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Picks from Mexico jan-9-2013 :)
Overall record 17-6
Ok here are some write ups for today´s card, as usual these are just first sights and leans, final plays will be posted later on.
Atlanta at Cleveland +4: I see Atlanta dominating every aspect of the game and trends, there´s only 1 thing that concerns me, in Conference games Atlanta has a poor 33.3% ATS vs 45.8% from Cavs. Love Atlanta´s 77.8% ATS in b2b vs Cavs 33.3% with a day off, leaning Atlanta -4.
76ers at Raptors -4: 76ers are awful in b2b 20% ATS vs 40% Toronto´s after 2 days off, what concerns me here is the fact that in Division games 76ers is 55.6% ATS vs the pathetic 20% from the Raptors. I see this game being decided by 3 or 4 points since line is at 4 I will leave this one alone.
Utah at Charlotte +4.5: Utah seems to be finding the way already on the road I like that despite their poor performance SU at the road they are 50% ATS as road favorites, Bobcats is hitting a poor 28.6% ATS after 2 days off. Utah is 55.6% ATS in non conference games vs 31.2 from CAvs. leaning Utah -4.5
Suns at Boston -9: the fact that Suns are pathetic at b2b hitting a ridiculous 14.3 % ATS and Boston is playing a 53.8% ATS after a day off would dictate the way to bet, but the low 28.6% Ats from Boston after a win vs 42.9% from Suns after a Loss, and their 27.3% ATS in non conference games vs 41.2% from Suns , and adding that I see the diference in this game between 6 and 9.5 pts, makes me walk away from this game.
Lakers at Spurs, Wolves at OKC, Orlando at Denver, Dallas at Clippers: DD lines are not a play for me.
Houston at Hornets +2.5: There are very interesting trends on this one, Houston is hitting a lovely 78.9% ATS after a win vs the poor 37.5% from Hornets after a W, Hornets is playing a 60% ATS in conference games vs 38.9% from Houston, Hornets is hitting an amazing 85.7% in division games vs 37.5% from the Rockets, I have a small lean with Hornets at +2.5, I am still waiting to find the way to see clearly Houston flat spot.
Bucks at Bulls -6: I know Chicago has been playing better recently, even though Bucks is 25% ATS in b2b vs 41.7% from Bulls after 1 day off I like a lot the fact that the bucks are playing a 63.6% as road dogs vs 20% from Chicago as home fav. I see this game being decide for no more than 5 pts, my lean is on the Bucks +6.
Memphis at GState: Since I don´t understand why GState is fav in this one my capping has Memphis in -2.5 or in extreme cases PK, I know they have been so so lately and GS is pretty strong at home, I don´t like to play games where in my rankings I have th lower team laying points, will leave this alone.
Well hope this is helpful , will be back later on to post final plays.
GLTA
texan gave Artieaa 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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Originally Posted by RJKing
