1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Basketball Parlay of the Day - Friday, 3/16/07

    SBR will give the winner of the March Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest a sparkling new 19-inch LCD DVI Monitor! For those of you unfamiliar with the contest, here are the rules:


    Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok. You have until five minutes before tip time of your first game to post the selections. Also note that all plays will now be graded against a uniform line! I will post the lines from Pinnacle at approximately 11 AM ET each day. Those of you wishing to make selections before then may do so without posting your lines, and they will be graded against my posted lines.

    All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will keep two sets of standings: the Official Standings will be based on parlay units won/lost, and the secondary standings will be on a game-by-game basis ranked by winning percentage.

    The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.

    The player with the most units won after the games of March 31 will win the winner-take-all grand prize. Note that you must play at least 15 days (30 plays) during the month to qualify for the prize! In case of a tie in units, the tiebreaker will be the better winning percentage. If still tied, the contest will be extended with the tied players making one parlay selection per day at the start of April until the tie is broken. NO PASSES will be allowed during this extension period, and any of the tied players doing so will be eliminated regardless of the other player(s) results for that day.

    Good Luck to All!

    Fine Print:

    1 entry per household and IP address.

    Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits

    Tie breakers:
    Will be decided by win % of individual parlay legs. 2nd tiebreaker is based on additional daily parlays until one person breaks tie.

    15 parlays must be made in the month.

    All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.

    SBR will pick a DVI LCD monitor that is features on this page when winner is decided.

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       W/P     Units
    Wassymac  	5	5	1	89
    AC1318         	4	3	0	74
    stump          	4	5	1	63
    Pegasus 	5	8	1	59
    woodyb97    	3	5	2	46
    durito      	4	7	1	43
    Ganchrow HG 	4	7	1	43
    rjt721      	3	5	1	37
    DoctorJ      	3	5	0	28
    tevari        	3	6	1	27
    imgv94       	1	1	0	16
    Art Vandeleigh	4	9	0	14
    Willie Bee 	2	4	0	12
    Peyton2Marvin	2	5	1	11
    nevadaside   	3	8	0	-2
    BigDaddy    	1	3	0	-4
    xxx          	1	3	0	-4
    bside          	2	6	0	-8
    BuddyBear     	0	1	0	-10
    DrSlam         	0	1	0	-10
    framboise   	0	1	0	-10
    HDTIVO0309	0	1	0	-10
    Illusion       	0	1	0	-10
    laclippers504	0	1	0	-10
    phillyfan20    	0	1	0	-10
    remaxagnt    	0	1	0	-10
    marke4         	0	2	1	-11
    babaoriley 	3	9	0	-12
    4thegreenman 	0	2	0	-20
    cobra king   	0	2	0	-20
    DarkProdigy	0	2	0	-20
    Dave11486	0	2	0	-20
    Filthyness     	0	2	0	-20
    MickChunky 	0	2	0	-20
    milton50     	0	2	0	-20
    OWNED        	0	2	0	-20
    wtt0315      	0	2	0	-20
    goldengoat    	1	5	0	-24
    Hulu           	1	5	0	-24
    JDK192        	2	8	0	-28
    NEP Dynasty	0	3	0	-30
    rmcaj         	0	3	0	-30
    sabe          	0	3	0	-30
    ShamsWolf10	0	3	0	-30
    dirtyjock    	1	6	0	-34
    seaborneq     	1	6	0	-34
    Jay Edgar	1	7	0	-44
    Razz    	1	8	1	-45
    EaglesPhan36	0	5	0	-50
    Dark Horse	0	6	0	-60
    Ira Wilton    	0	6	0	-60
    jhippe77       	0	6	0	-60
    LT Profits	0	15	0	-150
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    Name            W       L       P        Pct
    imgv94       	3	1	0	75.0%
    stump          	14	5	1	73.7%
    AC1318         	10	4	0	71.4%
    tevari        	12	7	1	63.2%
    bside          	10	6	0	62.5%
    Wassymac  	13	8	1	61.9%
    woodyb97    	11	7	2	61.1%
    Ganchrow HG 	14	9	1	60.9%
    durito      	13	9	2	59.1%
    Willie Bee 	7	5	0	58.3%
    seaborneq     	8	6	0	57.1%
    DoctorJ      	9	7	0	56.3%
    rjt721      	9	7	2	56.3%
    Pegasus 	15	12	1	55.6%
    Peyton2Marvin	8	7	1	53.3%
    Art Vandeleigh	13	13	0	50.0%
    dirtyjock    	7	7	0	50.0%
    Hulu           	6	6	0	50.0%
    BigDaddy    	4	4	0	50.0%
    xxx          	4	4	0	50.0%
    rmcaj         	3	3	0	50.0%
    ShamsWolf10	3	3	0	50.0%
    DarkProdigy	2	2	0	50.0%
    wtt0315      	2	2	0	50.0%
    BuddyBear     	1	1	0	50.0%
    DrSlam         	1	1	0	50.0%
    framboise   	1	1	0	50.0%
    HDTIVO0309	1	1	0	50.0%
    Illusion       	1	1	0	50.0%
    laclippers504	1	1	0	50.0%
    remaxagnt    	1	1	0	50.0%
    babaoriley 	11	13	0	45.8%
    nevadaside   	10	12	0	45.5%
    JDK192        	9	11	0	45.0%
    Dark Horse	5	7	0	41.7%
    goldengoat    	5	7	0	41.7%
    marke4         	2	3	1	40.0%
    Razz    	7	12	1	36.8%
    jhippe77       	4	8	0	33.3%
    NEP Dynasty	2	4	0	33.3%
    sabe          	2	4	0	33.3%
    4thegreenman 	1	2	1	33.3%
    Jay Edgar	5	11	0	31.3%
    EaglesPhan36	3	7	0	30.0%
    LT Profits	8	21	1	27.6%
    Ira Wilton    	3	8	1	27.3%
    Dave11486	1	3	0	25.0%
    Filthyness     	1	3	0	25.0%
    MickChunky 	1	3	0	25.0%
    milton50     	1	3	0	25.0%
    OWNED        	1	3	0	25.0%
    cobra king   	0	4	0	0.0%
    phillyfan20    	0	2	0	0.0%

  3. #3
    rjt721
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    Oregon -8: The Ducks have way too much firepower and athleticism for the Redhawks. In their last six games, the Ducks are 6-0 straight up and ATS, including an unreal performance in the Pac 10 Championship against a very good USC team. Brooks, Taylor, and Porter will be enough for Oregon to win by double digits against a Miami (OH) team that is happy just making it to the big dance.

    Winthrop +3.5: Winthrop is an experienced squad, as they have four starters back from last year's NCAA tourney team. They played a brutal non-conference schedule and fared very well, giving the likes of UNC, Wisconsin, and Maryland all they could handle on their home court. They also have impressive road wins against ODU and Missouri St. In addition, I believe G Michael Jenkins will be the best player on the court. Sure, ND has played well lately, shooting lights out against Syracuse in the Big East tourney and playing well enough to upset Georgetown, but I don't feel they can keep shooting at that rate. Winthrop has the athletes on the perimeter to effectively guard against ND's predominantly outside game. Also, in Jenkins and Torrell Martin, they have solid defensive guards capable of keeping ND's Tory Jackson out of the lane, which is something the Hoya's failed to do, allowing the Irish to keep that game closer than it should've been. I'll gladly take the points here, although I don't think they will be needed as I expect Winthrop to win this game outright.
    Last edited by rjt721; 03-16-07 at 04:35 AM.

  4. #4
    imgv94
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    Arizona -2

    Put a lot of thought into this game and decided to make this one of my biggest plays of the season.

    Arizona has a huge size advantage and I think that will create a huge problem for Purdue.

    Purdue tallest starter is 6'7''

    Arizona has proven to be a much better away from home team than Purdue. Arizona won 5 road games in a row to end the season as Purdue only won one road game all season vs a horrible Penn State team.

    My opinion of the Big-10 is this. Other than Ohio St and Wisconsin no one else was really any good. Purdue,Iowa,Illinois,Michigan,Michigan St none of these teams impressed me.

    Believe the Pac-10 was the stronger conference..

    Arizona is the weaker defensive team but Arizona's size advantage will probably offset that. I can't see Purdue matching Arizona point for point in here.

    This is a brand new season of basketball and we know what Arizona is capable of if they play to even 90% of their abilities. Some people have said Purdue has no right even in this tourney let alone a 9 seed.

    Arizona should win this game comfortably...


    3* Virginia Tech -2.5
    Honestly I have very little respect for Illini and tons of respect for the Hokies and what they are capable of. This would of been a 5 unit play as well but the Hokies are a team who throws in clunkers from time to time and can't completely be trusted.

    But there is no doubt in my mind that Tech is the right play here. It might not work out but this is the right play..

  5. #5
    Dark Horse
    Deus Ex Machina
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    Long Beach St +7
    The long awaited 12-5 upset of round one. Tennessee won't even know what hit them (in the 2H).

    Texas -8
    Texas could easily have pulled out that game against Kansas, and should brush aside New Mexico St.

  6. #6
    nevadaside
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    MIAMI-contest line
    9-1 ATS last 10 @Hm
    9-2 ATS last 10 games

    MIAMI vs SAC:
    13-2 ATS last 15 meetings
    6-1 ATS last 7 @MIAMI: [the 1 ATS loss back on 11/10/2001]
    Last 6 wins vs SAC @Hm by 20,21,6,10,10,10
    5-0 SU & ATS last 3 seasons
    8-1 SU & ATS @Hm since '96
    16-3 ATS all games since '96

    MIAMI has been "resting" @Hm last 6 games & cover'd 5-6 , while SAC is on a 4 game losing streak(1-3 ATS) & in the middle of a 5 game rd trip. SAC will have one day of rest over MIAMI though.
    The "one" game that SAC won @MIAMI back in '01 had MIAMI with 3 days of rest....I think they got cold. MIAMI's rd gm vs NJ w/no rest before SAC tonight does not bother me, it gives the HEAT no time to lose their steam.

    TORONTO contest line
    TOR 4-1 SU & ATS vs HOU last 3 seasons
    TOR 2-0 SU & ATS @Hm vs HOU last 3 seasons
    TOR 3-0 SU & ATS last 3 games vs HOU: [wins by 16,20,13],
    [2 @HOU by 16,13]

    HOU
    0-6 ATS vs team w/winning record 2nd half of season.
    TOR
    5-0 ATS as Hm Dog of 3 or lest
    5-2 ATS in Hm gm where posted total is 195-199.5

    This will be TOR's second of 2 games @Hm with one day of rest in between.

  7. #7
    woodyb97
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    Nevada -1.5
    Good team out of the underrated WAC.

    Oregon -8
    Guard play rule the Tourney and Oregon has a couple of the best. Fade Miami-Ohio, just happy to be in the tournament.

    GTLA

  8. #8
    Razz
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    Miami + and Under
    This is probably the biggest coaching mismatch of the first round, though Izzo certainly gave Crean a lesson he won't soon forget. Why is coaching so important here? It's pretty simple. If the game is played at a fast pace, Oregon wins by double digits. If the game is played at a snail's pace, Miami will have a chance to win it at the end. I think Coles will have his team controlling the tempo, and that means this one ends up about 59-56.

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    These are the Official Grading Lines for today, with the starting times in PACIFIC Time. Please disregard the juice attached to each Side & Total as ALL parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00.

    Code:
    Time            Rot     Teams                   Spread          Total
    Fri 3/16   	601	Los Angeles Clippers	**-2*-111*	*OVER 195.5*-107*
    *04:05 PM	602	Charlotte Bobcats   	**+2*+101*	*UNDER 195.5*-103*
    *Fri 3/16	603	Utah Jazz            	**-4*-101*	*OVER 191.5*+100*
    *04:05 PM	604	Philadelphia 76ers 	**+4*-109*	*UNDER 191.5*-110*
    *Fri 3/16	605	Houston Rockets 	**-2*-111*	*OVER 194.5*-105*
    *04:05 PM	606	Toronto Raptors  	**+2*+101*	*UNDER 194.5*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	607	New Orleans Hornets	**+1.5*-101*	*OVER 193*-107*
    *04:35 PM	608	New York Knicks  	**-1.5*-109*	*UNDER 193*-103*
    *Fri 3/16	609	Sacramento Kings 	**+4.5*-104*	*OVER 196.5*-105*
    *04:35 PM	610	Miami Heat          	**-4.5*-106*	*UNDER 196.5*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	611	Boston Celtics       	**+13.5*-106*	*OVER 194.5*-109*
    *05:35 PM	612	Dallas Mavericks  	**-13.5*-104*	*UNDER 194.5*-101*
    *Fri 3/16	613	Detroit Pistons    	**+5.5*-107*	*OVER 201.5*-107*
    *07:05 PM	614	Phoenix Suns     	**-5.5*-103*	*UNDER 201.5*-103*
    *Fri 3/16	615	Portland Trail Blazers*	**+7*+102*	*OVER 196.5*-104*
    *07:35 PM	616	Los Angeles Lakers	**-7*-112*	*UNDER 196.5*-106*
    *Fri 3/16	617	Minnesota Timberwolves	**+7*-103*	*OVER 208*-108*
    *07:35 PM	618	Golden State Warriors	**-7*-107*	*UNDER 208*-102*
    
    Time            Rot     Teams                   Spread          Total
    Fri 3/16   	619	Illinois            	**+2.5*+100*	*OVER 119*-111*
    *04:10 PM	620	Virginia Tech       	**-2.5*-110*	*UNDER 119*+101*
    *Fri 3/16	621	Holy Cross          	**+8*-107*	*OVER 111.5*-105*
    *06:40 PM	622	So Illinois            	**-8*-103*	*UNDER 111.5*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	623	Long Beach State   	**+8*-108*	*OVER 168*-108*
    *11:45 AM	624	Tennessee          	**-8*-102*	*UNDER 168*-102*
    *Fri 3/16	625	Albany NY           	**+8.5*-105*	*OVER 135*-107*
    *09:15 AM	626	Virginia             	**-8.5*-105*	*UNDER 135*-103*
    *Fri 3/16	627	Georgia Tech      	**-2*-108*	*OVER 142.5*-106*
    *09:25 AM	628	UNLV                	**+2*-102*	*UNDER 142.5*-104*
    *Fri 3/16	629	Texas A&M Corpus	**+12.5*-105*	*OVER 135*-101*
    *11:55 AM	630	Wisconsin            	**-12.5*-105*	*UNDER 135*-109*
    *Fri 3/16	631	Niagara               	**+18.5*-105*	*OVER 150*-112*
    *04:10 PM	632	Kansas             	**-18.5*-105*	*UNDER 150*+102*
    *Fri 3/16	633	Villanova             	**-1*-107*	*OVER 135*-107*
    *06:40 PM	634	Kentucky             	**+1*-103*	*UNDER 135*-103*
    *Fri 3/16	635	Jackson State     	**+27.5*-108*	*OVER 144*-105*
    *06:50 PM	636	Florida               	**-27.5*-102*	*UNDER 144*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	637	Purdue               	**+2.5*-102*	*OVER 140.5*-105*
    *04:20 PM	638	Arizona             	**-2.5*-108*	*UNDER 140.5*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	639	Creighton             	**+1.5*-101*	*OVER 136*-105*
    *12:00 PM	640	Nevada               	**-1.5*-109*	*UNDER 136*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	641	North Texas       	**+18.5*-104*	*OVER 145*-105*
    *09:30 AM	642	Memphis U          	**-18.5*-106*	*UNDER 145*-105*
    *Fri 3/16	643	Winthrop            	**+3.5*-107*	*OVER 148*-102*
    *11:35 AM	644	Notre Dame         	**-3.5*-103*	*UNDER 148*-108*
    *Fri 3/16	645	Miami Ohio           	**+8*-107*	*OVER 122*-101*
    *02:05 PM	646	Oregon            	**-8*-103*	*UNDER 122*-109*
    *Fri 3/16	647	Arkansas        	**+2*-108*	*OVER 136*+100*
    *06:55 PM	648	USC                  	**-2*-102*	*UNDER 136*-110*
    *Fri 3/16	649	New Mexico State 	**+8*-103*	*OVER 153.5*-107*
    *04:25 PM	650	Texas                  	**-8*-107*	*UNDER 153.5*-103*
    Fri 3/16   	651	Marist               	**+7*+101*	*OVER 145.5*-105*
    *06:30 PM	652	NC State              	**-7*-111*	*UNDER 145.5*-105

  10. #10
    Wassymac
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    Notre Dame -3.5 O 148

    Against just about anybody else I'd be on Winthrop but they're facing a team that scores just as well as they do plus plays a "little" D. This is too short of a number for me not to play the Irish. Threes will be raining from everywhere in this one and the pace will be frantic as it sails past the O/U.

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    Notre Dame -3.5: Yes, Winthrop has won 18 games in a row including a perfect 17-0 conference slate, and the only bad Eagle loss all year was by 20 points to Texas A&M. However we do not like this matchup defensively for the Eagles, who surrendered 81 points to VMI in the Big South Championship Game. Now they must contend with a Big East school in Notre Dame that averages 81.5 points for the entire year, hitting 46.1 percent from the field overall including 39.7 percent on three-point attempts. We expect the Irish sharpshooters to connect early and often from the perimeter, giving Notre Dame a comfortable early lead en route to a rather safe victory.

    Southern Illinois -8: The Salukis simply suffocated their opponents this season, allowing just 57.3 points per game on 42.3 percent shooting. Moreover Southern Illinois held seven of its last 11 opponents below 60 points, and we feel it will do so again here vs. this outclassed opponent. Holy Cross is hardly an offensive juggernaut, hitting on 43.6 percent of its field goal attempts overall despite playing in the weak Patriot League. Conversely the Missouri Valley conference was one of the toughest in the country this year, so we look for the regular season champion Salukis to flex their muscles with a double-digit win here.

  12. #12
    The HG
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    N Texas/Memphis over 145 - Both of these teams like to run, and average in the upper 70s. Neither one will be looking to slow down the other, so this total should be easy to get over.

    Holy Cross +8 - Both teams play a similar style, and the game could go down to the wire. If it doesn't, the 8 point cushion gives a chance for a backdoor cover.

  13. #13
    Willie Bee
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    Oregon -8 vs Miami (OH)
    Ducks want to make sure people don't think their PAC-10 tourney title was a fluke because they didn't have to meet UCLA. See Oregon winning by a dozen, minimum, and look for 16+ point games from Brooks, Taylor and Hairston.

    Texas A&M-CC, Wisconsin Under 135
    Will have to go double-triple OT to reach this total. My crystal ball says the Badgers take it, 65-50.

  14. #14
    Art Vandeleigh
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    Rockets -2 - Amazing that Houston allowed two Eastern Conference Atlantic Division (ECAD's) to beat them at home 2 games in a row back in February, first losing to Boston and then 2 days later to Toronto. How embarrassing. Well, Boston's payback came last week when Houston beat them by 31 in Boston, tonight it'll be Toronto's turn to receive their whoopin'.

    Suns - 5.5 - Detroit is slugging it out with red-hot Cleveland for the division as well as home court advantage in the east playoffs, but now has to face the 3 Texas teams plus Phoenix over the next 5 games. I just don't think the Pistons can afford to give it their all every night against this tough schedule, and will have to pick and choose their spots over the next few games. I'm betting tonight, after 4 road wins in a row, will NOT be one of these big Detroit efforts, and the Suns will take this one pretty easily.

  15. #15
    stump
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    601 Los Angeles Clippers **-2*-111* charlotte is usually tough at home, just a feeling on the clippers in this game.

    605 Houston Rockets **-2*-111* Another small road favorite in the NBA which is usually not smart, McGrady and Ming healthy and playing well, too much for Toronto

  16. #16
    durito
    escarabajo negro
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    Nevada -1.5: Creighton beat Southern Illinois to win the MVC tourney, but they should let down here against a very good Nevada team that gets Kyle Shiloh back today after losing in the WAC tourney without him.

    Southern Illinois -8: The MVC only got two teams into this tourney this year, but Southen Illinois was the class of the league this year and they should look to make a statement with their highest seed. The pace of this game will be slow, but I figure for a 10-15pt win.

  17. #17
    DoctorJ
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    NC State -7

    Due to a scheduling conflict tonight's game will be played in reynolds coliseum, not the cavernous rbc center. It sold out almost immediately, the place will be rocking. Marist won't know what hit them.

    Texas -8

    The aggies keep it close for a while, but the talent gap will be too much to overcome. Texas by 10+

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