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^^^^^^^
that nash data says wed/fri have significant favorite leans
I watched that game, they fell asleep late. Is this Monday favorite data accurate ? Does anyone have hard numbers?Originally Posted by Seto
The only fave that didn't cover in the NBA is Miami who blew an 11-point lead with 4 minutes to go.
So essentially, it could have easily been a 100% day
College hoops:
3-24: 8-1
3-17: 0-1
3-10: 8-5
3-3: 2-4
2-24: 2-3
2-17: 5-3
2-10: 4-8
2-3: 9-4
That's 38-29 overall since the beginning of February. Added to the NBA totals, and you get 74-46 ATS overall for favorites, or over 61 percent.
That doesn't count. You flat bet all favorites every Monday from here on out to the end of the season and use those results. You've found a profitable trend right? It makes logical sense to you? The rational thing to do is bet it. Go on. If you truly believe it you will bet it.
681-614 from January to March in the whole database
NBA favorites on Mondays are 80-63 ATS for the season, or 56 percent.
Favorites are 526-510 overall on the season, or 51 percent.
What do you mean it "doesn't count"? Dude, I'm a stubborn dog bettor. I've already admitted as much. And I get killed on Mondays more than any other day of the week, whether it's MLB or college hoops/NBA. That much I do know. Yeah, it does make logical sense to back favorites on Mondays from my experiences. I just can't bring myself to do it. But it's not some kind of dream I've concocted to make myself feel better. Favorites cover on Mondays much more often than not, for whatever reason.
Look at the loser try to make excuses to why he bets losers. "mondays crush me" NO you bury yourself. Dont blame mondays you lying fukk
But you're not going to bet it like I said because you know it's penetrating retarded.
I would invite you to check my in-season threads in every sport. All documented. If you think I "bury myself" and "bet losers" on a regular basis, you really struggle as much as I think you do with reading comprehension, Muggsy.
So that's your response? You ask me to provide data to back this theory up, I do, and this is the best counter you can come up with? It's "penetrating retarded"?
where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
"Made up numbers"? What do you mean?where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
NoCoin... quit lying to SBR...post a spreadsheet without edited plays or shut your lying ass up. You wanted to flap your gums about me earlier now Im gonna expose your fraud-ass.
No. That's not true at all. You've found a small stretch, a very small stretch, where a bet that should hit between 48%-52% has hit 55.9%. This is called variance. This is a very simple concept. No you absolutely do not believe it. I am 100% sure. Your ego is holding you back from accepting that, and you want to win this futile argument. Your brain remembers Mondays and losing days, and guess what, for the past few Mondays, the bets you've made (you said yourself you bet mostly dogs) have been losing because favorites have been winning. It happens. Not all the time. You did not make this thread last year, nor will you remember it next year. Goodnight. Please read a book.
"Without edited plays"? What?
My plays are all there and posted before gametime in every sport I bet. My record is tracked in these in-season threads. What's the difference between having them in an in-season thread vs. a spreadsheet?
Only at SBR can a 5-foot-1 wigger midget with no leg to stand on -- both literally and figuratively -- recklessly post a bunch of drivel that makes zero sense like this toward a completely transparent poster. Classic.
So 74-46 in college and pro ball since the beginning of February -- i.e., blindly betting straight dogs every Monday for eight weeks straight over the course of 120 plays nets a win % of .617 -- isn't significant enough to note? Umm, OK.
I've been complaining about Mondays for the last three years, so yeah, I have. And yes, I will.
Hows that princecton play working for ya queer?
I just randomly looked up two months during the 2013 MLB season -- August and September, when dogs typically rule the roost -- and here are the Monday records for favorites:
9-30: 1-0
9-23: 9-3
9-16: 7-3
9-9: 5-5
9-2: 9-6
8-26: 6-3
8-19: 8-4
8-12: 8-3
8-5: 4-5
That's 57-32 ATS, or 64 percent.
July....
7-29: 6-3
7-22: 7-6
7-15: no games
7-8: 7-6
7-1: 6-1
Totals: 26-16 ATS for favorites (62 percent)
Totals from July-September: 83-48 for favorites (64 percent)
Obviously baseball is different because there is no "spread" on games, but you get the picture.
College basketball much more "balanced", though there was technically only one losing day for favorite bettors in December and January:
12-2: 5-5
12-9: 1-1
12-16: 4-2
12-23: 10-4
12-30: 11-10
1-6: 4-4
1-13: 6-4
1-20: 7-7
1-27: 3-5
Total ATS for favorites in December/January on Monday: 51-42 (55 percent)
Total ATS for favorites in December-March on Monday: 89-71 (56 percent)
Add that bottom number to the NBA (80-63 for the year), and you have 169-134 total in 2013-14 for basketball, or a solid 56 percent if you'd blindly bet favorites ATS every Monday.
he can't do spreadsheet because almost half of those picks are live betting. I do live betting, and own bets that 500 or 600 plus all the time, if I was gonna track my record, I wouldn't included in there.where is your spreadsheet? I dont see shit posted but made up numbers
in NFL, if team A -7, and scored a TD on first drive, live line would probably team A -10 or 10.5 depend to the book.
if he takes team B +10, and claim 10.5, and final score is 20-10. team A won. How one can go back and verify his record?
Adding college basketball in November (32-26), and it's 201-160 (.556) ATS for favorites on Mondays in 2013-14 including all college and NBA games, start to finish.
This should just about end the thread. No coincidence further burying himself by referencing 2 months worth of data like a fukkin rookie
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Favorites are 1920-1834 in college basketball this season overall ATS, and 526-511 in the NBA. So that's 2466-2345 overall for favorites, or .512 percent. So on Tuesdays-Sundays, favorites are 2265-2185 -- or only .509 -- compared to the .556 ATS % on Mondays.
This should just about end the thread. No coincidence further burying himself by referencing 2 months worth of data like a fukkin rookieThere's the entire season of data for college and pro basketball combined, with Mondays compared to overall ATS.
Anything else?
Holy shit thank you I just saw this. There's a size sample for you man!!
1134-1126 and 50.2%
Any edge at all would be apparent over a sample that large.
Now please stop this bullshit.
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Sooooo someone posts a sample size larger than yours, nearly 10x larger, yet you continue to reference your SMALLER sample size and treat it as fact... Classic. Guy shows you would be DOWN money by blindly betting these favorites, or underdogs for that matter.
Not much else to see here
I must have missed all the Fresno Stanley cups. World Series, and nba championships
Paco I need $20 on pump #4I must have missed all the Fresno Stanley cups. World Series, and nba championships
9-3 last Monday in MLB.
4-0 today.
Thx for the stats
Great infor
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