with my projected totals

    Boston/Detroit o50.5 (2 units)
    Memphis/Houston o47.5(1 unit)
    Philly/Minny u54.5 (2 units)

  3. #3
    Covy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Covy View Post
    2-2 +.7 units
    Boston/Detroit o50.5 (2 units) L 23-21
    Memphis/Houston o47.5(1 unit) W 34-28
    Philly/Minny u54.5 (2 units) W 23-13
    4-3 +1.5 units
    2 games hit easily and the third one never really had a chance. So far things don't look too bad

  4. #4
    Covy
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    NO/GS u51 (1 unit)

  5. #5
    Covy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Covy View Post
    NO/GS u51 W 28-22 (1 unit)
    Closer than I expected but a W is a W

    5-3 +2.5 units

  6. #6
    Covy
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    5-3 +2.5 units

    NYK/Cha u47 (1 unit)
    Mia/Mil u50 (1 unit)

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