[LT Profits]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Article/200612151816.aspx

Utah has been a difficult venue over the years for most teams, but not for the Kings as they are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 head-to-head meetings in this arena.

Now granted the Jazz are 17-5 SU this season, but it looks like the oddsmakers are no longer undervaluing this team as Utah is just 4-5 ATS over the last nine games. This streak includes a 13-point outright home loss to Orlando and a non-covering 109-107 home win over Seattle, so perhaps the Jazz are now becoming somewhat overvalued at home. We feel this makes them a dicey proposition tonight laying this many points to a team that has dominated them.

Now Sacramento is a disappointing 9-11 SU, but its offense is starting to come around as of late as the Kings are averaging 102.4 points per game over their last five contests. Also the Kings are averaging an impressive 42.1 rebounds per game on the road this season, meaning that this Utah team that leads the NBA in rebounding margin does not figure to enjoy as big an edge in that area tonight as usual. Sacramento may not pull off the outright upset, but the Kings should certainly be capable of taking this game right down to the wire.