[Jay Edgar]

Big warning label here.

Seems to me that this is the night of the year when performance over the last ten games means the absolute least.

In every sport (especially MLB it seems), teams often head off in a completely different direction in the first few days after the all-star break. It’s an unparalleled momentum-changer.


MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 1-1, +2.02u
(HOU, CLE)
YTD 209-365, +65.71u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-0-1, +1.00u
YTD 308-257 (.545) +38.15u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 CLE 71
2 DAL 66
3 DET 65
4 UTH 64
5 SAN 62
6 TOR 60
7 HOU 60
8 MIA 59
9 NOK 55
10 NY 54
11 LAX 53
12 MIN 51
13 SAC 51
14 POR 50
15 CHI 49
16 ORL 49
17 DEN 49
18 SEA 49
19 ATL 46
20 MEM 46
21 GS 45
22 IND 43
23 LAC 42
24 NJ 41
25 CHA 41
26 PHX 39
27 PHI 37
28 BOS 36
29 MIL 35
30 WAS 32


EDGAR LINES FOR 02.20.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

CHA 2.9/135 over NOK

MIN 1.7/116 over WAS

NY 6.3/237 over ORL

DET 1.6/112 over MIL

SAN 6.0/213 over DEN

CHI 4.8/172 over ATL

SAC 4.7/170 over BOS

POR 2.7/130 over UTH

SEA 3.2/140 over MEM

LAC 4.7/172 over PHX


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

NOK +161, CHA -114

MIN +102, WAS +138

ORL +292, NY -195

DET +106, MIL +132

DEN +261, SAN -177

ATL +207, CHI -144

BOS +205, SAC -143

UTH +154, POR -109

MEM +167, SEA -118

PHX +207, LAC -144


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)

MIN +186, WAS +264

ORL +817, NY -106

DET +194, MIL +252

DEN +662, SAN +103

ATL +458, CHI +125

BOS +450, SAC +126

UTH +304, POR +166

MEM +337, SEA +153

PHX +455, LAC +125

[The HG]

Big warning label here.

Seems to me that this is the night of the year when performance over the last ten games means the absolute least.

In every sport (especially MLB it seems), teams often head off in a completely different direction in the first few days after the all-star break. It’s an unparalleled momentum-changer.

Without question. There should be a handful of wacky results with totals as well.

[bigboydan]

Lets get back on track Tuesday Jay.

[onlooker]

Ok, here we go. 2nd half run.

I hope its a good one for you Jay.

[Jay Edgar]

% TEAM ATS ML
7 DEN LOSS -100
8 BOS WIN -100
10 CHA WIN 105
11 MIN LOSS -100
11 ATL LOSS -100
14 MIL WIN -100
15 NY WIN 100
18 MEM LOSS -100
33 LAC LOSS -100

MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 2-7, -5.00u
(CHA, MIN, NY, MIL, DEN, ATL, BOS, MEM, LAC)
YTD 211-372, +60.76u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 4-5, -1.25u
YTD 312-262 (.544) +36.90u

[onlooker]

You forgot to include the Clippers poor outing.

[Jay Edgar]

Got it now -- thanks.

[DrSlamm]

why is charlottes win a 105

[onlooker]

why is charlottes win a 105

Money line win. Was probably a +105 at closing.

[DrSlamm]

lol i am retarded sorry