1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Friday 03.09.07

    MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Thursday, 0-2, -2.35u
    (ORL, SAC)
    YTD 234-432, +47.28u
    (since the ASB: 25-69, -20.75u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Thursday, 1-1, -0.05u
    YTD 351-307 (.533) +28.65u
    (since the ASB: 42-50 (.457) -9.40u)

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
    1 SAN 80
    2 DAL 71
    3 UTH 67
    4 MIA 65
    5 CLE 62
    6 CHI 60
    7 MIL 56
    8 PHX 56
    9 SAC 53
    10 SEA 51
    11 PHI 51
    12 HOU 50
    13 POR 49
    14 LAC 49
    15 ORL 49
    16 LAX 48
    17 DET 48
    18 WAS 48
    19 TOR 46
    20 DEN 46
    21 GS 45
    22 NOK 45
    23 NY 44
    24 NJ 43
    25 ATL 41
    26 BOS 41
    27 MEM 40
    28 CHA 38
    29 IND 31
    30 MIN 31

    EDGAR LINES FOR 03.09.07
    (favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

    PHI 3.6/146 OVER LAX

    BOS 0.8/106 over SEA

    MIA 8.3/346 over MIN

    ATL 4.0/162 over MEM

    HOU 4.9/174 over NJ

    DEN 3.8/155 over DET

    PHX 5.1/179 over NOK

    GS 4.8/174 over LAC

    STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
    (At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

    LAX +175, PHI -123

    SEA +125, BOS +112

    MIN +449, MIA -276

    MEM +195, ATL -136

    NJ +210, HOU -146

    DET +186, DEN -130

    NOK +217, PHX -150

    LAC +209, GS -145


    20%-OFF MARKER
    (This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)

    LAX +358, PHI +146

    SEA +236, BOS +206

    MIN +2678, MIA -143

    MEM +417, ATL +132

    NJ +467, HOU +123

    DET +390, DEN +138

    NOK +489, PHX +120

    LAC +463, GS +124
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 03-09-07 at 03:58 AM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    Winners early, losers late

    % TEAM ATS ML
    7 LAC LOSS -100
    8 MIA WIN 100
    8 BOS WIN 125
    9 ATL PUSH 100
    11 PHI WIN 100
    11 DEN LOSS -103
    13 NJ LOSS -100
    20 NOK WIN -100


    MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Friday, 4-4, +0.22u
    (PHI, BOS, MIA, ATL, NJ, DEN, NOK, LAC)
    YTD 238-418, +45.15u
    (since the ASB: 29-73, -20.56u)

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Friday, 4-3-1, +0.85u
    YTD 355-310 (.534) +29.50u
    (since the ASB: 47-53 (.470) -8.65u)

  3. #3
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4663

    David West blew it in the Hornets game, missed a game winning shot, and hitting that big ML for today.

  4. #4
    bigboydan
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    But they got the cover for us looker

  5. #5
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan View Post
    But they got the cover for us looker
    Yes sir they did.

    Like someone said the other night, Suns arent playing like they use to. Its like they are on cruise control until the playoffs.

  6. #6
    bigboydan
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    Dantoni mentioned something in a AZ newspaper the other day that I found interesting. He said that "our team can't rely on Nash to win games on his own. The problem is the rest of our team isn't stepping up when he has an off night".

    Now out of that quote he said, I wanna know what he considers an off night for Nash.

  7. #7
    Wheell
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    The Team is maybe 85% healthy (a lot of nagging injuries). They need to not kill themselves and try to take out both the Spurs and the Mavs in the playoffs. It won't be easy.

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