1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Basketball Parlay of the Day - Saturday, 2/17/07

    Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok.

    All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will do the standings for the month of February at least.

    The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Effective immediately, I will make the standings-to-date the first post of the new thread each day.


    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       W/P     Units
    LT Profits	6	10	0	56
    EaglesPhan36	3	4	1	47
    DoctorJ    	3	4	0	38
    babaoriley 	2	2	0	32
    Hemlock21	2	2	0	32
    cadillacb	3	5	0	28
    Jay Edgar	3	5	0	28
    mapletree 	1	0	0	26
    Dave11486	2	3	0	22
    Hulu        	2	3	0	22
    Razz    	3	8	0	-2
    Dbldown11	1	3	0	-4
    Dark Horse	0	1	0	-10
    DarkProdigy	0	1	0	-10
    Peyton2Marvin	0	1	0	-10
    Tchocky  	0	1	0	-10
    tnkwilli	0	1	0	-10
    Willie Bee 	1	4	0	-14
    freeneasy	0	2	0	-20
    imastud2  	0	2	0	-20
    img94      	0	2	0	-20
    durito      	1	7	1	-35
    Pegasus 	0	4	0	-40
    rjt721      	0	5	0	-50
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    Name            W       L       P        Pct
    mapletree 	2	0	0	100.0%
    Hemlock21	6	2	0	75.0%
    DoctorJ    	10	4	0	71.4%
    EaglesPhan36	10	4	2	71.4%
    Hulu        	7	3	0	70.0%
    babaoriley 	5	3	0	62.5%
    Dbldown11	5	3	0	62.5%
    Dave11486	6	4	0	60.0%
    Willie Bee 	6	4	0	60.0%
    cadillacb	9	7	0	56.3%
    Razz    	12	10	0	54.5%
    LT Profits	16	14	2	53.3%
    Jay Edgar	8	8	0	50.0%
    img94      	2	2	0	50.0%
    Dark Horse	1	1	0	50.0%
    DarkProdigy	1	1	0	50.0%
    Tchocky  	1	1	0	50.0%
    durito      	7	9	4	43.8%
    rjt721      	3	7	0	30.0%
    Pegasus 	2	6	0	25.0%
    freeneasy	1	3	0	25.0%
    imastud2  	1	3	0	25.0%
    Peyton2Marvin	0	2	0	0.0%
    tnkwilli	0	2	0	0.0%

  3. #3
    Razz
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    Auburn +10.5
    It wasn't so long ago that Auburn had aspirations of winning the SEC West. That's probably gone by the boards, but Auburn still has the talent and athleticism to go into Athens and beat a struggling Georgia team. Georgia hasn't reacted positively to the loss of Mike Mercer, barely beating Kennesaw State last time out, and losing three of five. Auburn has been a solid road team this season, getting blown out only once, at Kentucky. They could steal this one, but more likely keep this under the number in a loss.

    Michigan State -7
    From the report of the Northwestern/Iowa game:

    Tyler Smith scored 13 points but, playing with an injured pinkie finger, never looked comfortable. Smith, the Big Ten’s leading scorer and rebounder among freshman, was 5-of-10 shooting, but had just four rebounds and committed six of Iowa’s 16 turnovers.
    That was enough to get it done at home against Northwestern, but traveling to Michigan State is an entirely different matter. Fading Tom Izzo at home with revenge is never wise, but especially when you have a two-man team that is only half there. Iowa has only won two road games all season, and hasn't had success in Lansing since Hitler was a corporal. Meanwhile, this year's Spartans don't have the reputation of being a team that blows people out, but their four conference wins were by 16.5 points per game. This should be more of the same.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    PENN STATE/WISCONSIN UNDER 132.5: The UNDER is 11-3 in the last 14 Penn State road games, and we do not expect things to change vs. a Wisconsin defense that is allowing just 57.1 points per game on 40.0 percent shooting here at home. In fact the Nittany Lions have now gone UNDER in five consecutive games overall, and they may have a difficult time getting their heads in this game offensively after a narrow two-point home loss to Ohio State on Wednesday. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

    TOWSON STATE/BUCKNELL UNDER 124.5: We expect both of these offenses to have a tough time in this interesting Bracket Buster match-up. Bucknell is 17-8 on the year thanks to a stiff defense that is allowing just 58.4 points per game overall and a miniscule 54.0 points on 38.7 percent shooting here at home. Now Towson State has been much more generous defensively, but the Tigers are also more battle-tested coming out of the CAA, so we do not expect the Bison to have an easy time offensively with this rise in class either.

  5. #5
    Wassymac
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    S. Illinois +3 - Don't get me wrong I love Butler but SIU is Wright St on steroids. Its not the best of spots for SIU after their big win @ State while Butler warmed up against the Lil' Sisters of the Poor but this game should be at PK IMO. The last 3 road games for SIU? Outright wins as short dogs against Creighton, Mizzou State, and Wichita State (all of which are atleast equal to Butler IMO).

    Michigan +1.5 - I'm not one to trust this horribly coached team but this is a great spot to play them IMO. If they want any shot at an at large berth then this game is a must win for them. They catch IU after an emotional loss in a rivalry game on one day's rest likely without 2 starters (Stemler, Calloway). The last 3 road games for IU against middle of the road Big Ten teams all resulted in SU losses (Iowa, Purdue, Illinois).

    Also doesn't hurt that it seems the overwhelming majority is on the other side in both of these games.

  6. #6
    EaglesPhan36
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    Seton Hall@West Virginia Under 141
    WV has gone under in 6 of 9 home games this year and in their last 5 home games there has not been a total larger than 140 and that game went to OT. Seton Hall is capable of scoring, but they shoot just 39% FGs on the road and that's what WV yields defensively at home.

    UAB@Houston Under 135
    Two teams that regularly land under the total here. UAB has gone under in 10 of 14 road games against the total while Houston has gone under in 6 of 8 at home against the total. Both teams shoot poorly from the field and play pretty solid D, I think this sneaks under the total.

  7. #7
    tnkwilli
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    Liberty / Niagra Under 159

    On the season these 2 teams have a combined total of 149.5 pts a game. On the road Liberty is shooting a mere 32.5% from the 3 pt line with Niagara shooting only 30.3% from the 3 at home. In their last 5 meetings they have averaged 157.8 pts total. I just don't see this one making it past the low 150's if it even gets there.

    Tennessee / South Carolina Under 145

    Now at first glance, these 2 teams combine for a total of 145.2 pts on the year. However, on the road Tennessee averages 72.6 pts a game and S out Carolina at home averages only 62.1 pts a game. Even though Tennessee is giving up 79 pts a game on the road I don't see the pace of this game getting into the 140's.

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