[Formula]

Phoenix Suns at Charlotte Bobcats

Over 212

The Fundamental
Phoenix has all of its parts assembled and is on top of its game at this point in the season. Amare is still not at 100% but this team has so many weapons that even Raja Bell looks like a great offensive player. Leandro Barbosa is one of the league's most underrated players as he always takes a backseat to Nash in the media.

Charlotte has struggled this year but has offensive potential. Young teams usually perform better in games where the offense opens up. The young Bobcats are not likely to be able to alter the speed of this game as Phoenix has already shown in recent away games against Eastern opponents that they want nothing to do with defense.

The Technical
Setup = HLH
Raw Total = 217
Injury Index = -1
Trend Index = +2
Challenge Index = -3
Projection = 215

[Lucas]

this must win only because of the picture

[primo_skillz]

this must win only because of the picture

I was going to say the same thing. Where the hell did you find that thing?

[lkravovicz]

0-4 now trying to guess what's gonna happen with totals at a phoenix game. what you guys think, is 0-20 a suitable stop limit for betting on phoenix games??

[Checkerboard]

I hadn't seen this on the total and went with the CHA side +8.
I like these posts of yours, they're cool.

[moses millsap]

Was unable to watch this game, so not really sure what happened to the Cats offense in the 2H. This team just can't perform for a full 48, at least in a functional manner offensively, without Brevin Knight. The disparity in their numbers with him in and out are eye popping. I really don't know how a young team that is relatively rested coming off two ass kickings at home back to back can just fade away again. They must still be partying from their outright win over the Pistons.

[Formula]

198

30 points in the last two quarters combined from the home team is not an ingredient one will often find in the recipe for an over. It was evident as the 2nd quarter faded away that the foundation for this selection was developing some cracks. The Bobcats seemed to give up on the game when they trailed at halftime and realized there was no way they would be able to keep up with the pace. The absence of Knight simply put too much on the shoulders of Felton who is not accustomed to playing so many minutes. Where Charlotte should have had a advantage, rebounding, they were disastrous, being outboarded 47-33 overall and 11-6 on the offensive glass. 84 points is a disappointing point total at home against any opponent but it's magnified when it comes against Phoenix who paces the game such that even a mediocre offense should breach 100. An output such as this gives the impression that Charlotte may actually be the worst team in the NBA. Obviously they are limited from a talent standpoint, but what they lack in talent they also seem to lack in desire. A combination almost as ugly as Adam Morrison (26 minutes, 3 points, 2 rebounds, 1-8 shooting).

Phoenix did their part by putting up 114, but in reality it was necessary to get 118+ points from them. Nash finally showed some ill-effects from all the minutes and had a subpar performance. This game looked like the Varsity against the JV and D'Antoni was able to make sure none of his starters, with the exception of Diaw, exceeded 30 minutes. They'll need the rest as they are on a B2B and they face a real team in the Orlando Magic.

From a technical standpoint, it is apparent that the Formula should have been able to diagnose the dynamics of this game better. Having projected the Suns as 13-point favorites, the challenge index was triggered as a negative. Instead of -3 it probably should have been -5. It is possible that the injury index also came up a bit short but there was some question as to the status of Knight heading up to the tip so that can be chalked up to the clarity of hindsight.

If you were really on top of your game, you probably saw that the total had a good chance of coming up short based on what transpired before the half ended. If so, you were able to get a wonderful hedge price to the tune of UNDER 105+120. Although it can be frustrating at times, as a NBA totals bettor it really pays to evaluate the style of the first halves of games. When you have a game such as this that is showing weakness, don't be scared to grab some value from the good first half in an effort to soften the blow in the second. Typically you can get a great middle situation and profitability on the price. As an upgrade, you can look for hedging advice on Formula picks in the future so make sure you check in here at the halftime of these games to see if there's any assistance available.

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