Has anyone tired a simple strategy like this? I'm kind of sick of backing a crappy team in a good spot and having them not show up at all. What if you only bet on "good" team at reasonable spreads, say 4-8 not 10+. And avoid all those bad situations, traps, etc like b2bs, look ahead, injured player and so on.
Who says you have to take non public dogs to be sharp. I think if you're discipline to avoid the bad games this can be a very high % strategy. Any thoughts?