Wsup sbr.. been on this site a little over a year now. Never cared to make an account because I don't gamble often and my insight wouldn't be of any value lol. I have learned a lot from this forum though. I've been a pretty unsuccessful so far, so I don't do it. But I'm going to start up again, and here's why: pretty sure I figured out a fool proof way to be profitable long term.
So in a nut shell, I fade picks from someone who is an average sports fan and brand new to the gambling scene. I started this yesterday and it is 5-1. Solid fade material is just as good as solid tail material right?
My logic behind this is basically that beginning gamblers will not be profitable long term. I show him the point spreads and give him 5 minutes to come up with his 3 best picks (so he does not have time to research). I also give him $10 for every correct pick and do not penalize him for the ones he gets wrong. This way he doesn't really have any motivation to get better at it lol. He'a going to lose way more than he wins so the $10 per win is not even a big deal, it'll keep him happy and will definitely keep him in the mindset of a beginning gambler.. Vegas is not kind to beginners.. & I think we can all agree that it's impossible to put ourselves into the mind of a beginner and then fade OURSELVES. Especially after being on sbr lol..
Here is what he has picked so far:
Jan 26.
Knicks-4 LOSS
San Antonio -10 LOSS
Hoston/Nets Over 200 WIN
Jan 27.
Miami -4 LOSS
Okc -3.5/Over208.5 LOSS LOSS
Fade record: 5-1
Will be keeping track here. Gl all