1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Friday 02.09.07

    MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Thursday, 1-0, +1.00u
    (SAC)
    YTD 196-339, +65.34u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Thursday, 1-0, +1.00u
    YTD 290-238 (.549), +40.10u

    POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES)
    1 DET 65
    2 HOU 61
    3 DAL 60
    4 PHX 59
    5 CLE 59
    6 MIA 59
    7 UTH 59
    8 TOR 58
    9 MIN 56
    10 SAN 56
    11 SAC 54
    12 NY 54
    13 LAX 53
    14 NOK 52
    15 CHI 52
    16 LAC 51
    17 ORL 49
    18 PHI 46
    19 GS 46
    20 POR 46
    21 MEM 45
    22 IND 44
    23 SEA 43
    24 DEN 42
    25 CHA 41
    26 ATL 39
    27 WAS 39
    28 MIL 38
    29 NJ 37
    30 BOS 35


    EDGAR LINES FOR 02.09.07
    (favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

    ORL 3.0/138 over SAN

    IND 5.4/187 over DEN

    CHA 4.0/165 over POR

    TOR 5.3/185 over LAX

    PHI 1.9/119 over LAC

    BOS 0.0/100 over NJ

    MEM 2.7/131 over MIN

    CLE 4.9/176 over MIA

    DAL 2.8/133 over HOU

    PHX 5.6/194 over ATL

    GS 6.0/213 over CHA

    STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
    (At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

    SAN +165, ORL -117

    DEN +227, IND -156

    POR +194, CHA -136

    LAX +223, TOR -154

    LAC +141, PHI -101

    NJ +118, BOS +118

    MIN +156, MEM -111

    MIA +213, CLE -148

    HOU +158, DAL -112

    ATL +235, PHX -161

    CHI +260, GS -176


    20%-OFF MARKER
    (This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

    SAN +322, ORL +155

    DEN +525, IND +116

    POR +415, CHA +133

    LAX +513, TOR +117

    LAC +273, PHI +181

    NJ +221, BOS +220

    MIN +309, MEM +164

    MIA +426, CLE +122

    HOU +313, DAL +162

    ATL +555, PHX +112

    CHI +659, GS +103
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 02-09-07 at 10:35 PM.

  2. #2
    onlooker
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    Big card for Friday. I hope it turns out good for you Jay. The favorites have been cashing at a high rate the last two days.

  3. #3
    bigboydan
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    Quote Originally Posted by onlòóker View Post
    Big card for Friday. I hope it turns out good for you Jay. The favorites have been cashing at a high rate the last two days.
    It happens all the time about a week to 10 days before the all-star break though looker, so I can't say that surprises me. Although, you still have to bet the value though IMO

  4. #4
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan View Post
    It happens all the time about a week to 10 days before the all-star break though looker, so I can't say that surprises me. Although, you still have to bet the value though IMO
    Yes I know it, it seems that happens in bases as well.

  5. #5
    bigboydan
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    Quote Originally Posted by onlòóker View Post
    Yes I know it, it seems that happens in bases as well.
    Yes it does, and has been that way for the a little over 20 years that I know of.

  6. #6
    Hulu
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    I decided a while ago that I will keep my unit size the same until the allstar break and then half it after that and see what happens. Its uncanny how consistently things change at the break.

  7. #7
    bside
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    Couldn't play that Orlando game, especially with it falling at 20%
    off. Oh well at least I didn't take the Spurs either.

  8. #8
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bside View Post
    Couldn't play that Orlando game, especially with it falling at 20%
    off. Oh well at least I didn't take the Spurs either.

    I'll confess I went a little lighter on it too, bside.
    Wish I'd done the same bucking the Mavs.

  9. #9
    bside
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    Looks like both 20% off lines will hit tonight. Played ATL thank goodness. Expected a split in that one not an outright win. I'll take that

  10. #10
    bside
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    Wow Phoenix gives up a 40 point fourth quarter to seal the deal

  11. #11
    Jay Edgar
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    Loved the over (an LT parlay-thread selection.)

    That there's a 137-point 2d half.

  12. #12
    onlooker
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    The night shaped up very well for you Jay.

    Warriors came out of the 4th on fire. Maybe they can cap the night for ya.

  13. #13
    Jay Edgar
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    Patience rewarded . . . . .

    %OFF TEAM ATS ML
    7 PHI PUSH -100
    7 CLE WIN 100
    10 DEN WIN 285
    11 MEM WIN 113
    12 BOS LOSS -100
    16 HOU LOSS -100
    19 ATL WIN 538
    24 GS WIN 123
    32 ORL WIN 268

    =============================
    MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
    Friday, 6-3, +11.27u
    (ORL, DEN, PHI, BOS, MEM, CLE, HOU, ATL, GS)
    YTD 202-342, +76.61u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
    Friday, 6-2-1, +3.90u
    YTD 296-240 (.552) +44.00u
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 02-10-07 at 01:39 AM.

  14. #14
    DrSlamm
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    which bet do you have a push jay? i think i have that one as a win

  15. #15
    Jay Edgar
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    Since SBR's crack legal staff in its wisdom has shut me out of seeing SBR's historical line information, I go to Vegas Insider for the report on Pinny line changes. They say it closed a LAC -1 and 114/104.

  16. #16
    DrSlamm
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    closed at sixers +1.5

  17. #17
    DrSlamm
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    i had it bet +2 with skybook free halfer today right at gametime

  18. #18
    Jay Edgar
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    Nice one, DS. I know they're very unimpressive, but for some reason the public seems to just hate the Sixers. (Almost as much as it loves the Bulls,)

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