1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Sunday 03.18.07

    Through Saturday 03.17.07

    5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Saturday, 3-2, +11.26u
    (ATL, MEM, BOS, CHA, DEN)
    YTD 257-469, +48.69u
    (since the ASB: 48-104, -17.02u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Saturday, 4-1, +2.95u
    YTD 382-332 (.535) +33.40u
    (since the ASB: 74-75 (.497) -4.75u)

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
    1 CLE 69
    2 DET 65
    3 SAN 64
    4 MIA 63
    5 DAL 62
    6 GS 60
    7 UTH 60
    8 CHI 59
    9 DEN 59
    10 HOU 57
    11 MIL 54
    12 PHI 54
    13 BOS 53
    14 WAS 51
    15 PHX 51
    16 SAC 49
    17 TOR 48
    18 ATL 47
    19 LAC 46
    20 NJ 46
    21 POR 45
    22 ORL 45
    23 NY 44
    24 SEA 44
    25 NOK 40
    26 CHA 38
    27 MIN 37
    28 MEM 37
    29 IND 36
    30 LAX 31

    EDGAR LINES FOR 03.18.07
    (favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

    NY 3.3/141 over TOR

    DET 1.0/107 over DAL

    NJ 3.9/160 over LAC

    MIA 7.4/299 over ORL

    PHI 2.9/134 over HOU

    POR 5.5/192 over SEA

    LAX 2.3/124 over MIN


    STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
    (At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

    TOR +169, NY -119

    DAL +127, DET +111

    LAC +191, NJ -134

    ORL +379, MIA -242

    HOU +160, PHI -113

    SEA +232, POR -160

    MIN +147, LAX -101

    GS +210, SEA -146

    PHX +229, DEN -158

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    That's a pretty low number for the Pistons, given their great road trip.

    Their last 3 efforts at home, however, have been poor.

    Meanwhile, DAL has been awesome on the road except for that one letdown at GS on the BxB.

    No sign of a line yet. I'll guess DET opens 3 and 140/130 @ Pinny.

    ======================================== ==

    Also, my Laker number is one I don't feel very good about. But until the POR game their efforts in the last ten games have been brutally bad, particularly at home. Over the last ten games they are the worst team in the league.

    They do have reinforcements now, though.

    Even with 8 or 9 points, I can't get enthused about taking Minny.
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 03-18-07 at 12:38 AM.

  3. #3
    bigboydan
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    Thats the NBA for ya though Jay.

  4. #4
    Jay Edgar
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    DAL by 4.5 and climbing.

    Billups and Hunter both out I guess, but still, that's a lot of points.

  5. #5
    bigboydan
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    It's sitting at 5 in most places now I see Jay.

  6. #6
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Edgar View Post
    Even with 8 or 9 points, I can't get enthused about taking Minny.
    God I hate this team.

  7. #7
    bigboydan
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    I'm not too crazy about Minny either Jay, but I took'um +7 tonight.

  8. #8
    Jay Edgar
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    I held my nose and did it too.

    But in live betting I'm getting some revenge.

  9. #9
    Jay Edgar
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    % TEAM ATS ML
    7 LAC LOSS -100
    15 NY WIN 122
    18 MIN PUSH -100
    21 DET WIN -100
    27 PHI LOSS -100


    Through Sunday 03.18.07

    5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Sunday, 1-4, -2.78u
    (NY, DET, LAC, PHI, MIN)
    YTD 258-473, +45.91u
    (since the ASB: 49-108, -19.80u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Sunday, 2-2, -0.10u
    YTD 384-334 (.535) +33.30u
    (since the ASB: 76-77 (.497) -4.85u)

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