1. 03-09-12 05:52 PM #1
    eyesickk
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    Vegas LOVES the BLAZERS tonight. Hmm

    Roughly 77% of all bets are on Boston, yet the line keeps moving down in Bostons favor?

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  2. 03-09-12 05:54 PM #2
    Speedy88
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    Noticed the same, it is down to 2.5 at my book. Pietrus and Wilcox both out.
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  3. 03-09-12 05:54 PM #3
    Pauulzcappin
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    It's unreal. Weird as I can fukking possibly imagine. I even tried to find some referee stuff that could back this up and I just couldn't. Refs are actually favorable to home team ATS.

    Doesn't get stranger than that.
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  4. 03-09-12 05:55 PM #4
    eyesickk
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    Play on the blazers?
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  5. 03-09-12 05:59 PM #5
    Speedy88
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    Same thing happened two nights ago. Majority was on TWolves, yet the line dropped. And guess what, TWolves still covered.

    I think Celts cover. Vegas trying to get the sharps to bite on POR. I won't take POR until they show me some type of life on the road.
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  6. 03-09-12 06:06 PM #6
    Pauulzcappin
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    Maybe, what the hell.
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  7. 03-09-12 06:08 PM #7
    eyesickk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Same thing happened two nights ago. Majority was on TWolves, yet the line dropped. And guess what, TWolves still covered.

    I think Celts cover. Vegas trying to get the sharps to bite on POR. I won't take POR until they show me some type of life on the road.
    Why would vegas care about a couple "sharps" winning bets when they have the damn near the whole public biting on their line movements. Vegas cares about money, not outsmarting a couple sharps..
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  8. 03-09-12 06:12 PM #8
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyesickk View Post
    Why would vegas care about a couple "sharps" winning bets when they have the damn near the whole public biting on their line movements. Vegas cares about money, not outsmarting a couple sharps..
    Vegas knows there are a lot of people out there who watch for that line movement. Lets say Vegas knows that Portland will most likely lose by 10+ (which is very likely since they've been awful on the road), why not move the line backwards and hope to get some heavy money on POR.

    I honestly think that is what happened on Wednesday in Minnesota. About 65% was on MIN, I think books knew MIN would easily cover, so moving the line from MIN -2 to MIN -3 wouldn't have mattered much. Why not move it backwards (from MIN -2 to MIN -1) and create some RLM to get sharps to bite.

    Just my opinion.
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  9. 03-09-12 06:15 PM #9
    eyesickk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Vegas knows there are a lot of people out there who watch for that line movement. Lets say Vegas knows that Portland will most likely lose by 10+ (which is very likely since they've been awful on the road), why not move the line backwards and hope to get some heavy money on POR.

    I honestly think that is what happened on Wednesday in Minnesota. About 65% was on MIN, I think books knew MIN would easily cover, so moving the line from MIN -2 to MIN -3 wouldn't have mattered much. Why not move it backwards (from MIN -2 to MIN -1) and create some RLM to get sharps to bite.

    Just my opinion.
    What was the line moved to in this game?
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  10. 03-09-12 06:17 PM #10
    Speedy88
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    Opened at BOS -3.5 and closed at BOS -2.5. However Wiclox and Pietrus are both out.
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  11. 03-09-12 06:45 PM #11
    eyesickk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Opened at BOS -3.5 and closed at BOS -2.5. However Wiclox and Pietrus are both out.
    I was talking about the minnesota game your speaking of
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  12. 03-09-12 07:15 PM #12
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyesickk View Post
    I was talking about the minnesota game your speaking of
    Oh it opened at MIN -2 and closed at MIN -1.

    Told ya. Books knew BOS would blow them out by 10+. Rather than moving the line up to grab a few more squares, they threw some RLM on the game and I'm sure a ton of heavy sharp betters bit. I've seen a lot of good cappers take POR tonight.
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  13. 03-09-12 07:17 PM #13
    No coincidences
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    Wow -- Blazers are getting buried.
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  14. 03-09-12 07:18 PM #14
    eyesickk
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    Lmfao, glad I stayed away
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  15. 03-09-12 07:19 PM #15
    larry040681
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    16 - 0 by celtics.... hahaha nice moves by vegas..
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  16. 03-09-12 07:19 PM #16
    goduke
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    Portland is throwing this game. Its so obvious
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  17. 03-09-12 07:22 PM #17
    moshi
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    Ooo dodgy
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  18. 03-09-12 07:22 PM #18
    dlunc3
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    this is why trying to bet games based on line movement is pure nonsense
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  19. 03-09-12 07:24 PM #19
    lunchbawks
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlunc3 View Post
    this is why trying to bet games based on line movement is pure nonsense
    yea i bet portland solely based on the line move, bad move atleast this one's over early! just chalk up the loss and lets move on
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  20. 03-09-12 07:25 PM #20
    Speedy88
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    Books knew BOS would blow out POR. Might as well throw some RLM on it hoping to get some heavy sharps on POR.
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  21. 03-09-12 08:10 PM #21
    dlunc3
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    yea i bet portland solely based on the line move, bad move atleast this one's over early! just chalk up the loss and lets move on
    not saying you did at all.... but a lot of people bet games strictly on that factor
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  22. 03-09-12 08:11 PM #22
    dRavidC
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    burn for all those portland backers
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  23. 03-09-12 08:12 PM #23
    brahmabull117
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    when will people understand line movements mean nothing either way? bet games based on what you believe will happen. Stop believing every line Vegas gives is either super accurate or is wrong because it's a trap
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