1. #1
    Jgjk
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    ADVICE? im constantly off 1 prediction on a 6 game parlay

    Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

    im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....

  2. #2
    SaffaCappa
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    cut your parlays by 1 :P

  3. #3
    Jgjk
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    Like this for example.......

    Its almost like i should bet straight up on locks, and then do a 4-7 team parlay on locks & educated guesses?


    6 Team Parlay #285853593
    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (701) Memphis Grizzlies Pick Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    Memphis Grizzlies 88
    Toronto Raptors 82


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
    (704) Indiana Pacers -165 Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    New York Knicks 91
    Indiana Pacers 125


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Moneyline
    (710) Minnesota Timberwolves -160 Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Philadelphia 76ers 87
    Minnesota Timberwolves 94


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (719) Boston Celtics +7 (-115) Feb 20/13@10:35p

    Final Scores
    Boston Celtics 99
    Los Angeles Lakers 113


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
    (721) Phoenix Suns vs. (722) Golden State Warriors
    Over 205 Feb 20/13@10:35p

    Final Scores
    Phoenix Suns 98
    Golden State Warriors 108


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
    (713) Miami Heat vs. (714) Atlanta Hawks
    Under 194 (-105) Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Miami Heat 103
    Atlanta Hawks 90


    Outcome: Loss
    Date settled: Feb 21, 2013 01:11:35 AM









    The parlay from tuesday was HORRIBLE, i forget who messed up,,,,but i had a 7 team parlay going strong, and i believe by 1 point some team couldnt cover or something......

    ARGHHHHHHH

  4. #4
    innovation
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    Ever heard of almost parlays? You can't use money lines though.

  5. #5
    chevy6
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    do the parlay and straight bet the teams

    2nd... cant believe you put the celtics in there....the lakers was not going to lose that game vs boston after buss died lol

    3rd keep at it....dont change your ways...you will win more often

    4th post your parlays so i can tail

    5th please do number 4 llol

  6. #6
    Jgjk
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    ill post my picks for the days that im 100% sure on.......

    tonight is kinda a toss up, but im leaning towards the under on bulls/heat and possibly bulls (i am from chicago too so im a bit biased and am also going to the game)

    CHEVY6 - the reason why i went with the celts was that i KNEW the lakers were gonna win, but i thought they would blow out boston and boston would come back a little too late in the 4th and lose by 5 or 6 or whatever.....bad pick..... with the lakers its a toss up, depends which team shows up.....


    i bet on soccer too, but nba has been easy for me, except the freaking 1 off parlays that are killing me....

  7. #7
    Jgjk
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    my other parlay that won...


    5 Team Parlay #285836468
    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (701) Memphis Grizzlies +1 Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    Memphis Grizzlies 88
    Toronto Raptors 82


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (710) Minnesota Timberwolves -3 Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Philadelphia 76ers 87
    Minnesota Timberwolves 94


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (704) Indiana Pacers -3½ Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    New York Knicks 91
    Indiana Pacers 125


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (705) Detroit Pistons -3½ (-105) Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    Detroit Pistons 105
    Charlotte Bobcats 99


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (708) Cleveland Cavaliers -2½ Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    New Orleans Hornets 100
    Cleveland Cavaliers 105

  8. #8
    face
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  9. #9
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    Ever heard of almost parlays? You can't use money lines though.

    what is that?

    CHECK OUT MY PREVIOUS parlay,,,,,SO CLOSE!!!!!!!!!

    im ALWAYS SOOOO CLOSE!!!!!!!!!!



    8 Team Parlay #285824081
    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (719) Boston Celtics +7 Feb 20/13@10:35p

    Final Scores
    Boston Celtics 99
    Los Angeles Lakers 113


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (718) Dallas Mavericks -11 Feb 20/13@08:35p

    Final Scores
    Orlando Magic 96
    Dallas Mavericks 111


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (710) Minnesota Timberwolves -3 Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Philadelphia 76ers 87
    Minnesota Timberwolves 94


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (701) Memphis Grizzlies +1 Feb 20/13@07:05p

    Final Scores
    Memphis Grizzlies 88
    Toronto Raptors 82


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (711) Brooklyn Nets +4 (-115) Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Brooklyn Nets 97
    Milwaukee Bucks 94


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
    (721) Phoenix Suns vs. (722) Golden State Warriors
    Over 204 Feb 20/13@10:35p

    Final Scores
    Phoenix Suns 98
    Golden State Warriors 108


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
    (722) Golden State Warriors -8 Feb 20/13@10:35p

    Final Scores
    Phoenix Suns 98
    Golden State Warriors 108


    Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
    (715) Oklahoma City Thunder vs. (716) Houston Rockets
    Under 219 Feb 20/13@08:05p

    Final Scores
    Oklahoma City Thunder 119
    Houston Rockets 122


    Outcome: Loss

  10. #10
    KushMoney
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    Easy.


    Do Straight plays



    You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



    Easy as that.

  11. #11
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by KushMoney View Post
    Easy.


    Do Straight plays



    You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



    Easy as that.


    so drop parlays?

    thing is, parlays are awesome because $3-5 can bring in $250+

    and a $20 bet can bring in 2k

  12. #12
    KushMoney
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    If you are only betting $20 you should be satisfied making $5-$20 per day.

    If you can pick 3/4 - 4/5 - 5/6 on a daily basis you are doing good.

    Yes drop parlays, but still keep making your 6 gamer as if you must hit all 6. Keep making your jackpot parlay, but instead of hitting the "Place Wager" button, go back n bet them straight. Just see how it goes.


    Break them into single plays, you'll go 4 for 6 or 5 for 6 and win something that day. Continue that for a week n you'll be up at least $35 bucks after a week. Do that for a year n you'll be up at lesat $1500 (not alot but still not bad if you are betting $20 a day)

  13. #13
    124
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    As long as every night u go 60% and above, you will profit a lot on straight bets. My buddy likes to do those $2-5 parlays. To me its stupid, 5 straight bets go 4-1 is way better then 0-1 for the night. And realistically how often are you going to hit a 5 Team parlay ?? Its more realistic to go 4-1 or 3-2 then it is to go 5-0. That my opinion, good luck to whatever u decide. And shit if u can go 4-1 or 3-2 consistently then share ur plays so I can get on the money train.

  14. #14
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by 124 View Post
    As long as every night u go 60% and above, you will profit a lot on straight bets. My buddy likes to do those $2-5 parlays. To me its stupid, 5 straight bets go 4-1 is way better then 0-1 for the night. And realistically how often are you going to hit a 5 Team parlay ?? Its more realistic to go 4-1 or 3-2 then it is to go 5-0. That my opinion, good luck to whatever u decide. And shit if u can go 4-1 or 3-2 consistently then share ur plays so I can get on the money train.
    ill post picks here and there....

    and i bet atleast $20 a day on picks, and then if i play poker i play 25/50c or 50/1$ NL.....


    thing is, these parlays arent that hard, a 4 team parlay is easy for me (depending on a few things) but im a greedy asshole and use the 4 locks and include another 1-4 picks for that jackpot parlay....

  15. #15
    nbafanatic2012
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    you new name is ALMOST

  16. #16
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by nbafanatic2012 View Post
    you new name is ALMOST
    give me a few days and it will be LOCKER

  17. #17
    KushMoney
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    Post your 6 teamer for today

  18. #18
    SparJMU
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

    im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....
    You win 5 out of 6 games every night!!! You pick 83% winners??? My advice to you would be to move to Las Vegas and bankrupt the entire city. You are the single greatest handicapper of all time.

  19. #19
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KushMoney View Post
    Easy.


    Do Straight plays



    You'll go 5/6 daily and constantly bring in profit.



    Easy as that.
    This

    Not a fan of wagers that depend on multiple teams winning to collect a pay out.

  20. #20
    Azzurri
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    Ive only won ~340 this week off $3,4,5 parlays...

    im constantly off 1 team for the big parlay wins, any advice? should i only bet on single games and no parlay? ive hit a 4-6 gams parlay 2/3 nights this week, and have been off by 1. for example boston not covering yesterday ruined 3 parlays and $800+ potential....
    yes i do..DONT play them!! there sucker bets!

  21. #21
    Azzurri
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    and if u r winnign 5 of 6..play them all str8 and become a millionaire in a shiort time!

  22. #22
    kulprit
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    play 6 game round robins or accumulators

  23. #23
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
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    2 team parlays -105 -110 juice.... what's wrong with that payout?

  24. #24
    KushMoney
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    Post your 6 teamer for today ?

  25. #25
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by KushMoney View Post
    Post your 6 teamer for today ?
    super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

    MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

    indiana SU - too tough for det
    bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
    NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
    MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
    boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


    the maybes i have:

    port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
    ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line

  26. #26
    nbafanatic2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

    MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

    indiana SU - too tough for det
    bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
    NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
    MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
    boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


    the maybes i have:

    port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
    ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line
    108-90 okc will total 198...in hence under

  27. #27
    Zii
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    You have some serious math problems, or you just meant 118 - 90 OKC

  28. #28
    rustie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    super busy at work, havent looked into "it" too much but from what i see

    MY PICKS FOR TONIGHT:

    indiana SU - too tough for det
    bulls SU - have lost a few too many games the past 2-3 weeks, they turn it around TONIGHT
    NYK SU or even -2 - toss up, but tor beat nyk last time, i think this time nyk is clickin and shooting 3's non stop
    MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90
    boston SU - lost to lakers, will beat phx


    the maybes i have:

    port +9.5 - they will lose but by how much?
    ORL + 14 (huuuuuge spread) - kinda the play that EVERYONE is betting against, ORL will lose for sure, but i think by 10 and UNDER the line
    Just a quick look but I think I figured out why your losing by one bet everytime LOL

    " MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90 "
    Here we go again picking 83% and he can,t figure out what he"s doing wrong LOL , Dumbass

  29. #29
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by rustie View Post
    Just a quick look but I think I figured out why your losing by one bet everytime LOL

    " MINN vs OKC - im gonna say OVER 205 - i see okc winning 108-90 "
    Here we go again picking 83% and he can,t figure out what he"s doing wrong LOL , Dumbass


    1. Go F yourself

    2. it was an error

    3. Go F yourself

  30. #30
    rustie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    1. Go F yourself

    2. it was an error

    3. Go F yourself
    Thought you wre busy at work?

  31. #31
    Jgjk
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    Quote Originally Posted by rustie View Post
    Thought you wre busy at work?

    its end of the day now, sitting in my office watching espn


  32. #32
    KushMoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jgjk View Post
    its end of the day now, sitting in my office watching espn

    alright so if you were gonna make a 6 teamer right now. What would it be?


    Thanks

  33. #33
    nbafanatic2012
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    Missed by one again "almost"

  34. #34
    PerfectGrape
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    Parlays seem sweet when they hit, but if you plan on wagering for the long haul its likely you will lose money on them. Even though only one team loses and it seems close, there are 6 different combinations where only one team loses. There is only one combination of all 6 winning. So it is 6 times more likely to hit 5/6 than 6/6 (assuming 50/50 odds). Take advantage of reduced juice and straight bet.

    http://www.docsports.com/current/parlay-bets.html

  35. #35
    mtc44380
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    Yep, ditch the parlays, play $5 on a game if you arent into betting that much.
    If you want to do parlays, do ML parlays but only a few per.
    Also, if you dont want to ditch the parlays, yes, a round robin would work, or cut them to 3teams, seems like then you will go 1-1 each day and win some $$$
    BOL and keep picking winners!

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