1. 02-09-12 03:01 AM #1
    Speedy88
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    Sac Line Going Up To +7.5???

    Really surprised by this. I saw it opened at Sac +7, and then went down to +6.5 at most books, even with close to 90% on OKC.

    I log into my book expecting to see +6.5 or +6, only to see a line of Sac +7.5.

    Anyone else seeing this at their book. No matter how high this line goes, public is going to be all over OKC. I think if this line were at OKC -8.5, we'd still see around 70% on OKC.

    Any thoughts on this game as well. TNT Thursdays are very unpredictable, which is good for the Kings IMO.
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  2. 02-09-12 03:30 AM #2
    That Guy
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    I like SAC +7.5 (also getting this at my book).. Pinny and 5D have the line at +6
    I think they'll be up for a big game in front of a home crowd on national TV.
    Previous games OKC has won by small margins, so +7.5 is a big help. Last time OKC won by 8pts at home and previously 6pts.
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  3. 02-09-12 04:13 AM #3
    Kalibongo
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    Is there value in OKC -6.5?
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  4. 02-09-12 04:20 AM #4
    eddie0vedder
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    Quote Originally Posted by That Guy View Post
    I like SAC +7.5 (also getting this at my book).. Pinny and 5D have the line at +6 I think they'll be up for a big game in front of a home crowd on national TV. Previous games OKC has won by small margins, so +7.5 is a big help. Last time OKC won by 8pts at home and previously 6pts.
    last one was away by 8, game before was a blowout

    12/04/2011NBASacramento Kings - Oklahoma City Thunder112:120
    16/02/2011NBAOklahoma City Thunder - Sacramento Kings126:96
    13/02/2011NBASacramento Kings - Oklahoma City Thunder97:99
    18/12/2010NBAOklahoma City Thunder - Sacramento Kings102:87
    08/03/2010NBASacramento Kings - Oklahoma City Thunder102:108
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  5. 02-09-12 04:24 AM #5
    Speedy88
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    It's going to be rocking in Sacramento. Still one of the toughest places to play in the NBA when the crowd shows up. I'd expect a strong crowd with OKC coming to town on a TNT thursday game. With all the news about the Kings leaving, I think the fans and team will make a statement that they belong in Sacramento.
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  6. 02-09-12 04:24 AM #6
    MJT1212
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    I like Sac

    Locking in NOW at 7.5, I have a feeling it wont be like that for long
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  7. 02-09-12 04:35 AM #7
    Speedy88
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    ah crap, this may be like okc/gs pt 2 with everyone on Sac, just like how everyone was on GS. Really hoping some "OKC -7 lock" threads pop up tomorrow.
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  8. 02-09-12 04:48 AM #8
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    ah crap, this may be like okc/gs pt 2 with everyone on Sac, just like how everyone was on GS. Really hoping some "OKC -7 lock" threads pop up tomorrow.
    Don't worry there DEF will be, I have a good feeling about that...
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  9. 02-09-12 05:30 AM #9
    migz
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    Pinnacle's Sac line haven't moved and it's still -6.5 -126
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  10. 02-09-12 05:31 AM #10
    FilletMaster
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    Thunder ML for the 3rd straight time for me
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  11. 02-09-12 05:40 AM #11
    Lockitup1x
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalibongo View Post
    Is there value in OKC -6.5?
    You'll BTCL
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  12. 02-09-12 07:56 AM #12
    lakerboy
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    i would take sac ml
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  13. 02-09-12 08:37 AM #13
    marty kaan
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    points safer LB
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  14. 02-09-12 01:07 PM #14
    PS3
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    Home crowd will be pretty pumped up because of Black Thursday in SacTown.
    Fans have been waiting for this day.
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  15. 02-09-12 01:10 PM #15
    LUNT101
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    Interesting

    http://aroyalpain.com/2012/02/08/sac...lack-thursday/
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  16. 02-09-12 01:11 PM #16
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by LUNT101 View Post
    Interesting

    http://aroyalpain.com/2012/02/08/sac...lack-thursday/
    Nice little twist.

    But Speedy, if Sac doesn't cover tonight all you have to do is go Utah tomorrow to get your money back. Don't see how you can encounter a loss with that arrangement.

    Tonight I'm going Sac with the spread and sprinkling some on the ML

    ps- my main book still showing +6.5 as of now
    Last edited by PR9; 02-09-12 at 01:14 PM.
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  17. 02-09-12 01:12 PM #17
    PS3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LUNT101 View Post
    Interesting

    http://aroyalpain.com/2012/02/08/sac...lack-thursday/
    That's what i'm talking about. A pretty good spot for the Kings to really step up their game.
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  18. 02-09-12 01:20 PM #18
    LUNT101
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    John Ryan also on Sac. He's been hot in NBA this week. I usually tail with good success when he presents interesting trends.

    System is 21-4 since 2006
    System is 7-1 last 3 years

    Play against road teams using the money line after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games facing an opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
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  19. 02-09-12 01:26 PM #19
    agendaman
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    okc is top to btm. best team in nba/harden is a killer/great 3pt.shooters/just ask yourself this question/why do bookies have okc.favored by 6.5 to 7.5 vs. a team at home/cmon /hedge bet i got down okc.ml plus sac.w/pts. plus lakers w pts. and ml.plus suns ml plus l.a.kings ml/thats 6 bets/i make money w/3/6 gl.
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  20. 02-09-12 01:28 PM #20
    ChiLLx
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    Sac is shaping up to be the play.
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  21. 02-09-12 01:40 PM #21
    PR9
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    okc is top to btm. best team in nba/harden is a killer/great 3pt.shooters/just ask yourself this question/why do bookies have okc.favored by 6.5 to 7.5 vs. a team at home/cmon /hedge bet i got down okc.ml plus sac.w/pts. plus lakers w pts. and ml.plus suns ml plus l.a.kings ml/thats 6 bets/i make money w/3/6 gl.
    Why were the Heat favored by the same spread in Milwaukee , and favored by almost the same spread in Golden State earlier in the year when they were cookin ?

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...ry-square.html

    And a hundred other examples around the league.

    Why was OKC favored by the same spread in Minny and didn't cover. In fact, for the first few weeks of the season OKC had a very difficult time covering most of their games. People were losing bets left and right and down the middle with them. Let's not forget that OKC has been far from very impressive lately. They totally blew in SA 3 games ago, and in their last 3 games gave up 107 points or more in all of them. Their defense has been atrocious for the most part.
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  22. 02-09-12 01:57 PM #22
    laddder
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    Leaning SAC, would bite if my book bumped to 7.5. I'm playing OVER though
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  23. 02-09-12 02:34 PM #23
    LeagueCapper
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    OKC is too hot right now, they'll cover against a SAC team that exerted a lot of energy the past 2 games to come back from big halftime deficits.
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  24. 02-10-12 12:30 AM #24
    marty kaan
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    i would take sac ml
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  25. 02-10-12 12:33 AM #25
    Speedy88
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    Kings +7.5

    Now that Sac won, I think OKC comes out a bit more determined tomorrow. Utah no longer looks SO obvious. I still think Utah is probably the right play, but not quite as obvious as it seemed a few hours ago.
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  26. 02-10-12 12:36 AM #26
    monologue
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    well done mate!
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