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Picks from Mexico 13 jan 2013 :)
Had to travel yesterday and just arrived, and missed some good action
Overall record 21 -9 70%
Indiana at Nets -4: I see a dog fight in this one, both teams have been playing their best basketball recently, both teams are playing 47.6% ATS in conference games, Indiana is 25% ATS as road dog vs 42.9% from Nets as home fav, Indiana is playing 36.4% ATS after a win vs Nets 61.1% after a win. I am leaning Nets -4 here.
Wolves at Spurs -11.5: This is a game will not touch being DD line.
GState at Denver -6: Very interesting match here, Warriors are playing 66.7% ATS as road dogs vs 66.7% from Denver as home fav. the edge is on Denver in Conference Games playing 68% ATS vs 42.1% ATS from Warriors. Line is very tight I see the game been decided by 6 pts, will walk away.
OKC at Portland +4.5: At first sight I was thinking this line was innacurate but after thinking it over line is where it has to be, OKC is 69.2% ATS as road fav vs 83.3% from Blazers as home dog, OKC is playing 66.7% ATS in conference games vs 50% from Blazers, both are playing a superb 75% ATS in division games. Will consider to play this one, a small lean towards OKC but have to run some more numbers.
Cavs at Lakers -8: Wow this line seems too much for a team playing 59.1% ATS as road dog vs a team playing 50% ATS as home fav, specially when that team is LA with no answer to the puzzle they have. I won´t be surprised if Cleveland pull the win SU, but you never know what Laker team is coming to play. Will leave this alone.
OK these are just leans, I will post final plays later on.
GLTA have a good one!!!!
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Originally Posted by nappa
