1. #1
    raiderhater9572
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    The Natural's Picks (Look Inside if you want $)

    I am a long time reader on the forum for all sports (NFL NCAAF NCAAB NBA..) but rarely post consistently. Yesterday I did post my plays and I rocked them go find out for yourself if you want.
    My story: I am a student in college but has been seriously betting the last few years and have had good results; currently I bet for my best friend/boss who has complete faith in me and has given me total control of his bets. Initially he was 8 K in the red but after yesterday after 6 weeks I have got him to 9 K in the green. Believe it or not but its true..and ill show you how. my system: 1 unit = 200$ I am dealing with a bookie who adds 10 pts of juice for spread bets and 20 pts for ml, prop bets coming from pinnaclesports.com
    - love to hear input/advice/banter/challenges/anything but I will post winners and show you how to make money

    San Antonio Spurs @ Cleveland Cavaliers 4pm (west coast)
    (36-14; 15-10) (17-33; 9-17)
    SAS: -9 (-118) ML -505/+427 O/U 202.5
    - Irving probable to return to lineup
    - SAS looking for 8th straight win
    Like Over 202.5 (-112)
    - SAS generally high scoring games; CLE can tend to play in fast up temp style games. Irving probable, boosts CLE offensive production; SAS may rest some starters and CLE doesn't want to lose 8 straight in front of home crowd with Irving returning.
    - Total opened at 201 and has sharply to 202.5, although early bets looked to be on under; slight reverse line movement. More bettors taking over as we get closer to gametime; correlates with taking SAS (public is on) and over. Line jumped up quick because books want more people to take under which they initially had; this signals that the over is the correct play. Safer than taking Spurs - pts (might even be game where CLE could nab them but I don't think I am going to touch it). Since public is now siding with the over I think the line will creep towards 203 as gametime approaches trying to get more under money.

    Risk 2 units Over 202.5 (-112) 448/400
    Last edited by raiderhater9572; 04-03-12 at 01:25 PM.

  2. #2
    raiderhater9572
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    Charlotte Bobcats @ Toronto Raptors 4 pm
    (7-43; 3-23) (18-35; 10-17)
    TOR: -9 (-117) -490/+416 o/u 188.5
    - TOR looking to avoid 7th consecutive loss to CHA
    - Last 4 TOR opponents acg: 104.5 ppg and 50% fg
    -Maggette out for CHA

    - TOR seeking back to back home win, first time since last season. CHA coming off an OT loss. Winnable game for TOR that has won 2/3. Both teams out of playoff picture. With Maggette out for CHA and others (Agustin, Thomas day-day) CHA is in a bad spot. Don't expect too much defense to be played in game; TOR lately consistently in high scoring games and CHA is focusing on pushing the pace.
    Lean: TOR -9 TOR/CHA O 188.5
    - Early money on TOR -9.5 but gradually money comes in on CHA and line goes to -9. Currently I see 75% of bets on CHA with the line staying stable. With CHA dealing with significant injuries and also just being the worst team in the NBA this is great time to bet TOR at home. Anytime CHA is getting money on their side is an immediate red flag to fade them (on road too!) Regarding the total, which opened at 187.5 and saw early under money shoot it down 187; it instantly sprang up again and now at 188.5. With about 60%+ bets on over now books want to attract under money that was initially being bet (season long stats would probably signal under in this game, but in this scenario I see little incentive to play defense between two teams that are non-playoff contenders)

    Plays:
    TOR -5 1st H (-118) 1 unit 236/200
    TOR/CHA O 94 1st H (-119) 1 unit 238/200
    TOR -9 (-117) 1.5 units 351/300
    TOR/CHA O 188.5 (-117) 234/200
    Player Prop: G. Henderson O 15 pts (-134) 268/200

  3. #3
    dsk0057
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    Let's see if you are really worth a shot!!! GL

  4. #4
    jayson311
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    + 85 units in 42 days

  5. #5
    raiderhater9572
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    less than 60 days for sure

  6. #6
    raiderhater9572
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    Have more plays coming (loads) would love to hear thoughts from others on some more picks onight they like..lets make some ******* money!
    - Also is there anyway Baylor loses tonight?

  7. #7
    Frisco
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    Quote Originally Posted by raiderhater9572 View Post
    Have more plays coming (loads) would love to hear thoughts from others on some more picks onight they like..lets make some ******* money!
    - Also is there anyway Baylor loses tonight?
    Highly unlikely. Put 1k on Baylor ML -250. It has jumped up to -300 since the Kentucky game ended. ND has 1 great player, Skylar Diggins, but the problem is Odyssey Sims for Baylor is the best on ball defender in the country. Also hard betting against a 6'8 tranny that dominates around the rim.

  8. #8
    raiderhater9572
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    Have to be more brief here but:
    - If there ever was a time to bet the heat this is it...do i need to explain?
    - Q bets are at times a little bit of a crapshoot but im starting to like them of late!

    PLAYS
    Raptors -3 1st Q (-118) 1 unit 236/200
    Heat -2.5 (-115) 1 unit 230/200
    Raptors/Bobcats 1st Q O 47.5 (-115) 1 unit 230/200
    Heat -3.5 1st H (-120) 1.5 unit 360/300
    Heat 1st H ML (-228) 1 unit 456/200
    Baylor 1st H -3.5 (-113) 1.5 unit 339/300
    Parlay: Raptors (-575) Baylor (-310) Heat (-320) Risk 1000 Win 1037

  9. #9
    raiderhater9572
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    Add: Heat -8 (-110) 1.5 units 330/300

  10. #10
    raiderhater9572
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    Add:
    Suns/Kings O 213 (-110) 2 units 440/400
    Parlay: Heat 1st H ML Raptors 1st H ML Baylor ML Lakers ML Kings ML Grizzlies ML Risk 300 Win 1999

  11. #11
    Nyjrkm06
    Mets
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    legoooo

  12. #12
    raiderhater9572
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    Pistons +1.5 (-119) 1.5 units 357/300

  13. #13
    raiderhater9572
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    Grizzlies -7.5 (-114) 342/300
    Grizzlies/Warriors Under 195 (-118) 354/300
    Marc Gasol O 16 pts (-121) 363/300
    Grizzlies 1st H -4 (-115) 230/200
    Grizzlies/Warriors 1st H U 100 (-126) 252/200

  14. #14
    raiderhater9572
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    Griz -2.5 1st Q (-110) 220/200
    Grizzlies/Warriors U 50 1st Q (-119) 238/200

  15. #15
    raiderhater9572
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    SAS/CLE over 97.5 2nd H (-110) 220/200

    slow start with quarter bets losing like 3 by a point but i think im looking good

  16. #16
    raiderhater9572
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    TOR 2nd H -3 (-125) 250/200

  17. #17
    raiderhater9572
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    Heat -6 (-108) 2nd Half 648/600

  18. #18
    raiderhater9572
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    Grizzlies/Warriors U 95.5 2nd H (-110) 330/300
    Grizzlies -4.5 2nd H (-122) 244/200

  19. #19
    jayson311
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  20. #20
    raiderhater9572
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    Kings +2.5 pts (-111) 333/300
    Nash O 11 pts (-111) 222/200
    Kings +.5 1st Q-110 220/200

  21. #21
    raiderhater9572
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    Kings/Spurs O 108.5 1st H (-105) 315/300

  22. #22
    raiderhater9572
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    Lakers -8.5 (-113) 452/400
    Lakers -3 1st Q (-120) 240/200

  23. #23
    raiderhater9572
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    Lakers/Nets O 97.5 (-115) 345/300 1st H

  24. #24
    raiderhater9572
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    big 2nd half plays coming

  25. #25
    crackerjack
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    I'll be watching...good analysis on your first few posts. I think you may make a few too many bets though...

  26. #26
    MrTwiz
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    How can there be BIG 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halves yet?
    Last edited by MrTwiz; 04-03-12 at 10:15 PM. Reason: Im dumb

  27. #27
    jayson311
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrtwiz View Post
    how can there be big 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halfs yet?
    chase!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  28. #28
    raiderhater9572
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    yea i am on a little bit of a chase but considering how bad of a day this is for me its not too terrible so far..scared money isn't going to make money!

  29. #29
    raiderhater9572
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    Kings -1 2nd Half (-120) 600/500
    Kings -9 2nd Half (+384) 200/768

  30. #30
    raiderhater9572
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrTwiz View Post
    How can there be BIG 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halves yet?
    im watching the games!

  31. #31
    MrTwiz
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    Wow you made my pick and said my saying, Im on board. I do like kings and over 2nd half, no bull BOL bro

  32. #32
    raiderhater9572
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    Lakers/Nets U 97.5 2nd H (-122) 488/400

  33. #33
    raiderhater9572
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrTwiz View Post
    Wow you made my pick and said my saying, Im on board. I do like kings and over 2nd half, no bull BOL bro
    I like the over but i already got 2 units on O 213 so i just let that one go..i like kings here to compete

  34. #34
    raiderhater9572
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    I feel like that Lakers game is going to slow down

  35. #35
    raiderhater9572
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    Lakers -1.5 (-105) 210/200 2nd H - I think the Nets might lay down and get ready for tommorow

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