[sando]

Well Cronk did end up playing & "Old man" Smith was probably the best player on the park, so what the hell do I know. I really have to stop fading Melbourne...

[sando]

UFC 199

1* Mutapcic ($1.75 Pinnacle - to win 1 unit)

More so because Casey is ordinary than because Mutapcic is anything special...

*More play to follow soon. Love today's UFC card

[sando]

UFC 199

1* Wilson v Luiz Henrique Under 1.5 ($1.74 Pinnacle)

If you are a casual mma fan who doesn't like it when fights go to the ground, but love it when dudes stand & trade then watch this fight!

[sando]

UFC 199

1* Mutapcic ($1.75 Pinnacle - to win 1 unit) - PUSH (draw)

More so because Casey is ordinary than because Mutapcic is anything special...

*More play to follow soon. Love today's UFC card

UFC 199

1* Wilson v Luiz Henrique Under 1.5 ($1.74 Pinnacle) - LOST (missed by 1 min)

If you are a casual mma fan who doesn't like it when fights go to the ground, but love it when dudes stand & trade then watch this fight!

Miller v Caceres
0.5* Miller via submission ($3.75 Sportsbet)
0.5* Miller via submission OR points ($1.72 Sportsbet)

Jessica v Jessica
1.5* Jessica Andrade ($1.90 Sportsbet)

(almost) Always like the more aggressive and more active fighter when women fight.

[kingsr]

Sando, let's make some cash today! Good luck with all plays

[sando]

0.5* Dariush via decision ($2.75 Luxbet/$2.70 Sportsbet)

I love middle eastern fighters (not that there are many at top level). They tend to be smart, technical & well rounded. This guy is no exception.

[sando]

Just watched an amazing tribute to Muhammed Ali at UFC 199. Bought tears to my eyes.
RIP to the greatest sportsman the world has ever seen...

[kingsr]

Andrade now paying $1.71

[sando]

UFC 199

1* Ortega via submission ($2.37 Sportsbet)

1* Holloway via decision ($2.00 Sportsbet)

*see below

2* Parlay - Rockhold/Cruz/Holloway ($1.93 Pinnacle)

I rarely play parlays, however I just don't see how any of these guys lose. Bisping is nowhere near Rockhold's level & has been massively inflated with his win over the spider. Cruz is the definition of unbeatable, no weaknesses, and the only dude to beat mighty mouse in the last 5 years (who many including Rogan consider the best P4P fighter in the world). Lamas is a guy who only loses to the best fighters in his division, but I would certainly put rising star Holloway in that class. Kid is as exciting as they come. Holloway is the weak link of the parlay, if he wins then it's pretty much a wrap. I can see Holloway using his crisp striking to easily outpoint Lamas over 3 rounds, without ever putting himself in danger of Lamas' underrated striking & G n' P.

[sando]

Miller v Caceres
0.5* Miller via submission ($3.75 Sportsbet)

So frustrating. A supposedly world class black belt (under Ricardo Loborio) has an armbar at full extension and yet can't finish him. WTF?

[sando]

Andrade now paying $1.71

Late money is usually smart money.

Andrade looks awesome! Easy 10-8 round. Penne landed 1 decent strike!

[kingsr]

Absolute domination !!!!

[sando]

WOW! I'm telling you now Andrade can beat Joanna J-Check. You heard it here first.
I used to hate the idea of women fighting, now I love watching beasts like Andrade & Nunes just demolish girls

[sando]

Absolute domination !!!!

Mate how do you think the doggies will fare against Cronulla tomorrow?

[kingsr]

Honestly, I'm down on confidence with Bulldogs and I usually don't bet on games involving them. In saying that, they normally perform well against better team, they turn up. We tend to lose against average/worse teams.

[sando]

Found 1 last play for UFC 199

1* Bisping v Rockhold Over 1.5 ($2.05 William Hill)

Bisping has never lost in the 1st round. His quickest loss was against Rockhold in their last fight, however I think Bisping has improved enough in both skills & confidence to survive 1 round and a half. Also & most importantly, this is a 5 round fight, so the pace will be slower & usually a good part of the 1st round is a feeling out period, especially when high IQ fighters clash (as both are).

[kingsr]

Was just looking at this play and now I've seen you played it so I'm rolling with it for 1 unit

Btw, I'm trying to give you coins but keep getting an error message

[garygroundwork]

Honestly, I'm down on confidence with Bulldogs and I usually don't bet on games involving them. In saying that, they normally perform well against better team, they turn up. We tend to lose against average/worse teams.

Dogs are such a hard team to read... so inconsistent, they do my head in.

They could finish top 4 or miss the 8... who knows.

[kingsr]

Hey Gary, was just looking at my inbox and reading through messages from 2012. A conversation between us and whether the dogs will make the 8 hahaha

They always make the 8 since Des has been coach and always do well in the finals. It's like Des has them under the radar in regular season lol

[sando]

NRL

Wests Tigers v Roosters
1* Wests Tigers 1st Half ML ($2.00 everywhere)
1* 1st Scoring play - Wests Tigers try ($3.00 Ladbrokes)

Rabbitohs v Titans (Perth)
1.5* Titans +2.5
0.5* Titans 1-12 ($3.75 Sportsbet)


AFL

1.5* Adelaide -34.5 (Pinnacle)

Western Bulldogs v West Coast
2* Under 177.5 (Sportsbet)
1* Western Bulldogs 1-39 ($2.35 everywhere)

[kingsr]

How awesome was that last 10 seconds !!! Holloway brilliant

[sando]

1* Holloway via decision ($2.00 Sportsbet)


2* Parlay - Rockhold/Cruz/Holloway ($1.93 Pinnacle)

Ok back on track after a pretty average day with the easy Holloway decision win. Was the last 20 seconds of that fight one of the greatest moments in UFC history?? Never seen that before. Holloway is awesome. Future champ. His striking is sooooo clean & accurate. Like a young Anderson Silva. Would love to see him fight McGregor...

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Breaking News - Brock Lesnar is back!

[kingsr]

Where in Aus you based Sando?

[sando]

Where in Aus you based Sando?

I'm all over the shop mate. Born in VIC, grew up & lived most of my life in NSW, currently living in Adelaide, so I don't get to go to any live NRL games, although your doggies used to come here (Adelaide). Anyway I fly down to Sydney every year for origin (game III this year).

[kingsr]

Really like the Tigers today. Apparently Pearce is out for rooters.

Would like to see farah rested as they seem to perform better without him

[kingsr]

Hey Sando,

Had a quick think of a play for tonight. Bulldogs always start well and slack off in 2nd half.

There's a couple bets to take advantage of;

Bulldogs first try

Bulldogs first half win

Bulldogs/sharks 1st half/2nd half

I might have a small play on each of these.

[sando]

Pretty good weekend if not for the UFC yesterday...

I'm such a chump. Was so caught up in the UFC that I forgot to post my favourite play of the week which was Sharks ML at $1.90 for a large play. Was going to play large for 2-3x. They are the better team, they can compete with the dogs forward pack (dogs biggest strength) and they are en fuego! (9 straight). Luckily I also like the under which is holding steady at 36.5 despite the poor weather over the w/e, and I like the Sharks enough to lay the -3.5 for a small play...

Sharks v Bulldogs
1.5* Under 36.5
1* Sharks -3.5

Hey Sando,

Had a quick think of a play for tonight. Bulldogs always start well and slack off in 2nd half.

There's a couple bets to take advantage of;

Bulldogs first try

Bulldogs first half win

Bulldogs/sharks 1st half/2nd half

I might have a small play on each of these.

Good luck mate. Hope we both hit...

[garygroundwork]

Hey Gary, was just looking at my inbox and reading through messages from 2012. A conversation between us and whether the dogs will make the 8 hahaha

They always make the 8 since Des has been coach and always do well in the finals. It's like Des has them under the radar in regular season lol

hahahaha yeah I remember that.
Yeah I always put a sneaky on them to make the 8 but most years they stress me the penetrate up doing it.

[garygroundwork]

NRL

Wests Tigers v Roosters
1* Wests Tigers 1st Half ML ($2.00 everywhere)
1* 1st Scoring play - Wests Tigers try ($3.00 Ladbrokes)

Rabbitohs v Titans (Perth)
1.5* Titans +2.5
0.5* Titans 1-12 ($3.75 Sportsbet)


AFL

1.5* Adelaide -34.5 (Pinnacle)

Western Bulldogs v West Coast
2* Under 177.5 (Sportsbet)
1* Western Bulldogs 1-39 ($2.35 everywhere)

Nice pics Sando

[garygroundwork]

I'm all over the shop mate. Born in VIC, grew up & lived most of my life in NSW, currently living in Adelaide, so I don't get to go to any live NRL games, although your doggies used to come here (Adelaide). Anyway I fly down to Sydney every year for origin (game III this year).

u poor bastard, me too.

[kingsr]

Hey Sando,

Had a quick think of a play for tonight. Bulldogs always start well and slack off in 2nd half.

There's a couple bets to take advantage of;

Bulldogs first try

Bulldogs first half win

Bulldogs/sharks 1st half/2nd half

I might have a small play on each of these.

Wish I put more on this! Only played them for $50 each bet.

You just missed the line Sando. Better luck next week dude

[kingsr]

Nice pics Sando

Sarcasm?

[garygroundwork]

Sarcasm?

no why?? they all came through besides west tigers right?

what about the dogs tonight... possibly the dumbest team in the NRL...so frustrating. So many dumb penalties, not kicking to touch..not kicking on last plays and just taking tackles when they can force repat sets or score to win.

Kingsr mate I feel sorry for u being a doggy supporter... they do my head in.

[kingsr]

no why?? they all came through besides west tigers right?

what about the dogs tonight... possibly the dumbest team in the NRL...so frustrating. So many dumb penalties, not kicking to touch..not kicking on last plays and just taking tackles when they can force repat sets or score to win.

Kingsr mate I feel sorry for u being a doggy supporter... they do my head in.

Ahhh dont start me on Dogs

[sando]

Here's my weekend summary.

MMA - The Bisping KO of Rockhold turned what would have been a profitable day into a horrible card for me.

NRL - Would have been a decent weekend (small profit) except I was too slow in grabbing the Sharks ML ($1.90) which was going to be a large play, and instead went with Sharks -3.5 (they win by 2).

AFL - Some good news. Crushed AFL this weekend (and also moved to outright 1st in a lucrative footy tipping comp I'm in on ESPN footy tips so stoked about that)!

UFC 199

2-7-1 -4.54 units

MMA/Boxing 2016

12-10-1 +3.36 units
------------------------------------
NRL Round 13 (including 2 State of Origin plays)

5-7 -0.47 units

NRL 2016

49-51 -2.07 units
------------------------------------
AFL Round 11

7-1 +8.75 units

AFL 2016

45-41 +11.4 units