1. #1
    Jay Edgar
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    Jay Edgar NBA, Monday 12.11.06

    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Sunday, 2-3, +1.77u
    (POR, CHA, GS, ATL, LAX)
    YTD 78-134, +23.11u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Sunday, 3-2, +0.90u
    YTD 114-98 (.564), +11.10u

    TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAME POWER RATING
    1 SAN, 2 HOU, 3 PHX, 4 DAL, 5 MIN
    6 CHI, 7 DEN, 8 CLE, 9 WAS, 10 LAC

    11 LAX, 12 DET, 13 SEA, 14 MIA, 15 UTH
    16 IND, 17 ORL, 18 SAC, 19 MIL, 20 TOR

    21 GS, 22 POR, 23 MEM, 24 NY, 25 ATL
    26 BOS, 27 NJ, 28 NOK, 29 PHI, 30 CHA

    EDGAR LINES FOR 12.11.06
    PHI 1.8/118 over POR
    ORL 2.8/133 over PHX
    NJ 3.5/144 over MEM
    MIA 5.7/200 over TOR
    NY 4.3/165 over BOS
    NOK 1.0/107 over CLE
    CHI 5.6/193 over IND
    UTH 1.9/119 over DAL
    LAC 3.7/153 over SAN

    STRIKE PRICES
    (at this ML or better, team is a play SU and ATS under 5% OFF method)
    POR +140, PHI -100
    PHX +158, ORL -114
    MEM +173, NJ -122
    TOR +242, MIA -166
    BOS +196, NY -139
    CLE +126, NOK +109
    IND +233, CHI -160
    DAL +142, UTH -103
    SAN +182, LAC -130
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-10-06 at 11:40 PM.

  2. #2
    Jay Edgar
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    Numbers complete -- large Monday card.

    GL

  3. #3
    Razz
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    Magic
    Hornets
    Pacers

    Can I get some thoughts on these three?

  4. #4
    Jay Edgar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz
    Magic
    Hornets
    Pacers

    Can I get some thoughts on these three?
    I'd like to hear what others think, too. For me,

    I lean your way in all 3 but NOK jumps out. I can't see how the game is worse than a toss-up, and Hornets --who've not been playing well, but with some excuses -- have a real home court ad and face a team that's established no road presence and is chronically overvalued because they carry the most talented single player in the league.

    Saturday was Pacers' fourth really dreadful game of the year and they are 2-1 in the next one. Can't figure Indy, and (although it's not a good idea to think this way) since I did step up and play Minny large at CHI on Saturday am personally reluctant to wade in heavily there again. Feel as though I timed the Bulls downtick in their 8-game homestand and can't do much more on that.

    PHX, I'm never sure about trying to make money against them. They're just different -- the regular rules seem not to apply. Plus, ORL has really only had one good game in their last 6. But it's a great price on the Magic.

  5. #5
    Razz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Edgar
    I'd like to hear what others think, too. For me,

    I lean your way in all 3 but NOK jumps out. I can't see how the game is worse than a toss-up, and Hornets --who've not been playing well, but with some excuses -- have a real home court ad and face a team that's established no road presence and is chronically overvalued because they carry the most talented single player in the league.
    Thanks for swaying me to the best one, Jay.

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