1. #1
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Rolling with the 3 home dogs

    I'm going to roll with the three home dogs today:

    HOU +3
    UTA +3.5
    SAC +3.5

    All three teams are going up against heavy public favorites. There is nothing I like more than taking home dogs, especially when the public is pounding the opposite side.

    73% on LAL and the line has moved from -3 to -2.5
    91% on OKC and the line hasn't moved all day
    74% on MEM and the line moved from -3.5 to -3

    Looks like one of those days where the books don't mind taking some chances. All those lines are very telling IMO.

    Good luck everyone.
    Points Awarded:

    OUKUSFBOS gave Speedy88 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    YouHave2outs
    YouHave2outs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-11
    Posts: 4,448
    Betpoints: 198

    on them too besides rock. been tryin all day to get +3 on them

  3. #3
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Yeah I'm going to make a play on HOU 1Q or 1H. LAL has been crap early in games, and they typically make a push in the 2nd half.

    LAL @ NOH: Hornets up by 8 after 1Q, up 14 at Halftime
    LAL @ MEM: Grizzlies up by 8 after 1Q, up 1 at Halftime
    LAL @ MIN: TWolves up 12 after 1Q, up 9 at Halftime
    LAL @ DET: Pistons up by 4 at Halftime

  4. #4

  5. #5
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post

  6. #6
    PR9
    PR9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 2,813
    Betpoints: 651

    Raja Bell out. The primary defender for Durant

  7. #7
    MoreWaysThanOne
    MoreWaysThanOne's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-16-12
    Posts: 94
    Betpoints: 378

    I gotta say I like Utah with Jefferson out. I am a firm believe of other players stepping up 10 fold in the absence of one of their stars. If bettingwizard was posting he would take Utah too.

  8. #8
    MoreWaysThanOne
    MoreWaysThanOne's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-16-12
    Posts: 94
    Betpoints: 378

    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Raja Bell out. The primary defender for Durant
    oh well that's not good. Nevermind then.

  9. #9
    YouHave2outs
    YouHave2outs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-11
    Posts: 4,448
    Betpoints: 198

    Quote Originally Posted by MoreWaysThanOne View Post
    I gotta say I like Utah with Jefferson out. I am a firm believe of other players stepping up 10 fold in the absence of one of their stars. If bettingwizard was posting he would take Utah too.
    and jefferson is playing, pretty sure

  10. #10
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Yeah Jefferson is in, and Bell is out. Josh Howard is also done for the season. Two really solid perimeter defenders. If there is one thing you need against the Thunder, it is perimeter defenders.

    I'm not too worried about it, CJ Miles, Gordon Hayward, and Alec Burks will step up.

    BTW, am I the only one who thinks Alec Burks is going to be a stud in like 2-3 years. He is really raw now, but damn that kid has some game.

  11. #11
    as99
    as99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-10
    Posts: 1,585
    Betpoints: 2252

    I'm fading the SBR public and going with OKC.

  12. #12
    mbs4
    mbs4's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-14-10
    Posts: 388
    Betpoints: 4546

    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Yeah Jefferson is in, and Bell is out. Josh Howard is also done for the season. Two really solid perimeter defenders. If there is one thing you need against the Thunder, it is perimeter defenders.

    I'm not too worried about it, CJ Miles, Gordon Hayward, and Alec Burks will step up.

    BTW, am I the only one who thinks Alec Burks is going to be a stud in like 2-3 years. He is really raw now, but damn that kid has some game.
    Burks is so slick. If he improves his jumper hell be a star.

  13. #13
    OUKUSFBOS
    OUKUSFBOS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-12
    Posts: 35

    1 down.... hopefully 2 more to go

  14. #14
    OUKUSFBOS
    OUKUSFBOS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-12
    Posts: 35

    2 out of 3

    Still waiting on Kings +3
    Kings ML

    Parlay:
    Kings +3
    Rockets +3- Win
    Utah +3.5- Win

  15. #15
    PR9
    PR9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 2,813
    Betpoints: 651

    Woot !! Speedy kickin ass.

    I couldn't roll with Sac tonight but we got the other 2



  16. #16
    pacocn
    pacocn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-05-10
    Posts: 12,934

    Speedy, nice work, i had them in my leans,
    but didn't pul the trigger

  17. #17
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2011

    Nice plays. If I could just have the guts to bet against my team when I felt like they were going to lose I would be rich. As it is, I say I don't like them and then I just watch them lose and make no money off it.

  18. #18
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Yeah great night so far. Just need the Kings to come through for the clean sweep.

    And damn those boys in Houston play with some heart, that was one of the best comebacks I've seen this year.

    Best of all, Lakers hit the road again tomorrow in Dallas. More money to be made.

  19. #19
    BigDofBA
    BigDofBA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-09
    Posts: 19,311
    Betpoints: 2011

    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Yeah great night so far. Just need the Kings to come through for the clean sweep.

    And damn those boys in Houston play with some heart, that was one of the best comebacks I've seen this year.

    Best of all, Lakers hit the road again tomorrow in Dallas. More money to be made.
    Dallas is a team I might start riding. I think they have gotten their shit together.

    As for my Thunder, I'm worried about the playoffs. We could be out in the second round. We blew our load early while the Spurs and Mavs were coasting.

    I would definitely take their experience over OKC in the playoffs. We're still too young. It's not quite our time yet. I think the Bulls, Heat, Spurs, and Mavericks are all better teams.

  20. #20
    OUKUSFBOS
    OUKUSFBOS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-12
    Posts: 35

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Dallas is a team I might start riding. I think they have gotten their shit together.

    As for my Thunder, I'm worried about the playoffs. We could be out in the second round. We blew our load early while the Spurs and Mavs were coasting.

    I would definitely take their experience over OKC in the playoffs. We're still too young. It's not quite our time yet. I think the Bulls, Heat, Spurs, and Mavericks are all better teams.
    As a Nuggets fan, I can definitely appreciate what OKC brings to the table. I think you guys will be fine, and I full expect for OKC to be in the Western Conference Finals. They are still young and will lay eggs every now and again.

  21. #21
    PR9
    PR9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 2,813
    Betpoints: 651

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Nice plays. If I could just have the guts to bet against my team when I felt like they were going to lose I would be rich. As it is, I say I don't like them and then I just watch them lose and make no money off it.
    Don't be afraid. I've made alot betting against the Heat when the spots are right. I already knew PHX was up for tonight's game, then when I saw the heat dragging their feet in pregame warmups looking bored, and the fact that the Heat just had a revenge win against Orlando and barely covered, I laid 3u on PHX +10.5

    No one knows their team better than a fan. When everyone and the world bet on the Heat vs the Bulls on SBR last week w/out Rose, I think i was the only one who knew the Heat were going to lose in that particular spot on that night, and posted non stop about it. It was a great spot for the bulls and just a terrible spot for the Heat on that particular night.

    No one knows the daily ebbs and flows of a team than a fan. That's why part of me tries to be a fan of every team on any given night by following their shit in local news and local beats. Gives you a good read for situational betting

  22. #22
    crispix
    crispix's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-12
    Posts: 89
    Betpoints: 438

    Long time lurker, first time postin' on here.... I tailed you, but cautiously with .25 unit - pissed now I didn't go a full unit.

    Great eye for the picks, man - thank you!

  23. #23
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668



    Nice job speedy.

  24. #24
    PR9
    PR9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 2,813
    Betpoints: 651

    Speedy is quickly becoming the best NBA capper on SBR..


    easily..

    a solid understanding of situational angles mixed in with the lines, timing, and matchup issues

  25. #25
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Nice work speedy

  26. #26
    crispix
    crispix's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-12
    Posts: 89
    Betpoints: 438

    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    Speedy is quickly becoming the best NBA capper on SBR..

    a solid understanding of situational angles mixed in with the lines, timing, and matchup issues
    Quoted for truth! I'm paying attention.

  27. #27
    PR9
    PR9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 2,813
    Betpoints: 651

    Quote Originally Posted by crispix View Post
    Quoted for truth! I'm paying attention.
    it has nothing to do with tonight, but rather over the past couple of months.

    impressive resume I have to admit ..

    a high majority of the time his "reasonings" for the outcome hold true (whatever reasoning or angles that might be). Which is difficult to do in this condensed season

    He also nailed Indiana for an easy cover, and his reasonings he stated last night were 100% correct

  28. #28
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    The lines said it all. 90% on OKC yet the line never moved and the Jazz were being juiced up. And line moving in the opposite direction with the public pounding LAL and MEM.

    I didn't post it here, but I hopped on the Bucks as well. Once I saw LB on it for 10X and that the line opened at -5 and moved to -3.5 was all I needed to make a play on MIL.

  29. #29
    crispix
    crispix's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-12
    Posts: 89
    Betpoints: 438

    Quote Originally Posted by PR9 View Post
    it has nothing to do with tonight, but rather over the past couple of months.
    Yea, I've been lurking a long time....have learned who to pay attention to, who to fade, and who to ignore altogether. But, I just finally decided it was time to register, and I started off saying Thanks to Speedy!

  30. #30
    OUKUSFBOS
    OUKUSFBOS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-12
    Posts: 35

    Quote Originally Posted by crispix View Post
    Yea, I've been lurking a long time....have learned who to pay attention to, who to fade, and who to ignore altogether. But, I just finally decided it was time to register, and I started off saying Thanks to Speedy!
    Same thing here

  31. #31
    OUKUSFBOS
    OUKUSFBOS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-17-12
    Posts: 35

    Perfect night speedy.... congrats.

  32. #32
    moshi
    moshi's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-11
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 3525

    Great night tonight...which means watch out tomorrow!

  33. #33
    therocket
    you cant teach passion
    therocket's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-12
    Posts: 869
    Betpoints: 102

    Thanks for postin speedy. Good work.

  34. #34
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    Clean sweep, 3-0.

  35. #35
    MagicsFan
    MagicsFan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-10
    Posts: 32

    Lol, this guys a clown

    Posting the same plays billy posts a couple of hours later.
    clown man.....
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Volans

12 Last
Top